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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Virginia)
| | |-+  PA-GOV 2018: Does Tom Wolf win a 2nd term?
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Question: Yes or no?
yes   -45 (88.2%)
no   -6 (11.8%)
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Total Voters: 51

Author Topic: PA-GOV 2018: Does Tom Wolf win a 2nd term?  (Read 629 times)
ERM64man
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« on: April 14, 2017, 09:29:26 pm »
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Will Tom Wolf win another term, or will he be the third one-term Tom?
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« Reply #1 on: April 14, 2017, 09:34:21 pm »
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Will Tom Wolf win another term, or will he be the third one-term Tom?
Ridge is NOT a one-term Tom, he was elected to serve two terms. There's a difference between resigning to join the cabinet and being defeated for reelection.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: April 14, 2017, 09:35:23 pm »
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Make that second one-term Tom.
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« Reply #3 on: April 14, 2017, 09:49:53 pm »
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I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election. It could go either way though.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #4 on: April 14, 2017, 09:51:49 pm »
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I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election. It could go either way though.
There's a very good chance Rauner loses in IL.
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« Reply #5 on: April 14, 2017, 09:59:38 pm »
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I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election. It could go either way though.
There's a very good chance Rauner loses in IL.
I think he is referring to governors from swing states or states friendly to the governors party.
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The Arizonan
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« Reply #6 on: April 14, 2017, 10:22:44 pm »
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I think that Tom Wolf wins reelection during a midterm with a Republican president in office, but his victory is by no means guaranteed.
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« Reply #7 on: April 14, 2017, 10:32:21 pm »
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I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election. It could go either way though.
There's a very good chance Rauner loses in IL.
I think he is referring to governors from swing states or states friendly to the governors party.

No, I'm referring to governors in general.

Rauner is the only governor I think is likely to lose; he has a lot going against him. But he could still pull off a victory.
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« Reply #8 on: April 15, 2017, 09:00:30 am »
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Most likely Penn don't ususally kick governors out unless they are really bad an Tom has been meh
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« Reply #9 on: April 15, 2017, 12:06:10 pm »
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Too early to tell. Tilt D for now.
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« Reply #10 on: April 15, 2017, 12:43:16 pm »
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I think that Tom Wolf wins reelection during a midterm with a Republican president in office, but his victory is by no means guaranteed.
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« Reply #11 on: April 16, 2017, 11:11:53 pm »
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Definitely the most endangered Democratic incumbent now (but that hardly means much since Malloy is retiring and there's literally only 4 other incumbent Democratic Governors running for reelection), but I don't think Scott Wagner's the guy who can beat him. PA doesn't like Cruz-warriors at all. I think he's in a better position than Rauner. Probably about on the same level as Scott Walker in that his approvals aren't good, but has no top tier challenger. But I'd rather be Wolf than Walker IMO just because of the Democratic energy and anti-Trump mood.
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« Reply #12 on: April 17, 2017, 12:56:41 am »
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I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election.

Wasn't that always the case in PA before Corbett lost in 2014?
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« Reply #13 on: April 20, 2017, 04:29:35 am »
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I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election.

Wasn't that always the case in PA before Corbett lost in 2014?

Yes, it was since the 1970s when governors were allowed to run for a second term.

But yes, Wolf is probably headed for a second term. I see no strong GOP candidate and with a Trump midterm, he should be able to win. However, I'm not sure by which margin. Probably the election is a little closer than 2014.
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« Reply #14 on: April 23, 2017, 03:49:58 pm »
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I think that Tom Wolf wins reelection during a midterm with a Republican president in office, but his victory is by no means guaranteed.
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