WI: University of Wisconsin: McCain +6 over Clinton, Obama +4 over McCain in Wisconsin

[Alcon]

New Poll: Wisconsin President by University of Wisconsin on 2008-04-24

Summary: D: 41%, R: 47%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ChrisFromNJ]

Is Obama's polling in Wisconsin, a key swing state, going to be enough to show the superdelegates that he is electable, despite Hillary's much better performance in other key swing states like Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia?

[Mr.Phips]

Is Obama's polling in Wisconsin, a key swing state, going to be enough to show the superdelegates that he is electable, despite Hillary's much better performance in other key swing states like Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia?

He also polls much better than her in Colorado and Virginia.  Those two states would be out of reach for Dems with Hillary as the nominee. 

[ChrisFromNJ]

Is Obama's polling in Wisconsin, a key swing state, going to be enough to show the superdelegates that he is electable, despite Hillary's much better performance in other key swing states like Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia?

He also polls much better than her in Colorado and Virginia.  Those two states would be out of reach for Dems with Hillary as the nominee. 

Virginia is out of reach for the Dems regardless of the nominee.

[ottermax]

As much as Hillary could win more states, she would also risk losing the most. Obama would have a sure victory in the traditional Democratic states, so he could spend money on swing states, rather than defending the usual Democratic states.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

These numbers don't look too crazy, but this is still a crap uni poll.

[Erc]

Is Obama's polling in Wisconsin, a key swing state, going to be enough to show the superdelegates that he is electable, despite Hillary's much better performance in other key swing states like Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia?

Florida + Ohio + Pennsylvania + Michigan = 85 EV

Wisconsin + Iowa + Colorado = 26 EV

[Lief 🗽]

Is Obama's polling in Wisconsin, a key swing state, going to be enough to show the superdelegates that he is electable, despite Hillary's much better performance in other key swing states like Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia?

Florida + Ohio + Pennsylvania + Michigan = 85 EV

Wisconsin + Iowa + Colorado = 26 EV

Except Obama is out-polling Clinton in Michigan. You'd also need to add Washington, Oregon and New Hampshire into the Obama column, as he's out-polling her there as well (and in WA and OR's case, making them non-competitive).

[Eraserhead]

Is Obama's polling in Wisconsin, a key swing state, going to be enough to show the superdelegates that he is electable, despite Hillary's much better performance in other key swing states like Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia?

Florida + Ohio + Pennsylvania + Michigan = 85 EV

Wisconsin + Iowa + Colorado = 26 EV

Obama is a lot more likely to win the "Clinton states" you listed than Clinton is to win the "Obama states".

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Again, wrong date.  Working databae link: http://www.uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=5520080422051