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| | | |-+  AK: Research 2000: Begich leads Stevens by 5%
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Author Topic: AK: Research 2000: Begich leads Stevens by 5%  (Read 1704 times)
TheresNoMoney
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« on: May 15, 2008, 12:53:32 pm »
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600 Likely Voters, 5/12-5/14, MOE +/- 4%

Stevens   (R) 43%
Begich    (D) 48%

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Other results:

Congress

Berkowitz (D)    50%
Young  (R)         40%

President:

McCain (R)  49%
Obama (D)  42%
« Last Edit: May 15, 2008, 01:00:00 pm by TheresNoMoney »Logged

E: -3.25
S: -2.72

On the GOP side, for 2016, look out for Gov. Phill Kline (KS), Gov. Ralph Reed (GA), Gov. JD Hayworth (AZ), Sen. David Vitter (LA), among others.
Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #1 on: May 15, 2008, 02:37:01 pm »
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God Alaska is going to be interesting in November!  I believe Begich and Berkowitz have a good chance of beating Stevens and Young - and Obama is already over 40% of the vote - I really hope he can hold McCain to a single-digit victory here.  It would be amazing to have the parties competing over Alaska!
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Verily
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« Reply #2 on: May 15, 2008, 02:39:45 pm »
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Anything on the GOP House primary?
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Lief
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« Reply #3 on: May 15, 2008, 04:52:08 pm »
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I wonder if Obama will be the first candidate since Nixon (right?) to visit Alaska and Hawaii during the general election campaign.
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ottermax
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« Reply #4 on: May 15, 2008, 06:55:34 pm »
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I wonder if Obama will be the first candidate since Nixon (right?) to visit Alaska and Hawaii during the general election campaign.

He'll probably visit Hawaii for vacation (I wonder if that would be his vacation spot as president; Hawaii would be so proud...), and maybe Alaska will enter his path.
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PASOK Leader Hashemite
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« Reply #5 on: May 15, 2008, 06:57:29 pm »
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Smiley
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Verily
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« Reply #6 on: May 15, 2008, 11:17:11 pm »
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It certainly wouldn't hurt his campaign to visit Alaska in, say, early October, before crunch time on campaigning in swing states but still late enough to make Alaskans swoon from all the attention.

On the other hand, the weather is early October is probably pretty capricious and unpleasant in Alaska. Better to go in early September or something where he might actually be able to draw a crowd in Anchorage or Fairbanks.
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Robespierre's Jaw
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« Reply #7 on: May 16, 2008, 01:19:48 am »
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Come again? The Mayor of Anchorage is leading in the polls in Alaska against Ted Stevens. I thought this day would never come. Finally, after all of this time, Senatorial Elections in Alaska can be exciting! The only way, I ever thought Stevens would be removed from the United States Senate was via a coffin. Not now Smiley.

Hopefully, the Democrats and it's likely candidate Mark Begich wins the Alaskan Senate seat this November. It should be moreso interesting considering that Obama is above 40 percent in Alaska. It shall be exciting to hopefully see both Presidential and Senatorial races competitive in Alaska this year.
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Here's to the State of Richard Nixon

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« Reply #8 on: May 16, 2008, 03:03:54 am »
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If Democrats sweep Alaska in November it certainly will be a sight to behold.  The only Democratic presidential candidate to ever win Alaska was LBJ in '64.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #9 on: May 16, 2008, 11:02:54 am »
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If Democrats sweep Alaska in November it certainly will be a sight to behold.  The only Democratic presidential candidate to ever win Alaska was LBJ in '64.

I doubt Obama will or can win Alaska at this stage.  It would be enough of a coup if both Begich and Berkowitz can turn Alaska's Delegation from Blue to Red (Atlas style) in one cycle.  If Obama can get above 40% of the vote, I'd be happy.  I will go out on a limb and predict:

ALASKA PRESIDENT -
54% (R) McCain
43% (D) Obama
  2% Others


ALASKA SENATE -
50% (D) Begich
45% (R) Stevens
  3% Others


ALASKA HOUSE -
57% (D) Berkowitz
42% (R) Young


Of course it could well be that Young doesn't make it to be the GOP candidate for the House in November.  Or that Stevens resigns and Palin appoints someone who will hold the Senate seat for the Republican Party in November.  But still...
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« Reply #10 on: May 16, 2008, 12:54:54 pm »
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Of course it could well be that Young doesn't make it to be the GOP candidate for the House in November.  Or that Stevens resigns and Palin appoints someone who will hold the Senate seat for the Republican Party in November.  But still...

The more polls like this that come out, the more likely it is that Young loses the primary.
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