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| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | |-+  PPP: Rauner unpopular in several HDs
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Author Topic: PPP: Rauner unpopular in several HDs  (Read 564 times)
Miles
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« on: May 17, 2016, 04:18:21 pm »
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RAUNER NUMBERS 'UPSIDE DOWN' -- Public Policy Polling was in the field for SEIU Health Care, looking specifically at five legislative districts where Republicans are incumbents. The surveys looked at Gov. Bruce Raunerís approval numbers and asked about wages, policy issues and funding for child care. Remember SEIU Health Care is still in contract negotiations with the governor.

An accompanying memo reads: ďRaunerís approval numbers were upside down. Fifty-one percent of voters in the 99th District, where the State Capitol is located, said Rauner was doing a bad job, compared to 32% who said good. He notched similarly dismal numbers in two downstate districts and one Chicago area district. In a northern suburban district voters offered a split verdict, 40% good versus 37% bad, but expressed serious reservations about positions taken by the legislators.

Approvals:

HD20 - 34/48
HD61 - 40/37
HD95 - 30/46
HD99 - 32/51
HD115 - 27/50


It's a shame IL has gone from having one of the best Governors to one of the worst. Another sad reminder that the People's Pat would be doing much better than this amateur.
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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2016, 11:09:59 pm »
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How the hell was Pat Quinn one of the best governors?
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« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2016, 08:41:32 am »
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How the hell was Pat Quinn one of the best governors?

He wasn't. But Rauner isn't too...
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« Reply #3 on: May 18, 2016, 09:03:15 am »
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That guy is toast for 2018.
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« Reply #4 on: May 18, 2016, 09:07:32 am »
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That guy is toast for 2018.

The same was said about Quinn in 2010. But he won then
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« Reply #5 on: May 18, 2016, 09:45:05 am »
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That guy is toast for 2018.

The same was said about Quinn in 2010. But he won then

Well, IL is a deep blue state and Rauner just won because Quinn was damn unpopular in 2014.
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« Reply #6 on: May 18, 2016, 10:50:38 am »
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That guy is toast for 2018.

The same was said about Quinn in 2010. But he won then

Well, IL is a deep blue state and Rauner just won because Quinn was damn unpopular in 2014.

"Templates" are always bad. Illinois elects Republicans frequently enough to consider each situation separately. Massachusetts is even more blue, and that didn't prevent Baker not only from being elected, but being most popular governor in US (only Hogan is "on par", and again - Republican in deep blue state)
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Raging moderate. Big fan of "mavericks" (in all parties) and big non-lover of "reliable foot soldiers" (in all parties as well). Very much "anti-tea party". Political Matrix - E: -0.26, S: -3.48. Like to collect bans on partisan sites (4-5 on DKE (+ SSP) and on RRH).
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« Reply #7 on: May 18, 2016, 12:29:39 pm »
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That guy is toast for 2018.

The same was said about Quinn in 2010. But he won then

Well, IL is a deep blue state and Rauner just won because Quinn was damn unpopular in 2014.

Also, Brady in 2010 was more conservative, particularly on social issues, unlike Rauner who has been rather moderate socially.  I remember Judy Baar Topinka (RIP) saying that you had to be socially moderate to win statewide in IL if you're GOP.
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« Reply #8 on: May 18, 2016, 12:56:43 pm »
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Haha, nothing will make me happier than Bruce Rauner losing!

Revenge for the People's Pat!
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« Reply #9 on: May 18, 2016, 08:16:09 pm »
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The People's Pat left his people in a very terrible situation, and it's comical to hear people from other states comment with blind partisan hackery on IL politics, not appreciating the mess this state is in.

EDIT: And what does Rauner get for literally trying to do ANYTHING differently to try to improve our shltty situation??  A boneheaded legislature blocking his every move and an electorate who yearns for the days of ... Pat Quinn, LOL.
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« Reply #10 on: May 18, 2016, 09:06:26 pm »
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How the hell was Pat Quinn one of the best governors?

He's not in prison, so that automatically makes him the best Illinois governor this century. Rauner hasn't been charged yet, but there's still plenty of time between now and his 2018 defeat.
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« Reply #11 on: May 19, 2016, 09:11:44 am »
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Haha, nothing will make me happier than Bruce Rauner losing!

Revenge for the People's Pat!

The People's Pat won't be back. If he really runs, I expect him to lose the primary.
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« Reply #12 on: May 19, 2016, 11:47:05 am »
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I'm not so sure that Rauner is DOA for 2018.  From what I've seen and heard, Madigan is being blamed for the budged impasse as much as he is.  If Rauner runs for reelection, he can run on this and attack Madigan as leading a "do-nothing" legislature, a la Truman 1948.  If he does that then his chances at reelection are very good.

In 2006, Jennifer Granholm did the same thing here in Michigan.  She recognized that more people blamed Bush for Michigan's sour economy than her, and she played it to her advantage, winning reelection handily.  I suspect that Rauner will win reelection in much the same way.


It's a shame IL has gone from having one of the best Governors to one of the worst. Another sad reminder that the People's Pat would be doing much better than this amateur.
Oh, yes.  High taxes and big spending did such great things for Illinois.
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« Reply #13 on: May 23, 2016, 10:05:03 pm »
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I don't think you can even call Rauner an underdog for reelection at this point (it's too early), but reelecting Rauner would mean the end of the Madigan cartel in Illinois and might even cause Madigan to retire.

Then again, I liked Pat Quinn a lot as governor. He inherited a huge mess and did, in my view, the best he could with the hand he was dealt.
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« Reply #14 on: Today at 12:47:45 am »
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FWIW, there are strong rumors of Dick Durbin being recruited to run against Rauner in 2018.
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« Reply #15 on: Today at 02:22:40 am »
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Doubt he'll do it. He'd be 74 upon inauguration.
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