Washington '12: Getting Stoned at our Gay Weddings

[Meeker]

WTF is going on in Whitman County with Aiken?

I think Eunice Coker's staff messed up.

But he also does well in other parts of Eastern Washington as well... maybe he ran some sort of insurgent regional campaign.

The 28th LD Senate race is currently tied, 5790-5790.

We are also currently laughing our heads off.

[bgwah]

^ I'd say there's about a 90% chance Whitman County just messed up. Their elections are run by absolute retards.

[Meeker]

While we wait, something fun I learned tonight: If you hang out at the Auditor's office when they release results, McCarthy comes out and personally gives them to you.

[Meeker]

King and Pierce are the only counties that will be releasing results for the rest of the night.

[ottermax]

Turnout is frighteningly horrible in King and Pierce unless that does not count the uncounted ballots.

[ottermax]

I'm so dismayed by ChangMook Sohn's loss.

But Gregoire is doing spectacularly and looks like she will win in Nov. with the help of higher turnout particularly in King County.

Did anyone notice the rather high numbers for the Constitution party? 6.52% for SOS!?

Disappointment with Burner, however when you add her total with the other two Democrats, she wins. I suspect that the GE will help Reichert, but it is a presidential year, so the Obama-effect may cancel out the Reichert-Green River Sheriff effect.

[bgwah]

I was expecting McIntire to win, but I thought it would at least be relatively close... His nearly 30 point loss is very surprising.

[Meeker]

Did anyone notice the rather high numbers for the Constitution party? 6.52% for SOS!?

That was another very odd thing. The Constitution Party got 3% in one statewide race and more than 6% in two others. Ellen Craswell's revenge?

[HardRCafé]

Odd?  You have a safe Republican incumbent Republicans hate.  This is simply them having a temper tantrum.

[Meeker]

Odd?  You have a safe Republican incumbent Republicans hate.  This is simply them having a temper tantrum.

... which doesn't explain the State Auditor or Lt. Governor results.

[bgwah]

Whitman County has been fixed. Aiken is now getting 2%, with Rossi at 48 and Gregoire at 45. How the hell do the people running their elections let this sh*t slip by? There is little doubt in my mind that they have the worst elections department in the state. Probably also the most corrupt--but whatever.

Also interesting that a "No Party Preference" person got 10% for Insurance Commissioner.

Cheryl Crist actually came sort of close to making it to the general. It would've been funny if Western Washington's most Republican district had two Democrats in the general... Perhaps if there were just one more Republican running! Oh well.

Disappointing numbers for Burner.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Also interesting that a "No Party Preference" person got 10% for Insurance Commissioner.

He's part of the Spokane County Republican establishment--no idea why he ran as an indy.

[Sam Spade]

Is the ballot counting for the primary going to last another two weeks?

[jimrtex]

Legislative races that will not be D v. R.

LD3 Se  D v I (I had 22%)
LD7 R1  R v R (5 R's in primary)
LD8 R2  R v R (2 R's in primary)
LD11 Se D v D (3 D's in primary)
LD12 R2 R v R (1 R in primary vs. WI R)
LD22 Se D v D (2 D's in primary)
LD27 R2 D v D (2 D's, 2 R's in primary, D vote was 70-75% for other positions)
LD36 R1 D v D (2 D's, 1 R in primary, D voter was 82% for other position)
LD37 R2 D v L  (D v. L in primary, L was 11%)
LD38 R1 D v I  (D v. I in primary, I was 41%)
LD41 R2 D v G (D v. G in primary, G was 19%; R for Senate had 37%)
LD46 R1 D v D (2 D's vs 1 R in primary, 82% D for other position)
LD49 R2 D v I  (D v. I in primary, I was 35%)

The positions where two candidates from the same major party, were either not contested by the other party, or were in districts that were overwhelmingly one-sided (75%+ for one party).

The 5 positions where it is D vs. non-R, were all positions where there was no R candidate.  Two of the independents appear to have credible support.

There are two posititions where a R filed as a write-in candidate and will apparently qualify for the general election ballot.

LD28 R2 D v R (R WI v unopposed D)
LD49 Se D v R (R WI v unopposed D)

There are 24 positions where there was a single unopposed candidate.  It is my interpretation of Washington statutes that all ballots not cast for the single candidate will have to be examined for write-ins, with the 2nd place finisher placed on the general election ballot.

LD1 R1  D v WI
LD1 R2  D v WI
LD7 R2  R v WI
LD9 Se  R v WI
LD12 Se R v WI
LD12 R1 R v WI
LD13 R1 R v WI
LD13 R2 R v WI
LD14 Se R v WI
LD16 Se R v WI
LD19 Se D v WI
LD19 R1 D v WI
LD19 R2 D v WI
LD22 R1 D v WI
LD24 Se D v WI
LD32 R2 D v WI
LD34 Se D v WI
LD34 R1 D v WI
LD34 R2 D v WI
LD37 R1 D v WI
LD38 R2 D v WI
LD40 R1 D v WI
LD41 R2 D v WI
LD43 R1 D v WI

[jimrtex]

Is the ballot counting for the primary going to last another two weeks?

Yes.

Voter Turnout

You will notice that for most larger counties, the next update is at the end of the day on Wednesday.  For smaller counties, it looks like they will wait until Friday.  One outlier is Columbia County which looks like they will wait for the two week period to be finished before they count again.

Voters in King County appear to be favoring non-partisan elections without partisan labels, over the alternative of non-partisan elections with partisan labels for county offices.

[Sam Spade]

Oh geez.  Thanks.  Yet another reminder of how much I despise Washington - when New Mexico does this it's funny, when Washington does it, it's annoying...

[Grad Students are the Worst]

You will notice that for most larger counties, the next update is at the end of the day on Wednesday.  For smaller counties, it looks like they will wait until Friday.  One outlier is Columbia County which looks like they will wait for the two week period to be finished before they count again.

Important note:  Don't trust those estimates, especially "next count" or "ballots left to count."  King County's first projection (based on those numbers) was turnout of 18%--and they haven't updated "ballots left to count" since.

[Meeker]

Yea, the "Ballots left to count" number is pulled out of their ass. They have no idea how many they're going to get in the mail Hence why respectable counties, such as Pierce, wait much longer before providing estimates.

But for all the complaining about this taking so long, the final results aren't going differ by more than a percent or two from the first round released at 8:30 last night.

So it takes much longer to get a final number, but you know the winnner much quicker. Unless it's a really, really close race.

[Bacon King]

There are 24 positions where there was a single unopposed candidate.  It is my interpretation of Washington statutes that all ballots not cast for the single candidate will have to be examined for write-ins, with the 2nd place finisher placed on the general election ballot.

There could be a good bit of potential hilarity in those districts. The top write-in could be anyone from Mickey Mouse to Dino Rossi to Oprah.

[Meeker]

There are 24 positions where there was a single unopposed candidate.  It is my interpretation of Washington statutes that all ballots not cast for the single candidate will have to be examined for write-ins, with the 2nd place finisher placed on the general election ballot.

No. State law says that you must receive 1% of the primary vote in order to advance to the general election, thus avoiding a situation like this.

[frihetsivrare]

This isn´t surprising, but I voted for only one winner, Doug Ericksen for State House.  I was very impressed with how the Constitution Party did, 3.35%, 6.45% and 6.73%. 

This may have already been stated, but in Legislative district 7 every candidate prefers the Republican Party or GOP Party.  One position had five candidates.  One district in Seattle had all Democratic candidates for one posititon, but one from each major party for the other.

[Meeker]

Could someone do a map for the SPI race?

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Could someone do a map for the SPI race?

Pretty darn boring.  Like the last time, Bergeson won strongly everywhere, except where there's a lot of insurgent voting.  And for some reason, the Wenatchee metro, which hated her in 2004 too.

I can make a map, but were you looking for a data upload?  Probably a lot more interesting.

[bgwah]

There isn't an option to upload SPI...

[Meeker]

I just wanted to see where Dorn's strongest areas were, and reading the county list wasn't too easy to visualize.

My suspicions were that he did well in the East and in the Southwest. I could be very wrong though.