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September 05, 2015, 11:22:54 am
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| | |-+  Tennessee State and Local Politics - Nashville Mayoral Runoff - Sep. 10
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Author Topic: Tennessee State and Local Politics - Nashville Mayoral Runoff - Sep. 10  (Read 5293 times)
Executive Secretary Türkisblau
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« Reply #75 on: August 13, 2015, 09:17:52 am »
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HD14:  Zachary wins the primary, with 2,397 votes to Carson's 1,742.

So - far right is triumphant here? Usual thing for Republican primary in "reliable" districts: the more far-right you are - the more you get from the base. And if you must not care about GE - that's the shortest possible path to victory. The same for Democrats in "their" districts... The result - extremely polarized state legislatures (and Congress)

Smolty, you have the bizarre honor of being the Atlas user to have repeated the obvious the most times.
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Executive Secretary of the Worker's Party
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« Reply #76 on: August 13, 2015, 09:22:19 am »
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Going back to the Nashville Mayor race - here's a map.  Runoff between Barry and Fox on Sept. 10.



Bear in mind that in this race, even the last placed candidate ran TV ads.

David Fox (red): Most GOP voters with some business-oriented conservadems
Megan Barry (blue): Urban progressives, "hipsters", etc.
Bill Freeman (green): Blue-collar Dems and a large portion of African-Americans.  He also targeted hispanics.
Howard Gentry (yellow): African-Americans

Linda Eskind Rebrovick: intelligent handsome map nerds (I voted for her, but apparently no one else did)  Rebrovick, a former Dell and IBM executive, campaigned on a "smarter city" using technology to alleviate our traffic and growth problems.  She got some traction among moderate GOP voters moderate women, but leaked votes to Fox in the end.

Its not clear who Charles Bone was targeting, but he did have a TV ad with a memorable jingle about Nashville neighborhoods.  Jeremy Kane came in last but has built some name ID for a future race.

I think Bone was going after GOP voters as well, considering his campaign staff.  As for the runoff, if you add up all of the votes for Fox, Rebrovick, and Bone, you get around 40%.  It will come down to whether or not Freeman voters come home for Barry- if they do, Barry will win, but, if they don't, Fox has a good chance to come out on top.
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« Reply #77 on: August 13, 2015, 09:51:53 am »
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HD14:  Zachary wins the primary, with 2,397 votes to Carson's 1,742.

So - far right is triumphant here? Usual thing for Republican primary in "reliable" districts: the more far-right you are - the more you get from the base. And if you must not care about GE - that's the shortest possible path to victory. The same for Democrats in "their" districts... The result - extremely polarized state legislatures (and Congress)

Smolty, you have the bizarre honor of being the Atlas user to have repeated the obvious the most times.

Thanks. That's exactly what i want. Ideally - until this obvious thing (and - general idiocy of such situation) will become generally accepted mantra. As Cato the Elder has said in the past "...it is my opinion that Carthage must be destroyed"))))) And he said this in EVERY speech)))
« Last Edit: August 13, 2015, 03:02:59 pm by smoltchanov »Logged

Raging moderate. Big fan of "mavericks" (in all parties) and big non-lover of "reliable foot soldiers" (in all parties as well). Very much "anti-tea party". Political Matrix - E: -0.26, S: -3.48. Like to collect bans on partisan sites (4-5 on DKE (+ SSP) and on RRH).
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« Reply #78 on: August 15, 2015, 07:16:03 pm »
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2018 Gov:  A couple of Dem state senators claim to be optimistic about the election, and suggested the mayors of Chattanooga, Nashville, and Clarksville as possible candidates.
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« Reply #79 on: August 16, 2015, 12:12:48 am »
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2018 Gov:  A couple of Dem state senators claim to be optimistic about the election, and suggested the mayors of Chattanooga, Nashville, and Clarksville as possible candidates.

If (as likely) Republicans will run much more conservative candidate then Haslam - possibly (though not very likely)
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Raging moderate. Big fan of "mavericks" (in all parties) and big non-lover of "reliable foot soldiers" (in all parties as well). Very much "anti-tea party". Political Matrix - E: -0.26, S: -3.48. Like to collect bans on partisan sites (4-5 on DKE (+ SSP) and on RRH).
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« Reply #80 on: August 23, 2015, 02:13:58 pm »
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2018 Gov:  Mayor Andy Berke (D-Chattanooga) denies any interest in seeking the office.
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« Reply #81 on: August 23, 2015, 02:16:03 pm »
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2018 Gov:  Mayor Andy Berke (D-Chattanooga) denies any interest in seeking the office.

No! Would have been nice to see him get crushed.
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Nobody can do it like Hillary can.  She will roll out the carpet out all over the GOP, state after state, pounding them in their own backyard.  The Democratic onslaught awaiting the GOP in 2016 will be merciless.  Once and for all the Roverian Kochite agenda of the GOP will be exposed before all the world and all the nation to see as Hillary brings Democratic performance to a peak not seen since Johnson, winning over 450 electoral votes in states.
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« Reply #82 on: August 31, 2015, 01:55:53 pm »
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Not really about Tennessee, still...

Gov. Haslam spreads wealth among Senate candidates

Quote
U.S. senators listed as receiving donations from Gov. Haslam are Sens. Roy Blunt of Missouri, Richard Burr of North Carolina, Rob Portman of Ohio, Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire, Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, John Hardy Isakson of Georgia, John McCain of Arizona, John Boozman of Arkansas, Pat Toomy of Pennsylvania and Tim Scott of South Carolina.

Forbes magazine has estimated Haslam's net worth as more than $1 billion and labeled him the "richest politician" in the United States. The governor has declined to comment on that estimate. Bredesen, while in office, was often estimated to have a net worth of more than $100 million, a figure he declined to explicitly confirm while once saying it was "maybe in the ballpark."

Sizing up Trump: Tennessee's Republican officeholders are not endorsing Donald Trump, but some are offering favorable commentary about the billionaire presidential candidate who is leading national polls and who won a straw poll in Nashville after speaking the National Federation of Republican Assemblies on Saturday.
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Quote from: Stone Cold Conservative
Nobody can do it like Hillary can.  She will roll out the carpet out all over the GOP, state after state, pounding them in their own backyard.  The Democratic onslaught awaiting the GOP in 2016 will be merciless.  Once and for all the Roverian Kochite agenda of the GOP will be exposed before all the world and all the nation to see as Hillary brings Democratic performance to a peak not seen since Johnson, winning over 450 electoral votes in states.
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« Reply #83 on: September 03, 2015, 04:24:53 pm »
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PPP: Barry 46, Fox 45
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Quote from: Stone Cold Conservative
Nobody can do it like Hillary can.  She will roll out the carpet out all over the GOP, state after state, pounding them in their own backyard.  The Democratic onslaught awaiting the GOP in 2016 will be merciless.  Once and for all the Roverian Kochite agenda of the GOP will be exposed before all the world and all the nation to see as Hillary brings Democratic performance to a peak not seen since Johnson, winning over 450 electoral votes in states.
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« Reply #84 on: September 03, 2015, 09:48:41 pm »
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Nashville:  I heard this story on the radio today.  Apparently there's been an anti-Barry smear campaign accusing her of being anti-Christian.  Fox has disavowed any such accusations.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #85 on: September 03, 2015, 10:04:23 pm »
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A Republican shouldn't be that close in a big city like Nashville, but then again, there's not really any such thing as "the city of Nashville." It's a consolidated city-county, so the whole county gets to choose the city's mayor.

I'm waiting for some smart lawyer or judge to slap down consolidated city-counties like this, on the grounds that it imposes taxation without representation against the more urban areas.
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Try this wonderful POPULIST BLOG...

http://onlinelunchpail.blogspot.com
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« Reply #86 on: September 04, 2015, 10:26:15 am »
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This is all going to come down to turnout.  Given that Fox has a strong advantage among voters who plan to vote on Election Day itself, this one could literally come down to the weather next Thursday- and it looks fine as of now.
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Political Matrix Score:
Economic: +9.16
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Political Compass Score:
Economic: +9.88 (Right)
Social: +2.17 (Authoritarian)
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Cultural: +7.01 (Conservative)
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