Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
Posts: 46,055
Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70
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« on: May 27, 2008, 10:45:50 PM » |
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1964, 1968, 1976, 1980 and 2000 were all up for grabs, definitely and maybe 1988 as well. As to 1964, Goldwater won California by a hair after Rockefeller's trophy replacement model wife gave birth (folks cared about that sort of thing then more than now). Absent that, and Goldwater probably would not have won the nomination. McCain could have taken out Bush in 2000 if he was more disciplined (he learned his lesson). In 1988, Bush simply out performed the other candidates, and shreaded them in the debates. He was a very effective candidate, unlike in 1992 when he had a thyroid condition that enervated him (I was always puzzled by his performance until I learned that).
In any event, there are really two few data points to support some grand unified theory about annoitment. I predicted early on that Carter, Dukasis, and Clinton would win their nominations, simply because they were clearly superior candidates.
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