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| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  Partisan advantages for state governors, 2012-2016, by margin
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Author Topic: Partisan advantages for state governors, 2012-2016, by margin  (Read 6633 times)
pbrower2a
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« Reply #125 on: January 30, 2014, 01:53:21 pm »
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Brown, D-CA  60-32

http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/survey/S_114MBS.pdf

If he were 25 years younger, he would be much of the discussion for the Presidency.


  


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over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).


« Last Edit: January 30, 2014, 01:55:14 pm by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #126 on: February 04, 2014, 03:56:47 pm »
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Parnell, R-AK.


Quote
-Voters in the state are pretty evenly divided in their feelings about Governor Sean Parnell, with 44% approving of him to 41% who disapprove. He looks like a strong favorite for reelection though because the opposition to him is splitting pretty evenly between Democrat Byron Mallott and independent Bill Walker. Parnell's getting 41% to 25% for Mallott, 16% for Walker, and 3% for Constititution Party candidate J.R. Myers.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/02/begich-continues-to-hold-small-leads-for-reelection.html#more

44% approval is marginal for getting re-elected, according to Nate Silver. Unite the opposition Democratic and Independent opposition and let the Constitution Party cut even a little into Parnell's support and Parnell could lose.


  


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8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).



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« Reply #127 on: February 05, 2014, 07:53:18 pm »
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Colorado voters approve 52 - 39 percent of the job Gov. John Hickenlooper is doing and give him comfortable leads over possible Republican challengers, but are divided 45 - 45 percent on whether he deserves reelection this November, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This is the first registered voter survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University in which Gov. Hickenlooper's approval rating tops 50 percent. There is a wide gender gap as women approve 60 - 29 percent while among men 44 percent approve and 48 percent disapprove. Approval is 84 - 6 percent among Democrats, but Republicans disapprove 63 - 28 percent. Independent voters are divided as 45 percent approve and 46 percent disapprove.

Hickenlooper tops possible Republican challengers:

    48 - 39 percent over former U.S. Rep. Tom Tancredo;
    46 - 40 percent over Secretary of State Scott Gessler;
    47 - 37 percent over State Sen. Greg Brophy;
    47 - 38 percent over State Sen. Mike Kopp.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2003


  


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).
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« Reply #128 on: February 07, 2014, 06:27:48 pm »
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First poll of Virginia (McAuliffe, D-VA)

A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey finds that 51% of Likely Virginia Voters at least somewhat approve of McAuliffe’s job performance, with 24% who Strongly Approve. Thirty-six percent (36%) disapprove of how the governor is performing, including 18% who Strongly Disapprove. Fourteen percent (14%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/virginia/51_approve_of_governor_mcauliffe_s_performance_in_virginia


  


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).

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« Reply #129 on: February 16, 2014, 11:36:01 am »
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Minnesota (Mason-Dixon)

Gov. Mark Dayton heads into re-election with the highest job approval rating of his term, according to a new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll.

The poll found that 58 percent of Minnesotans think Dayton is doing a good job as governor, with 29 percent saying they disapprove. Those numbers come after the governor orchestrated an income tax increase on the wealthy and after the troubled rollout of the state’s health care exchange that opponents hoped would diminish his popularity.

http://www.startribune.com/politics/statelocal/245706661.html


  


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).


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« Reply #130 on: February 22, 2014, 07:27:20 pm »
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Kansas, PPP

Quote
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Sam Brownback’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 33%
Disapprove...................................................... 51%
Not sure .......................................................... 16%

Q4 If the candidates for Governor this fall were
Republican Sam Brownback and Democrat
Paul Davis, who would you vote for?

Sam Brownback.............................................. 40%
Paul Davis....................................................... 42%
Not sure .......................................................... 18%

Quinn could lose Illinois even if it is Illinois. Brownback could lose Kansas even if it is Kansas. Neither extremism nor incompetence is good for political survival.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_KS_221.pdf


  


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).



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« Reply #131 on: February 24, 2014, 12:45:51 pm »
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Monmouth, NJ.

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?
Yes- 50%
No- 44%


http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/0748385b-f5b6-4465-b612-280bbab38eef.pdf



  


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).
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« Reply #132 on: March 05, 2014, 09:05:51 pm »
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Quinnipiac, Connecticut:

Malloy gets a 48 percent approval rating from Connecticut voters, while 45 percent disapprove. Voters are divided 45 - 46 percent on whether he should be reelected.

PPP, Arizona:

Quote
Brewer's approval rating stands at 44/42 and that +2 spread is almost identical to the +1 she had at 47/46 the last time PPP polled on her in October of 2012. She's down slightly with Republicans from the last poll (72/18 then, 66/22 now), but up slightly with Democrats (14/82 then, 20/62 now).

I think that she made the right choice with the veto.



  


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).
« Last Edit: March 06, 2014, 03:30:08 pm by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #133 on: March 07, 2014, 04:36:30 pm »
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Not that anyone is surprised:

Quote
The poll surveyed likely Pennsylvania voters and found that:

    Just 29.4% hold a favorable impression of Corbett.

    The job approval rating for Corbett, among likely voters, is 32.5%.

- See more at: http://www.rmu.edu/News.aspx?id=528#sthash.BUUuvMVM.dpuf

...No disapproval rating is shown, but it has to be very high.
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« Reply #134 on: March 10, 2014, 09:13:00 am »
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Branstad (Governor, R-IA)

63% approve, 30% disapprove.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20140310/NEWS09/303090106/-1/iowapoll/Iowa-Poll-Access-voting-trumps-voter-fraud-concerns?nclick_check=1

Steady and high. He may be one of the most effective governors in a legitimate swing state.



  


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).

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« Reply #135 on: March 11, 2014, 09:29:29 pm »
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TRENTON — Gov. Chris Christie has called the George Washington Bridge scandal an obsession of the press that the public doesn’t care about, but two polls released today show the ordeal continues to erode his political support and public image.

One survey, the Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind poll, showed Christie’s popularity at an all-time low after dropping 20 percentage points since November.

What’s more, 41 percent of voters surveyed said they approved of Christie’s job performance and 44 percent disapproved — the first time the poll has shown results to be more critical than supportive of the Republican governor since he took office in January 2010.

http://www.nj.com/politics/index.ssf/2014/03/chris_christies_approval_rating_flips_in_new_poll.html



  


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).


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« Reply #136 on: March 12, 2014, 01:49:52 pm »
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Pat McCrory, Governor (R- North Carolina)

March 6-9, 2014
Survey of 884 North Carolina voters

Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Pat
McCrory’s job performance?

40%  Approve  47%  Disapprove  13%  Not sure

On a statewide issue involving gubernatorial conduct or decision-making:

Q2
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
McCrory’s actions in dealing with the coal ash
spill?


30%  Approve  44%  Disapprove  26%  Not sure



  


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).



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« Reply #137 on: March 18, 2014, 11:45:17 am »
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March 13-16, 2014
Survey of 568 Colorado voters (PPP)


Colorado Survey Results

Q2
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
John Hickenlooper’s job performance?
48% Approve 41% Disapprove 11% Not sure

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_CO_318.pdf


  


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).
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« Reply #138 on: March 25, 2014, 01:41:21 pm »
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March 20-23, 2014

Survey of 674 New Mexico voters (PPP)


Quote
Q2
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Susana Martinez’s job performance?

52% Approve
40% Disapprove
8% Not sure

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NM_325.pdf

Very good for a Republican in a D state.  Her leads over potential Democratic challengers are as low as 5%., which is usually small for an incumbent. But it is New Mexico, so that is very good. If she can avoid controversies she will be OK in November.

  


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).
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« Reply #139 on: April 07, 2014, 02:28:41 pm »
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Gov. Pat Quinn (D-IL), Gravis Marketing

Approve 31%
Disapprove 54%

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/illinois-telephone-survey/


Awful. Really awful.
 


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).

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« Reply #140 on: April 08, 2014, 02:50:31 pm »
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April 10, 2014

North Carolina Miscellany

-PPP's newest North Carolina poll finds that Pat McCrory remains unpopular, and would find himself in a toss up contest for reelection. 40% of voters approve of the job McCrory's doing to 45% who disapprove. This marks the 10th month in a row McCrory's approval numbers have been under water.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/04/north-carolina-miscellany.html#more



1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).

« Last Edit: April 10, 2014, 08:08:04 pm by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #141 on: April 15, 2014, 03:31:42 pm »
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Texas: Rick Perry (PPP)

One thing that may be working to Abbott's benefit is that for the first time ever in PPP's Texas polling Rick Perry has a positive approval rating, with 48% of voters approving of him to 44% who disapprove. Perry's net approval has improved 18 points from where it was 2 years ago at this time in the wake of his failed Presidential bid, when only 39% of voters gave him good marks with 53% disapproving. - See more at: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/04/republicans-lead-in-texas.html#sthash.uhSSUq2C.dpuf

All Democrats are doing badly in the Corporate State of Texas.



1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).
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