Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 04, 2016, 03:25:19 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2004 U.S. Presidential Election
| | |-+  2004 U.S. Presidential Election Polls
| | | |-+  Bush +12 in IN
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 Print
Author Topic: Bush +12 in IN  (Read 9504 times)
classical liberal
RightWingNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1758


Political Matrix
E: 9.35, S: -8.26

View Profile
« on: August 25, 2004, 11:24:31 am »
Ignore

Double-digit lead not surprising, but a bit of a come down from the +19 MRI put out last month.

link:

http://www.imaweb.com/news_pdfs/Bellwether%20Polling%20Results%20Aug%202004%20pdf.pdf
Logged

"As for me, I'd rather live in a free country than a 'fair' one." --David Harsanyi

"What passes for optimism is most often the effect of an intellectual error." --Raymond Claud Ferdinan Aron

"The world is a rough and nasty place. Absent a change in human nature, it will remain so." --Robert M. Gates
Blue Rectangle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2683


Political Matrix
E: 8.50, S: -0.62

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2004, 11:48:27 am »
Ignore

Definitely bad news for Bush.  The state is clearly trending Democratic.  If the trend holds, Bush will lose another 7 points in each of the next two months and Kerry will take the state by 2% Wink
Logged
Light Touch
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 342


View Profile WWW
« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2004, 12:14:39 pm »
Ignore

IN isn't in play.  If IN goes Kerry, Bush will have long since lost the election.
Logged

http://www.badnarik.org
"...our Commerce Clause's boundaries simply cannot be "defined" as being "'commensurate with the national needs'"...  Such a formulation of federal power is no test at all: It is a blank check."  -Justice Clarence Thomas, United States v. Lopez (1995)
ilikeverin
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15750
Timor-Leste


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2004, 01:13:54 pm »
Ignore

IN isn't in play.  If IN goes Kerry, Bush will have long since lost the election.

Sarcasm.

The following is also sarcasm:

I think that all voters from Bush, Probably to Kerry, Definitly will go Kerry, giving him the win 53%-47% Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
Logged

Chief Judicial Officer of the Most Serene Republic of the Midwest, registered in the State of Joy, in Atlasia
Recognized National Treasure of Atlasia
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14683
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: August 26, 2004, 12:53:35 pm »
Ignore

I can't see Indiana going Democrat unless Evan Bayh was the party nominee.

Dave
Logged

Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 47%/Economic 37%] / Defense 'Hawk'
Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3695


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

View Profile
« Reply #5 on: August 26, 2004, 01:34:17 pm »
Ignore


This poll is interesting for one reason:

Indiana's polls close at 6pm.  If Kerry is within 10 points of Bush in the exit poll, the state will not immediately be called for Bush.  This would be a very early signal of a Kerry victory, and seems possible given this poll.
Logged
Reds4
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 786


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: August 26, 2004, 01:40:58 pm »
Ignore

Prediction: The state will be called immediately for Bush. Bush by 12-14.
Logged
classical liberal
RightWingNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1758


Political Matrix
E: 9.35, S: -8.26

View Profile
« Reply #7 on: August 26, 2004, 02:16:37 pm »
Ignore

If IN is not called until MT/TX/everything in between, then Kerry has probably carried OH and MO, maybe AR as well.  If IN is called with IL, then Bush probably took OH and AR with MO up in th air.
Logged

"As for me, I'd rather live in a free country than a 'fair' one." --David Harsanyi

"What passes for optimism is most often the effect of an intellectual error." --Raymond Claud Ferdinan Aron

"The world is a rough and nasty place. Absent a change in human nature, it will remain so." --Robert M. Gates
○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 38931


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

View Profile
« Reply #8 on: August 26, 2004, 02:17:18 pm »
Ignore


This poll is interesting for one reason:

Indiana's polls close at 6pm.  If Kerry is within 10 points of Bush in the exit poll, the state will not immediately be called for Bush.  This would be a very early signal of a Kerry victory, and seems possible given this poll.

Part of IN is in Central time.
Logged

classical liberal
RightWingNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1758


Political Matrix
E: 9.35, S: -8.26

View Profile
« Reply #9 on: August 26, 2004, 02:39:03 pm »
Ignore


This poll is interesting for one reason:

Indiana's polls close at 6pm.  If Kerry is within 10 points of Bush in the exit poll, the state will not immediately be called for Bush.  This would be a very early signal of a Kerry victory, and seems possible given this poll.

Part of IN is in Central time.


The part that has a Dem Congressman.
Logged

"As for me, I'd rather live in a free country than a 'fair' one." --David Harsanyi

"What passes for optimism is most often the effect of an intellectual error." --Raymond Claud Ferdinan Aron

"The world is a rough and nasty place. Absent a change in human nature, it will remain so." --Robert M. Gates
MODU
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22088
United States


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: August 26, 2004, 02:39:52 pm »
Ignore


That is true, depending on daylights savings time.  Use to drive me nuts remembering that when my (now ex) g/f was going to school in IN.
Logged

??????????
StatesRights
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31213
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

View Profile
« Reply #11 on: August 26, 2004, 03:19:18 pm »
Ignore

MODU,

Nice house and great video! You are in NOVA, correct?
Logged
Horus
Sheliak5
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1707


Political Matrix
E: 0.51, S: -9.21

View Profile
« Reply #12 on: August 26, 2004, 03:38:33 pm »
Ignore

I think the state is trending Dem, but we won't see it vote Dem Nationally until at least 2020 and probably much later.
Logged
ATFFL
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5763
View Profile
« Reply #13 on: August 26, 2004, 03:39:11 pm »
Ignore

I think the state is trending Dem, but we won't see it vote Dem Nationally until at least 2020 and probably much later.

And then only if the trend continues.  Trends have a nasty habit of changing at the most unexpected times.
Logged
ilikeverin
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15750
Timor-Leste


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: August 26, 2004, 03:39:29 pm »
Ignore

I think the state is trending Dem, but we won't see it vote Dem Nationally until at least 2020 and probably much later.

I say 2028 when I run for VP Cool Wink
Logged

Chief Judicial Officer of the Most Serene Republic of the Midwest, registered in the State of Joy, in Atlasia
Recognized National Treasure of Atlasia
??????????
StatesRights
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31213
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

View Profile
« Reply #15 on: August 26, 2004, 03:41:38 pm »
Ignore

Trends looking 20 years into the future are not in any ways reliable.
Logged
ATFFL
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5763
View Profile
« Reply #16 on: August 26, 2004, 03:44:49 pm »
Ignore

I think the state is trending Dem, but we won't see it vote Dem Nationally until at least 2020 and probably much later.

And then only if the trend continues.  Trends have a nasty habit of changing at the most unexpected times.
Logged
??????????
StatesRights
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31213
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

View Profile
« Reply #17 on: August 26, 2004, 03:47:19 pm »
Ignore

Up until 1960 no one ever would have believed the deep south would be a Republican stronghold.
Logged
MODU
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22088
United States


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: August 26, 2004, 04:10:16 pm »
Ignore

MODU,

Nice house and great video! You are in NOVA, correct?

Yuppers.  One of many beltway bandits.  Smiley
Logged

MODU
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22088
United States


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: August 26, 2004, 04:11:35 pm »
Ignore

I think the state is trending Dem, but we won't see it vote Dem Nationally until at least 2020 and probably much later.

I say 2028 when I run for VP Cool Wink

If you do, I'll post your campaign sign in my yard, even if I am going to vote for your opposition.  Smiley
Logged

??????????
StatesRights
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31213
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

View Profile
« Reply #20 on: August 26, 2004, 04:16:05 pm »
Ignore

MODU,

Nice house and great video! You are in NOVA, correct?

Yuppers.  One of many beltway bandits.  Smiley

My wife is from Manassas. Of course when she went there it was still a very southern area...sadly...not to much anymore. I spent two hours one time just finding parking for the metro!!! Ridiculous.
Logged
MODU
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22088
United States


View Profile
« Reply #21 on: August 26, 2004, 04:24:01 pm »
Ignore


hahaha . . . well, I currently live on the fringe of Manassas, but have been eyeing the Northern Stafford area lately as a possible investment.  More land, less house . . . lower payment.  hahaha . . . and with the Metro area extending past Fredericksburg now, it will surely go up in price over the next decade.
Logged

??????????
StatesRights
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31213
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

View Profile
« Reply #22 on: August 26, 2004, 04:25:59 pm »
Ignore


hahaha . . . well, I currently live on the fringe of Manassas, but have been eyeing the Northern Stafford area lately as a possible investment.  More land, less house . . . lower payment.  hahaha . . . and with the Metro area extending past Fredericksburg now, it will surely go up in price over the next decade.

They haven't built rail lines down there yet have they? My wifes step grandparents live in very rural Fredricksburg. Town called Goldvein.
Logged
Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3695


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

View Profile
« Reply #23 on: August 26, 2004, 04:57:12 pm »
Ignore


This poll is interesting for one reason:

Indiana's polls close at 6pm.  If Kerry is within 10 points of Bush in the exit poll, the state will not immediately be called for Bush.  This would be a very early signal of a Kerry victory, and seems possible given this poll.

Part of IN is in Central time.


OK, but I always remember them calling Indiana immediately at 6pm, even in 1996.
Logged
??????????
StatesRights
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31213
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

View Profile
« Reply #24 on: August 26, 2004, 04:58:28 pm »
Ignore

President Forever gives the order in which states are called.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines