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September 01, 2015, 07:24:03 pm
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| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | |-+  ND-Gov: Dalrymple retiring
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Author Topic: ND-Gov: Dalrymple retiring  (Read 724 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: August 24, 2015, 12:33:54 pm »
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Breaking. LG Drew Wrigley already mentioned for the Pubs, ditto AG Wayne Stenejhem.
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7.35, 3.65

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TNvolunteer
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« Reply #1 on: August 24, 2015, 12:45:16 pm »
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LOL

Well for Tester, not running Denny Rehberg again haha.

They need to find someone heavily popular. Like a popular governor etc.

I wonder if Jack Dalrymple is interested in a Senate run.

I wonder if Heitkamp is interested in a run? I doubt it, but who knows.
« Last Edit: August 24, 2015, 12:49:17 pm by TNvolunteer »Logged

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84285
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« Reply #2 on: August 24, 2015, 08:01:30 pm »
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Weirdly, gubernatorial elections in both Dakotas are way more solidly Republican than Senate elections. So I think that the Republican will win out here by a large margin.

Unfortunately I don't know much about North Dakota politics. Any ideas on who will run?
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JMT
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« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2015, 12:35:04 am »
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I think this will be a tough choice for Heitkamp. I think she has a tough road ahead, whether she choses to run for governor or for reelection in 2018. We'll see what she decides, but she appears to be the Democrat's best candidate in the state (but I will admit, I don't know much about ND politics). I personally hope she stays in the senate and tries to run for reelection so Dems have another vote. Her seat would almost certainly go Republican if she leaves it to run for governor.   
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: August 25, 2015, 12:38:32 am »
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Safe R no matter what. Heitkamp would make it slightly competitive, but I doubt she would win it. And in the process would leave her Senate seat an easy pickup for R's. The Dakotas seem to flirt a lot with Democrats at the congressional level, but at the state level they are strictly Republican.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #5 on: August 25, 2015, 07:35:45 am »
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Why would Heitkamp leave for an equally tough or tougher gubernatorial race when even if she won, she'd be a figurehead for Pub legislative supermajorities? Plus the Senate seat Safe R with her gone.
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
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« Reply #6 on: August 25, 2015, 08:12:08 am »
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Heitkamp wouldn't have to give up her Senate seat to run for Governor, since she's not up for re-election until 2018. She would obviously have to give it up if she won, though.
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PAK Man
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« Reply #7 on: August 25, 2015, 11:24:47 am »
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Interesting to note that this will be North Dakota's first open gubernatorial race since 2000. And even more interesting is that Heitkamp was the Democratic nominee that year (she ultimately lost to Hoeven). I doubt she'll go for it again, but the lack of an incumbent will certainly make it enticing.

I know Wikipedia isn't a reliable source, but they mention a number of Dems that could run, including State Sen. George B. Sinner (ran against Cramer last cycle), 2012 nominee Ryan Taylor, Earl Pomeroy (highly doubt it) and Jasper Schneider, the USDA Rural Development Director and a former state rep.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Dakota_gubernatorial_election,_2016
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xingkerui
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« Reply #8 on: August 25, 2015, 06:47:10 pm »
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Heitkamp running for governor would be a fool's errand. At the very least, there's a chance that she'll hold on to her senate seat.
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Wulfric
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« Reply #9 on: August 25, 2015, 06:56:38 pm »
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Likely R unless Heitkamp runs.
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JMT
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« Reply #10 on: August 25, 2015, 11:42:26 pm »
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My gut says Heitkamp will decline a run for governor and run for reelection to the senate in 2018. I think she'd have a better shot at winning reelection than being elected governor, and democrats really need her to run for senate to hold this seat
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