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July 29, 2016, 05:10:18 am
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| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | |-+  McCrory VS Trump
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Question: Who will do better in November?
McCrory   -33 (68.8%)
Trump   -15 (31.3%)
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Total Voters: 48

Author Topic: McCrory VS Trump  (Read 729 times)
WeAreDoomed
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« on: June 29, 2016, 03:26:34 pm »
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I say McCrory, I think he will win re election, while I think Drumpf may end up losing North Carolina.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2016, 03:32:40 pm »
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Gov. McCrory and Sen. Burr will both narrowly won reelection, I think. Trump will probably end up losing North Carolina.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #2 on: June 29, 2016, 03:48:39 pm »
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Hard to to tell, roughly equal. Both will win the state.
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« Reply #3 on: June 29, 2016, 03:54:28 pm »
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I imagine it will be McCrory. McCrory/Johnson or even McCrory/Clinton voters aren't exceedingly difficult to imagine (disaffected Republicans), and although the inverse is likely to happen to some extent I imagine there will be more of the former than Cooper/Trump crossovers.

It's very possible, though, that both of them lose.
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Not actually from Ontario.

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« Reply #4 on: June 30, 2016, 12:48:28 am »
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Unless McCrory's record fades into the background, I can't see him doing significantly better than Trump. I'm not sure there'd be more McCrory/Clinton voters than Cooper/Trump voters. Both races are toss-ups for now.
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Committeeman Kingpoleon
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« Reply #5 on: June 30, 2016, 11:28:33 pm »
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I picture quite a few Johnson/Cooper voters and even some NeverTrump neoconservative or independents who vote Clinton/Cooper who otherwise might not.

TL;DR: Hopefully Trump.
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whitesox130
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« Reply #6 on: July 05, 2016, 07:01:34 pm »
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Why does everyone seem to think McCrory will run ahead of Trump?
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #7 on: July 05, 2016, 07:58:44 pm »
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Why does everyone seem to think McCrory will run ahead of Trump?
Probably people who think there are more #NeverTrump Republicans in North Carolina than there are? That's the only thing I can come up with.
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Spark498
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« Reply #8 on: July 25, 2016, 01:33:25 am »
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About equal
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« Reply #9 on: July 27, 2016, 10:28:50 am »
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Their performance within NC are inextricably linked. If one of them fails, so will the other. Burr is the only one that has the potential to run somewhat ahead of either, but even his fate is dependent on their performance. NC has some of the most competitive topline tickets of the entire 2016 election.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #10 on: July 27, 2016, 10:38:50 am »
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Their performance within NC are inextricably linked. If one of them fails, so will the other. Burr is the only one that has the potential to run somewhat ahead of either, but even his fate is dependent on their performance. NC has some of the most competitive topline tickets of the entire 2016 election.
This.
I definitely can see some HRC-Mccrory and Trump-Cooper voters, I think in the end they will have the same score (approximately  <0.5%).
Regarding Burr, I think he can survive unless HRC wins this state by more than 2 points.
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Miles
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« Reply #11 on: July 28, 2016, 12:51:13 am »
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Their performance within NC are inextricably linked. If one of them fails, so will the other. Burr is the only one that has the potential to run somewhat ahead of either, but even his fate is dependent on their performance. NC has some of the most competitive topline tickets of the entire 2016 election.
This.
I definitely can see some HRC-Mccrory and Trump-Cooper voters, I think in the end they will have the same score (approximately  <0.5%).
Regarding Burr, I think he can survive unless HRC wins this state by more than 2 points.

Yes, anecdotally I can say these types exist, mostly in suburban Charlotte, though probably fewer elsewhere. And yes, there are still some in eastern NC and the sandhills who will vote for Trump but then the rest of the Democrats downballot.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #12 on: July 28, 2016, 06:04:11 pm »
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Why does everyone seem to think McCrory will run ahead of Trump?
Probably people who think there are more #NeverTrump Republicans in North Carolina than there are? That's the only thing I can come up with.

Well, the general take is that white college grads are still way more conservative than they "should" be in NC, which would make the state uniquely rough on Trump.  It really comes down to how many Blue Dog types you believe are out there that still voted for Obama in 2012.  The NC mountains are anomalous in that regard, but that could just be the lack of coal there.  In the East, most of the Blue Dogs already flipped at the top of the ticket.
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