PR: Hillary! with narrow lead over Obama

[Thomas Jackson]

http://www.vocero.com/portadas.asp?s=vocero

Clinton: 51%
Obama: 38%
Neither: 8%
Don't know: 3%

50% of the electorate says it will not participate in the primary.

34% of the electorate dislikes Clinton, 44% dislike Obama.

[Alcon]

+13 is not "narrow"

[Alcon]

When you're using the LA Times for your polling definitions, you're in trouble

[Eraserhead]

+13 is not "narrow"

[Franzl]

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Are you dare suggesting that the Slimes would dare lie about the marriage amendment?

No, he is suggesting that they suck at polling, and that any person that resorts to LA Times polls to back up their arguments isn't in a very good position.

[Verily]

+13 would definitely be narrow by the expectations game, as the general over-under from media sources seems more like a thirty-point margin (or, rather, that Clinton will win around two-thirds of the vote).

I wish we had more information on the breakdown of the poll. Anyone have a link? (Doesn't have to be in English.)

[Mr. Morden]

This is an identical spread to the only other PR poll we have, from back in April:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=74023.0

[Hash]

You got my hopes up for a moment there, but then I saw the author.

[Sam Spade]

Exactly how accurate are Puerto Rico polls or should caveat emptor be applied?

[Verily]

No idea, but some breakdowns I found:

If Puerto Rico could vote for President, both Clinton and Obama lead McCain 72-10.

37% said they were absolutely certain to vote, which means that will likely be the turnout (of all registered voters). 48% said they were at least somewhat likely to vote, and that was the group surveyed for their voting intention.

[Aizen]

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According to the new media definition it is. The LA Slimes claimed that a +19 point lead for the marriage amendment in Kalifornia was "narrow". 54%-35%.

This most certainly qualifies under that definition. (Not to mention it's much better for Obama than the 60's that Hitlery was claiming she would get in PR.)

I'll bite. What's with the misspelling of "California"?

[exopolitician]

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According to the new media definition it is. The LA Slimes claimed that a +19 point lead for the marriage amendment in Kalifornia was "narrow". 54%-35%.

This most certainly qualifies under that definition. (Not to mention it's much better for Obama than the 60's that Hitlery was claiming she would get in PR.)

I'll bite. What's with the misspelling of "California"?

I write it sometimes like that...only because its kinda how DA GOVERNATOR pronounces it

[Tender Branson]

If Puerto Rico could vote for President, both Clinton and Obama lead McCain 72-10.

I wonder why no Republican asked so far how many EV Puerto Rico has ...

[J. J.]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

According to the new media definition it is. The LA Slimes claimed that a +19 point lead for the marriage amendment in Kalifornia was "narrow". 54%-35%.

This most certainly qualifies under that definition. (Not to mention it's much better for Obama than the 60's that Hitlery was claiming she would get in PR.)

Didn't they also report that Saddam Hussein's was feeing a bit under the weather today?

[cannonia]

If Puerto Rico could vote for President, both Clinton and Obama lead McCain 72-10.

I wonder why no Republican asked so far how many EV Puerto Rico has ...

So wait, how many... Oh, you sneaky person.

[Mr. Morden]

Epic fail.

This was roughly as bad as ARG's "polling" of South Carolina.

[Sam Spade]

So Puerto Rico polling is as bad as US polling.  Not surprised.

[Verily]

So Puerto Rico polling is as bad as US polling.  Not surprised.

They way overestimated turnout, which I suspect is what sank them (as the group most likely to vote was the group most favorable to Clinton).