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November 22, 2014, 03:49:05 am
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| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  Missouri 2016 Megathread
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Author Topic: Missouri 2016 Megathread  (Read 138 times)
Wulfric
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« on: November 19, 2014, 12:13:07 am »
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After being one of the least interesting states in the country this year, Missouri will re-enter the competitive spectrum in 2016 with a vulnerable senator in Roy Blunt and an open seat Governor's Race.

To start this off, we already have some declared candidates.

Governor:

Catherine Hanaway (R)

Senate:

Roy Blunt (R, inc.)
Mike Sanders (D)


Hanaway also has an internal poll out showing her leading Chris Koster (D) 35/33 in a hypothetical matchup.

So, what sort of chances do the democrats have in these races? Will any of the U.S. house districts somehow become competitive? You can bring up the presidential some, but I'd like this to focus on things besides Missouri's status (or lack thereof) as a battleground state in the 2016 presidential race.
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2014 LA Runoff and 2015 Governor Ratings (Updated 11/15):
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1g8tEoJgrnwwvtei26bn1DJSmRmNG_eaoeY5n9jq2ziU

2014 Prediction Errors: KS-SEN, NC-SEN, KS-GOV, IL-GOV, FL-GOV, ME-GOV, MD-GOV  + had Perdue/Deal winning in runoff

Current Presidential Endorsement:

angryGreatness
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« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2014, 12:36:51 am »
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Probably the most interesting potential candidate for Governor is Claire McCaskill. She's ran for Governor before, and is said to prefer being an executive to a legislator. Running for an open Governor's race in a Presidential year would be easier than running for Senate again in 2018, and she'd be able to pick her Senate replacement in the event that she won.

The main front runner for the Democratic nomination at this point is AG Chris Koster, but he is currently under ethics investigations. It's possible that McCaskill runs and gives Koster the Senate seat once she takes office, where he wouldn't face voters until the heat from his scandal cools down.
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Miles
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« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2014, 12:46:18 am »
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Clint Zweifel will be termed-out as a Treasurer in 2016 and won't run for anything else.
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Flo
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« Reply #3 on: November 19, 2014, 12:53:05 am »
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Clint Zweifel will be termed-out as a Treasurer in 2016 and won't run for anything else.

RIP Democrats holding this seat
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It's That Time of the Month - How Aunt Flo Became Speaker of the House, One Month at a Time

I see your point, and maybe we're debating over semantics, but the fact that about 1 million children are functionally homeless to me is a crisis.
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