PA PrimD: Strategic Vision: Clinton Leads PA by 7%
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  PA PrimD: Strategic Vision: Clinton Leads PA by 7%
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Author Topic: PA PrimD: Strategic Vision: Clinton Leads PA by 7%  (Read 1933 times)
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« on: April 20, 2008, 08:35:59 PM »

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Strategic Vision on 2008-04-20

Summary:
Clinton:
48%
Obama:
41%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

11. Who is your choice for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2008? (Democrats Only)

Hillary Clinton 48%

Barack Obama 41%

Undecided 11%
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Alcon
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« Reply #1 on: April 20, 2008, 09:15:23 PM »

Last poll 4/13

Clinton 48% (-1)
Obama 41% (+1)
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
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« Reply #2 on: April 20, 2008, 09:17:50 PM »

Hillary by 6. That's most likely going to stick as my final prediction.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: April 20, 2008, 09:22:43 PM »

About the margin I'm expecting. Not nearly good enough for Hilldawg.
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agcatter
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« Reply #4 on: April 20, 2008, 09:33:17 PM »

Thing is, we now have a whole series of polls showing Obama consistently in the low 40s.  Combined with tonight's Zogby's release showing him at 42, I think Obama's absolute ceiling may be 44 or 45%.  Not predicting it but I could see Hillary winning by 10 or 11 %.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #5 on: April 20, 2008, 09:36:33 PM »

Agcatter has a point. I don't think there's been a single poll since the race started with Obama above 45%.
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Verily
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« Reply #6 on: April 20, 2008, 10:02:38 PM »

Agcatter has a point. I don't think there's been a single poll since the race started with Obama above 45%.

Muhlenberg had him at 46%.

Doesn't change the argument, though; I'm just being a pedant. Agcatter (and those who proposed it elsewhere) may well be right.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #7 on: April 21, 2008, 12:14:43 AM »

Thing is, we now have a whole series of polls showing Obama consistently in the low 40s.  Combined with tonight's Zogby's release showing him at 42, I think Obama's absolute ceiling may be 44 or 45%.  Not predicting it but I could see Hillary winning by 10 or 11 %.

I would agree with that, although my prediction will probably be 9%.  I'll make a prediction during the day today on my blog, and then again after the Zogby poll comes out.
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J. J.
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« Reply #8 on: April 21, 2008, 07:10:37 AM »

Those undecideds are huge.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #9 on: April 21, 2008, 10:17:33 AM »

Thing is, we now have a whole series of polls showing Obama consistently in the low 40s.  Combined with tonight's Zogby's release showing him at 42, I think Obama's absolute ceiling may be 44 or 45%.  Not predicting it but I could see Hillary winning by 10 or 11 %.
not sure this really makes sense.  What have those same polls shown for Hillary?  Has she been shown well over 50% in any of them?  I ask because I don't know the answer, but if she hasn't then why is it more significant that Obama hasn't been above the low 40's than it is that Hillary hasn't been above the high 40's (or whatever the actual number may be)?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #10 on: April 21, 2008, 10:20:55 AM »

Hillary by 10% in the end. The undecideds will break heavily for her like they did in Ohio and Texas.
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