PA PrimD: ARG: Clinton Leads PA by 13%

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by ARG on 2008-04-19

Summary:

Clinton:	54%
Obama:	41%
Other:	1%
Undecided:	4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Likely Democratic Primary Voters Mar

7-8 Mar

26-27 Apr

5-6 Apr

11-13 Apr

17-19

 

Clinton 52% 51% 45% 57% 54%

Obama 41% 39% 45% 37% 41%

Someone else 1% 2% 4% 2% 1%

Undecided 6% 8% 6% 4% 4%

[Joe Republic]

Perhaps they should ask for another go; the dice must have fallen on an uneven surface this time.

[Wrecking Ball and Chain]

Great news. If they showed her up by single digits I would be getting worried.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Last poll 4/13

Clinton 54% (-3)
Obama 41% (+4)

Excluding ARG polls, the average at the time the last poll was taken was about Clinton +6.  It's now Clinton +3-4.  So, yeah, ARG lays another one.

[Wrecking Ball and Chain]

Last poll 4/13

Clinton 54% (-3)
Obama 41% (+4)

Excluding ARG polls, the average at the time the last poll was taken was about Clinton +6.  It's now Clinton +3-4.  So, yeah, ARG lays another one.

[ChrisFromNJ]

I am really looking forward to SurveyUSA's last poll in PA. They have been on the mark for the most part, and I have no reason to doubt them.

I guess we'll have to see SUSA's poll before we can establish credence to this ARG poll.

[Wrecking Ball and Chain]

I guess we'll have to see SUSA's poll before we can establish credence to this ARG poll.

I'm interested in SUSA's too, but I already know the credence of this: It's trash, like all of ARG's polls. Hence the running joke on the forum that the result is always the exact opposite of whatever ARG says (which is actually more accurate than taking ARG's polls at face value.)

ARG's polls are either complete trash or simply a case of them copying decent polls.

[Lіef]

Um... didn't ARG nail one of Ohio or Texas with their last poll?

Normally this would be great news, but I'm still worried.

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

So far, SUSA's polls in PA have had Clinton farther above what most other polls have her at, so if that trend continues, it wouldn't be too far off ARG's.

[Wrecking Ball and Chain]

Um... didn't ARG nail one of Ohio or Texas with their last poll?

Normally this would be great news, but I'm still worried.

I really doubt ARG magically improved greatly as a poster in that amount of time (remember their Wisconsin numbers? LOL.) They were simply ripping off the numbers of real pollsters. So if no one other than ARG is saying this, we can assume it this is just ARG's typical crap.

[agcatter]

For comparison purposes ARG's final March 4th primary polls showed:

Clinton +3  (Clinton final margin +4) in Texas.

Clinton +14 (Clinton final margin +10) in Ohio.

Not sure what that means for Pennsylvania if anything but those were their numbers.