AK: Research 2000: McCain beats Obama by 7, but Clinton by 18 (user search)
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  AK: Research 2000: McCain beats Obama by 7, but Clinton by 18 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AK: Research 2000: McCain beats Obama by 7, but Clinton by 18  (Read 4994 times)
Sbane
sbane
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« on: May 15, 2008, 07:12:36 PM »

Is there any chance that Libertarians could take away enough support from McCain to hand the election to Obama?  Since it's such a small state, could this happen?

My argument for Obama winning small states has been difficult for people to grasp. This is how he wins in these small states. He just needs to close the gap by a only a few ten thousand votes. In places like Ohio, he has to convince many more people to change their votes. Also, there are a lot of new voters in Alaska I believe and I think he can make it close.

Alaska is a state that very easily could flip because you just do not know who is moving to the state. Add to that the scandal with their congressional delegation combined with general anger against republicans and you could have an Obama win. I do not think he should visit the state though. It is just too expensive and not worth it.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #1 on: May 15, 2008, 08:01:06 PM »

I like how three close polls in Alaska spell victory to Democrats, yet many close polls in Massachusetts spell continuous outliers. Roll Eyes

Alaska is a small state which is growing fast. The same thing cannot be said about Massachusetts. I doubt Obama carries Alaska but if Obama has the extra cash it might be worth a try.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #2 on: May 15, 2008, 10:55:19 PM »

I like how three close polls in Alaska spell victory to Democrats, yet many close polls in Massachusetts spell continuous outliers. Roll Eyes
12 points is close?

Again, Roll Eyes

Remove head from anus, then post.

There's not so much growth that all of a sudden Alaska is going to swing 20+ points for an Obama victory.  Sure Alaska may have a chance to be close, but if you are using polls to come to that conclusion, you have to acknowledge the significance of the Massachusetts polls.  You can't use some polls and dismiss others.

Independents in Alaska could swing hard for Obama thus giving him a victory. OR they might not. To get massachusetts to swing you have to get a lot of people who voted for Kerry to vote for Mccain. Likely not going to happen. But Alaska has a lot of young people who have possibly not participated in the process. Combine that with people pissed off at their congressional delegation and you could have a switch. Not likely though.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #3 on: May 15, 2008, 11:18:27 PM »

I like how three close polls in Alaska spell victory to Democrats, yet many close polls in Massachusetts spell continuous outliers. Roll Eyes

Haha, what?

Do you guys even read the posts in this thread?

Fezzy and Duke = retarded trolls

What does that make you? A mindless follower of the masses on this forum? Forgive us for disagreeing with the great Obama and his supporters!

Did you read the thread? You didn't see anyone suggesting he could win Alaska?

Who suggested Obama would win Alaska duke?
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Sbane
sbane
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Posts: 15,309


« Reply #4 on: May 15, 2008, 11:33:53 PM »

I like how three close polls in Alaska spell victory to Democrats, yet many close polls in Massachusetts spell continuous outliers. Roll Eyes

Haha, what?

Do you guys even read the posts in this thread?

Fezzy and Duke = retarded trolls

What does that make you? A mindless follower of the masses on this forum? Forgive us for disagreeing with the great Obama and his supporters!

Did you read the thread? You didn't see anyone suggesting he could win Alaska?

Yes, I can actually read. I saw people suggesting that it would not hurt if Obama campaigned and/or advertised in Alaska. I saw no one say they actually thought Obama would seriously win it.

But hey, don't mind me, f**kwad. Go on being the dumbest and most worthless douche bag on the forum. It's the only thing you're good at.

Boo hoo. Like I give a rats ass what most of the posters, especially mindless Obamaniacs, think about me on this forum. I'm here to be a dick and argue politics because that's what I like to do in my spare time/when I'm at work/school, not to make lifelong friends and impress people by outdoing everyone on the competition involving showing our unconditional love for Barack Obama or how much we hate George Bush. But I'll quit because apparently you don't want to be embarrassed in front of everyone because it's oh so important to be well liked by everyone here. But, if I remember correctly, you are more hated than I am, so it looks like you have a lot of work to do! 

I like how three close polls in Alaska spell victory to Democrats, yet many close polls in Massachusetts spell continuous outliers. Roll Eyes

Haha, what?

Do you guys even read the posts in this thread?

Fezzy and Duke = retarded trolls

What does that make you? A mindless follower of the masses on this forum? Forgive us for disagreeing with the great Obama and his supporters!

Did you read the thread? You didn't see anyone suggesting he could win Alaska?

Who suggested Obama would win Alaska duke?

I never said anyone said he'd win. Fezzy did that sarcastically, but people are saying "if we works hard, if he spends money, there are lots of young people, etc..." the generic BS people say about every state, that have the idea that he could win it in the right conditions. When someone suggests McCain doing the same, as Fezzy points out, people jump all over that person. I was crucified for suggesting McCain would break 40% in Massachusetts.

You were crucified for suggesting MCcain will break 40% in Mass? Are you serious because I did not see that. I think it should be common knowledge that Mccain could very well break 40%  in MAss.
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Sbane
sbane
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Posts: 15,309


« Reply #5 on: May 15, 2008, 11:41:32 PM »

It is now, but this was when we had about 3 polls showing McCain and Obama tied in MA, but it was inconceivable to posters that John "100 years in Iraq" McCain could break 40% in Massachusetts against Obama. We had people convinced Obama would outperform John Kerry.

Yeah but then we realized blue collar racists whites will not vote for Obama.
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