Home 2012 Election Results Election Info Weblog Wiki Search Email Site Info Store

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 20, 2013, 08:38:46 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Cast your ballot in the 2012 Mock Election!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2008 Elections
| | |-+  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
| | | |-+  What will be the closest state this year?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Poll
Question: By percentage, not total votes
New Hampshire   -10 (12.7%)
Pennsylvania   -6 (7.6%)
Ohio   -10 (12.7%)
Michigan   -3 (3.8%)
Wisconsin   -1 (1.3%)
Iowa   -1 (1.3%)
Missouri   -9 (11.4%)
Florida   -1 (1.3%)
Virginia   -9 (11.4%)
North Carolina   -2 (2.5%)
New Mexico   -6 (7.6%)
Arizona   -1 (1.3%)
Colorado   -4 (5.1%)
Nevada   -15 (19%)
Other (please be specific)   -1 (1.3%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 78

Author Topic: What will be the closest state this year?  (Read 7629 times)
Senator Ben
benconstine
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29788
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: 0.35

View Profile
« on: May 22, 2008, 05:58:01 pm »
Ignore
I'm inclined to go with New Hampshire at the moment, under 0.50%.
Logged
Quote from: The Mikado on March 18, 2011, 11:12:39 pm
Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10265
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: May 22, 2008, 07:03:06 pm »
Ignore
NH
Logged
Χahar
Xahar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 36855
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: 0.26

View Profile
« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2008, 10:02:55 pm »
Ignore
Yep, NH.
Logged
Senator Sbane
sbane
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12174


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2008, 10:09:26 pm »
Ignore
PA. I think NH will soon become a nice leftward drift from now through november. A lot will depend on what happens of course. PA is a state divided right now, we will see how it pans out.
Logged
cannonia
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 963
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.42, S: -1.30

P
View Profile
« Reply #4 on: May 23, 2008, 07:00:39 am »
Ignore
Since I expect this to be a big year for Democrats, I'll say MO.
Logged
user60521
Rookie
*
Posts: 21


Political Matrix
E: -9.10, S: -7.22

View Profile
« Reply #5 on: May 23, 2008, 08:05:54 am »
Ignore
Michigan, by my estimates ( average of polls from last 6-8 weeks), is the closest state.
Logged
“Until industrial democracy replaces industrial feudalism, politics will remain a shadow cast by big business over society”.
user60521
Rookie
*
Posts: 21


Political Matrix
E: -9.10, S: -7.22

View Profile
« Reply #6 on: May 23, 2008, 08:10:01 am »
Ignore
Missouri seems to be far into the republican side, about 10%.  New Hampshire I think will be somewhat close, but that's a big McCain state and I think winnable by a moderate Republican.  New Hampshire is what put McCain back into the race to begin with.  New Hampshire was also won by bush in 2000.
Logged
“Until industrial democracy replaces industrial feudalism, politics will remain a shadow cast by big business over society”.
Grumps
GM3PRP
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27423
Belize
Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -6.09

View Profile
« Reply #7 on: May 23, 2008, 10:48:43 am »
Ignore
PA and with the number of electoral votes it has....it's a bigger deal than NH.
Logged
Quote from: All life is a blur of Republicans and meat. on May 17, 2013, 01:33:31 pm
I believe in you, BushKenya.

Quote from: BushKenya on May 17, 2013, 02:25:44 pm
I've already tried faking it.  It doesn't work.  The app is too smart for that.  I can't drive 3 mph, plus I would clog traffic.
Bluegrass Cruiser 420
Full Member
***
Posts: 105
United States


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: May 23, 2008, 11:28:30 am »
Ignore
Definitely NH
Logged

JSojourner
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11688
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.94

View Profile
« Reply #9 on: May 23, 2008, 05:25:24 pm »
Ignore
New Hampshire is probably the smartest and safest guess.

But you know me.  I'm gonna say Nevada. 
Logged
I left.
Franzl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20474
Germany
View Profile
« Reply #10 on: May 23, 2008, 07:16:49 pm »
Ignore
Either Nevada or Colorado, I think
Logged
I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.

To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.

Cheers.
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31872
United States


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: May 23, 2008, 07:22:07 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: GM3 on May 23, 2008, 10:48:43 am
PA and with the number of electoral votes it has....it's a bigger deal than NH.

By percent, it might be PA or MI.

Reminds me of the "Great Westmoreland County Recount of 1983."
Logged
J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7972


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72

View Profile
« Reply #12 on: May 23, 2008, 11:41:23 pm »
Ignore
Nevada.
Logged
E: -3.25
S: -2.72

Quote from: AuH2O on June 02, 2005, 04:18:17 pm
On the GOP side, for 2016, look out for Gov. Phill Kline (KS), Gov. Ralph Reed (GA), Gov. JD Hayworth (AZ), Sen. David Vitter (LA), among others.
opebo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 44762


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: May 24, 2008, 10:57:21 am »
Ignore
I'll be optimistic and say Virginia (yes I'm hoping for rapid economic collapse by November).
Logged
Quote from: GM Griffin on May 11, 2013, 11:43:51 pm
opebo is awesome.

Quote from: ?????????? on April 22, 2005, 03:24:06 pm
You are a peice of trash and you disgust me you ignorant louse.
Senator Ben
benconstine
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29788
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: 0.35

View Profile
« Reply #14 on: May 24, 2008, 11:04:46 am »
Ignore
Quote from: opebo on May 24, 2008, 10:57:21 am
I'll be optimistic and say Virginia.

If Virginia is the closest state, then Obama wins in a landslide.
Logged
Quote from: The Mikado on March 18, 2011, 11:12:39 pm
Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 956
United States


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: May 24, 2008, 01:45:39 pm »
Ignore
I'll go out on a limb here and say New Mexico, both because of its recent history of extremely close presidential contests, as well because both candidates play very well here.
Logged
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18969
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

View Profile
« Reply #16 on: May 24, 2008, 01:47:27 pm »
Ignore
Closest GOP wins:
NH, PA, NJ, MI

Closest Dem Wins:
OH, IA
Logged
Gov. Christopher J. Christie
Ronnie
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4833
United States


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: May 24, 2008, 02:05:29 pm »
Ignore
PA, NV, OH, NM and NH.
Logged
Independent thinker
Fiscally Conservative
Socially Libertarian
Reasonable on foreign policy issues --
"Speak softly and carry a big stick"
Pictor Ignotus
TCash101
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6452


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: May 24, 2008, 02:08:35 pm »
Ignore
Missouri
Logged
Renew our Democracy!
BushKenya
BushOklahoma
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17238
Kenya


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: May 24, 2008, 08:11:08 pm »
Ignore
I'm gonna say Missouri.  Most people have it as a toss-up McCain or a lean McCain state.  I actually think it is a pure toss-up with only a very, very small tilt to McCain.  Obama can easily win this state.

I can see why people would say Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico.
Logged
Quote from: politicus on December 09, 2012, 10:14:44 pm
You are that rare species: a Bible-thumpin' Liberal.
Sensei
senseiofj324
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11829
Panama


Political Matrix
E: -2.45, S: -5.57

View Profile
« Reply #20 on: May 24, 2008, 11:02:03 pm »
Ignore
I'm gonna say Nevada, with McCain getting a slight edge.
Logged
HockeyDude
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4524
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.26, S: -8.26

View Profile
« Reply #21 on: May 24, 2008, 11:14:06 pm »
Ignore
I can't believe so many people are saying NH.  I really don't see it being all that close in the end.  Obama takes it by at least 5 in a close race, it's just too anti-war right now for McCain to do that well. 

I'll say Ohio.  I think it's going to be extremely tight in the end, within a point. 
Logged


LET'S GO RANGERS!  2013 PLAYOFFS!
Smash255
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13917


View Profile
« Reply #22 on: May 24, 2008, 11:16:40 pm »
Ignore
Virginia

As far as the people suggesting NH.  I just don't see it.   It helped get McCain on track and the state has been McCain friendly, but I just don't see anyway the state is that close.  It has moved quite a bit to the left and it is an extremely anti was state.  It was the single worst state in the country for the GOP in 06 with losing the two house seats and a whole ton of state house & Senate seats, and the Senate seat is a sure pickup for the dems this year.
Logged
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18969
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

View Profile
« Reply #23 on: May 25, 2008, 07:55:30 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Oklahoma Populist Democrat on May 24, 2008, 08:11:08 pm
I'm gonna say Missouri.  Most people have it as a toss-up McCain or a lean McCain state.  I actually think it is a pure toss-up with only a very, very small tilt to McCain.  Obama can easily win this state.

I can see why people would say Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico.
Really?  Not Oklahoma?
Logged
Gov. Christopher J. Christie
War on Want
Evilmexicandictator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7764
Uzbekistan


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -8.00

View Profile
« Reply #24 on: May 25, 2008, 11:27:06 am »
Ignore
I will say Nevada.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines
Forums Directory