NC Prim D: Insider Advantage: Clinton now leads Obama by 2
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  NC Prim D: Insider Advantage: Clinton now leads Obama by 2
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Author Topic: NC Prim D: Insider Advantage: Clinton now leads Obama by 2  (Read 5282 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #25 on: May 01, 2008, 12:50:31 AM »

I donīt think this poll is accurate. Not only do they have African-Americans at only 25%, they even have Clinton winning more than 20% in this group with about 15% undecided. In Virginia, where the share of African-Americans is lower than in North Carolina, they made up 30% of the electorate and 90% voted for Obama. There's also no way Clinton could win NC, if Obama gets 40% of Whites. He would have to get only 26% of Whites to lose NC, if the breakdown is 60% White, 35% Black, 5% Latino/Asian ... Let's wait for Zogby tomorrow.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #26 on: May 01, 2008, 08:34:13 AM »

even if oyu correct the black vote in this poll, it still isnt particularly good news for the obama, who was consistently up by double digits in nearly every poll as recently as a week-10 days ago.
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agcatter
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« Reply #27 on: May 01, 2008, 08:43:56 AM »

BTW, that Mason Dixon Poll has

Obama   49
Clinton   42
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #28 on: May 01, 2008, 08:12:04 PM »

This poll is as unbelievable as the ones in PA showing Obama ahead.  I certainly believe there has been movement in Clinton's direction, but not to this degree.  We all know it is an outlier.
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