OR PrimD: Survey USA: Obama increases lead in OR

[Alcon]

I´m a little bit concerned about the early voters (almost half of the sample), where they are tied. But as long as Obama maintains a 20% edge among election day voters it doesn´t really matter.

There are no election day voters in Oregon

Well, I guess there technically could be...but you know what I mean!

This number should probably concern Obama folks a little, especially considering his underperformance in he WA primary.  We'll see.

[Alcon]

I´m a little bit concerned about the early voters (almost half of the sample), where they are tied. But as long as Obama maintains a 20% edge among election day voters it doesn´t really matter.

There are no election day voters in Oregon

Well, I guess there technically could be...but you know what I mean!

This number should probably concern Obama folks a little, especially considering his underperformance in he WA primary.  We'll see.

I think there will be more interest in a primary that actually matters than one that didn't.

The Oregon media has been weirdly disinterested in this election.  I guess it depends on how complacent voters are getting.  I wonder how blitzed he ad market is getting.  Obama would be wise to put up his "send in your ballots now" ads soon.

I wasn't saying it's very meaningful, just that it would be better news if he were leading by 20 in the other subgroup.

[Alcon]

Check out the difference between the voters who have already voted and those who are likely to. One explanation could be young people and the other could be a bump from NC and IN. Also more than half the people have already voted.

I think you're mixing up the two columns.