Bush +12 in IN

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

This poll is interesting for one reason:

Indiana's polls close at 6pm.  If Kerry is within 10 points of Bush in the exit poll, the state will not immediately be called for Bush.  This would be a very early signal of a Kerry victory, and seems possible given this poll.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

This poll is interesting for one reason:

Indiana's polls close at 6pm.  If Kerry is within 10 points of Bush in the exit poll, the state will not immediately be called for Bush.  This would be a very early signal of a Kerry victory, and seems possible given this poll.

Part of IN is in Central time.

OK, but I always remember them calling Indiana immediately at 6pm, even in 1996.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

If IN is not called until MT/TX/everything in between, then Kerry has probably carried OH and MO, maybe AR as well.  If IN is called with IL, then Bush probably took OH and AR with MO up in th air.

Illinois polls don't close until 8pm Eastern.  If Indiana is called with Illinois, then Indiana was shockingly close, and Kerry won the nation in a landslide.