NV: Rasmussen: Clinton ahead of McCain, while Obama trails
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  NV: Rasmussen: Clinton ahead of McCain, while Obama trails
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Author Topic: NV: Rasmussen: Clinton ahead of McCain, while Obama trails  (Read 3078 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: May 22, 2008, 11:20:41 AM »

New Poll: Nevada President by Rasmussen on 2008-05-20

Summary: D: 46%, R: 41%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details


McCain: 46%
Obama: 40%


Favorable Ratings:

McCain - 53% favorable, 45% unfavorable
Obama - 47% favorable, 53% unfavorable
Clinton - 46% favorable, 53% unfavorable
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Alcon
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« Reply #1 on: May 22, 2008, 11:24:03 AM »
« Edited: May 22, 2008, 11:29:00 AM by Alcon »

Getting only 2/3 of Democrats really doesn't do Obama any favors.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2008, 11:27:48 AM »


Yeah, interesting. One month ago, Clinton trailed McCain by 11 and is now ahead by 5. And her favorables are lower than Obama's ... At least we can trade Nevada for Virginia ... Tongue
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2008, 11:32:43 AM »

Weird poll.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #4 on: May 22, 2008, 11:41:57 AM »

Really strange results.
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #5 on: May 22, 2008, 05:49:49 PM »

This poll is off, although not by as much as the Virginia poll.  I think McCain is probably about tied with both, either leading or trailing by no more than 1%.  This state will be very close, in the top 5.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #6 on: May 22, 2008, 05:51:50 PM »

It's strange to see Clinton outperforming Obama in Nevada, but this state will be very close yet again this year. With a good VP, it could go to McCain.
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #7 on: May 22, 2008, 05:57:03 PM »

Can't be right.

Why exactly is Clinton still being polled?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #8 on: May 22, 2008, 05:58:01 PM »

Strange, because Rasmussen said they were going to stop polling her.
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War on Want
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« Reply #9 on: May 22, 2008, 06:29:14 PM »

Another outlier, there is no way Clinton would do better in the Southwest than Obama. This has never happened before except in New Mexico, whoose demographics is different.
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Sbane
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« Reply #10 on: May 22, 2008, 09:57:21 PM »

What was the hispanic vote like? Does anyone have crosstabs?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #11 on: May 23, 2008, 01:59:46 AM »

Another outlier, there is no way Clinton would do better in the Southwest than Obama. This has never happened before except in New Mexico, whoose demographics is different.

Actually, with more working class people living in Nevada, it's not surprising she outpolls Obama here. She did have her only caucus victory here.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #12 on: May 25, 2008, 10:37:38 AM »

again ill ask the obamamaniacs, why the hell do you all think nevada is solid obama?
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exopolitician
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« Reply #13 on: May 25, 2008, 08:32:30 PM »

again ill ask the obamamaniacs, why the hell do you all think nevada is solid obama?

I think he has a decent shot in Nevada. The state will probably slide back in forth in the polls [doesnt it usually?] but I dunno how it'll end up in November. Pure tossup.
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War on Want
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« Reply #14 on: May 25, 2008, 08:34:30 PM »

Another outlier, there is no way Clinton would do better in the Southwest than Obama. This has never happened before except in New Mexico, whoose demographics is different.

Actually, with more working class people living in Nevada, it's not surprising she outpolls Obama here. She did have her only caucus victory here.
I know there are more working class people that live in Nevada but still there is no way she would actually do better than Obama in november. There are too many social liberals and independents in Reno to allow that and besides the working class in Nevada are not the types to vote against Obama because he is not culturally "acceptable".
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Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
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« Reply #15 on: May 26, 2008, 02:53:10 PM »

again ill ask the obamamaniacs, why the hell do you all think nevada is solid obama?

Because they hope it is.  And hope is all one needs to believe something is true.  If you hope it, it is.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #16 on: May 26, 2008, 04:55:03 PM »

again ill ask the obamamaniacs, why the hell do you all think nevada is solid obama?

Because they hope it is.  And hope is all one needs to believe something is true.  If you hope it, it is.

Not sure where the Obama fans are posting Nevada as solid Obama, but I haven't been on this forum as long as many of you and I know the prediction pages can sometimes get hyper-partisan....

What was the hispanic vote like? Does anyone have crosstabs?

I didn't see any crosstabs on the source poll... but I agree this is one of the key questions come November.

How well will McCain do amongst Latinos in the SW, with three key states up for grabs (NM,CO, & NV)? Will his image as a friendly Republican on immigration issues help him cut into Democratic margins amongst these voters? Will Obama be able to reach into voters that backed Clinton by significant numbers in NV?

Colorado held caucuses and I haven't seen exit polls with Latino breakdowns for that state, although Hillary did win several of the heavily Latino counties in the Southern part of the state. New Mexico indicated extremely strong support for Hillary amongst Latinos, but since many of these people are natives rather than recent immigrants it is a different ballgame.
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Aizen
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« Reply #17 on: May 27, 2008, 04:59:44 PM »

All the other polls had Obama doing well and Hillary getting destroyed (Like Colorado). I'd like to see some more Nevada polls.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #18 on: May 27, 2008, 05:38:53 PM »

Nevada is not - in any way, shape or form - pro Obama. It is the very definition of a tossup swing state.
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