Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle
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  Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle
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Author Topic: Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle  (Read 837175 times)
bgwah
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« Reply #3800 on: September 07, 2012, 12:38:35 AM »

http://seattletimes.com/html/localnews/2019082485_apwaauditortheftaccusation2ndldwritethru.html

Don't blame me. I voted for Pridemore. Tongue
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Alcon
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« Reply #3801 on: September 07, 2012, 12:53:48 AM »

That's really bizarre although, for what it's worth, I've never heard anyone who didn't think Kelley was a reasonably principled guy.

Then again, I try not to talk to people from the 28th LD too much.
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Meeker
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« Reply #3802 on: September 07, 2012, 01:20:45 AM »

That's really bizarre although, for what it's worth, I've never heard anyone who didn't think Kelley was a reasonably principled guy.

Then again, I try not to talk to people from the 28th LD too much.

Oh I see how it is Tongue

Allegations are totally bogus. The idea that Watkins would be able to uncover this but the House Republicans never were able to in the three elections Kelley ran in should give anyone considerable pause before even looking at the specifics.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #3803 on: September 07, 2012, 12:36:05 PM »

I also voted for Pridemore.. Though now I am bitter that he pissed away an opportunity to give Herrera-Beutler a real challenge (even if he still would have lost).
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bgwah
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« Reply #3804 on: September 07, 2012, 11:30:54 PM »

Is Kshama Sawant even a registered voter? I can't find her.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #3805 on: September 08, 2012, 02:26:46 PM »

Prediction time!

What are the chances of the following happening:
Inslee winning by greater than 2% (having a clear win, not requiring days to wait for results)
WA-01 held by the dems
Democrats hold both the state house and senate
Pot legalization passes
Gay Marriage upheld by voters

-----
Lately I have become rather optimistic that all of the above will occur come November. Perhaps more important though - how will the national view Washington State if such a result comes true? Would we enter the running to be deemed (whether deserved or not) the most 'liberal' state in the union?
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bgwah
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« Reply #3806 on: September 08, 2012, 03:46:08 PM »

Inslee winning by greater than 2% (having a clear win, not requiring days to wait for results
Don't know if 2% would be a clear win, but maybe a 40% chance.

WA-01 held by the dems
80%. Feeling confident about this one.

Democrats hold both the state house and senate
80%. 100% for the House, and maybe 65-70% for the Senate. Our majority will be smaller, though.

Pot legalization passes
25%.

Gay Marriage upheld by voters
85%.
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Seattle
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« Reply #3807 on: September 08, 2012, 04:35:45 PM »

Inslee winning by greater than 2% (having a clear win, not requiring days to wait for results):

I'd say about 30%, though I think it'll be similar to 2010, with Mckenna (or Inslee) not conceeding until 3-4 days after the election.

WA-01 held by the dems:

75%, I also am pretty confident that the Dem's will win here.

Democrats hold both the state house and senate:

100% for the House, 85% for the Senate.

Pot legalization passes:

I really have no idea if the polling for this issue is accurate, as there isn't much precedence to look at. I'm guessing if the Seattle suburbs vote for it, is passes. So.... 45%?

Gay Marriage upheld by voters:

I'm still concerned... but things are looking decent. The Marriage Equality group has tons of money for ads, so that's a plus for them. I'll go with 55%.
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Meeker
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« Reply #3808 on: September 09, 2012, 10:23:31 PM »

Here are the counties sorted by percentage of the voting age population registered to vote. Someone with better mapmaking skills than I could map it. Also I don't know how this fangled table system works.

Adams   6,239   12,216   51.07
Whitman   19,740   38,035   51.90
Franklin   28,389   51,449   55.18
Grant   34,985   61,895   56.52
Yakima   102,835   169,193   60.78
Kittitas   20,861   33,431   62.40
Grays Harbor   37,208   57,073   65.19
Douglas   18,357   27,960   65.65
Okanogan   20,727   31,453   65.90
Walla Walla   30,874   45,541   67.79
Mason   33,925   48,325   70.20
Pierce   419,234   597,098   70.21
Chelan   38,922   54,390   71.56
Ferry   4,384   6,053   72.43
Cowlitz   56,486   77,689   72.71
Skagit   65,084   89,164   72.99
King   1,110,063   1,517,747   73.14
Benton   93,389   127,513   73.24
Snohomish   400,448   539,168   74.27
Spokane   270,018   361,719   74.65
Whatcom   118,654   158,935   74.66
Lewis   43,459   57,995   74.94
Clark   234,411   312,788   74.94
Kitsap   146,384   194,637   75.21
Island   47,412   62,212   76.21
Pacific   13,259   17,172   77.21
Asotin   13,163   16,919   77.80
Skamania   6,742   8,608   78.32
Clallam   45,879   58,415   78.54
Thurston   154,003   194,142   79.32
Columbia   2,588   3,255   79.51
Pend Oreille   8,118   10,193   79.64
Klickitat   12,862   15,835   81.23
Garfield   1,500   1,812   82.78
Lincoln   6,811   8,174   83.33
Stevens   27,979   33,036   84.69
Wahkiakum   2,755   3,244   84.93
Jefferson   21,886   25,426   86.08
San Juan   11,624   13,276   87.56
Statewide 3,731,657    5,143,186   72.56
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Alcon
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« Reply #3809 on: September 10, 2012, 12:55:25 AM »

Ignoring the obvious (Hispanics), that's a pretty interesting list.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #3810 on: September 10, 2012, 09:29:20 AM »

And students in Whitman.

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Alcon
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« Reply #3811 on: September 10, 2012, 03:38:35 PM »
« Edited: September 10, 2012, 03:40:36 PM by Alcon »


Yeah, and Kittitas, although Whatcom fares very well (smaller proportional student population, I'm sure.  It's still pretty impressive.)

I imagine there aren't many states where the most populous city's county has higher registration rates than the rest of the state.

It looks like Grays Harbor probably has the lowest registration rate among non-Hispanic, non-students, followed by Mason and Pierce.
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Alaska2392
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« Reply #3812 on: September 10, 2012, 03:57:38 PM »
« Edited: September 10, 2012, 04:06:45 PM by NRS11 »

SurveyUSA shows Obama leading Washington 54% - 38%
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Seattle
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« Reply #3813 on: September 10, 2012, 08:31:59 PM »

SurveyUSA shows Obama leading Washington 54% - 38%

No surprise. He should be able to top Kerry's 2004 percentage, but I don't think he'll get more than 55% or 55.5%.
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bgwah
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« Reply #3814 on: September 10, 2012, 09:09:17 PM »

When will we get numbers for Governor? Smiley
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Alcon
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« Reply #3815 on: September 11, 2012, 12:14:01 AM »

required post I don't care about: tentative stadium deal
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Meeker
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« Reply #3816 on: September 11, 2012, 12:47:16 AM »

Congrats on your second term, Mayor McGinn
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LastVoter
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« Reply #3817 on: September 11, 2012, 02:26:38 AM »

Congrats on your second term, Mayor McGinn
why?
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #3818 on: September 11, 2012, 05:20:19 AM »

It looks like Grays Harbor probably has the lowest registration rate among non-Hispanic, non-students
No surprise there
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know next to nothing about the place
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No surprise there, either.
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Meeker
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« Reply #3819 on: September 11, 2012, 09:06:02 AM »


He just brought the Sonics back.
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Alcon
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« Reply #3820 on: September 11, 2012, 11:16:37 AM »
« Edited: September 11, 2012, 11:21:49 AM by Alcon »

SUSA results, with good news for Dems, and great news for pot and gay marriage:

Governor
Inslee 49%
McKenna 44%

U.S. Senate
Cantwell 54%
Baumgartner 38%

Referendum 74 (Right to marriage for gay and lesbian couples)
Approved 56%
Rejected 38%

Charter schools
Yes 52%
No 26%

Two-thirds tax increase
Yes 58%
No 21%

Marijuana legalization
Yes 57%
No 34%

Attorney General
Ferguson 42%
Dunn 33%
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #3821 on: September 11, 2012, 11:28:18 AM »


Marijuana legalization
Yes 57%
No 34%

looks like we'll get the federal invasion
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Supersonic
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« Reply #3822 on: September 11, 2012, 11:55:19 AM »

Two things stand out from that poll for me.

1) McKenna is probably done for.

2) The approve numbers on Referendum 74 seem rather high.
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LastVoter
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« Reply #3823 on: September 11, 2012, 12:51:50 PM »

SUSA results, with good news for Dems, and great news for pot and gay marriage:

Charter schools
Yes 52%
No 26%

Good for neo-liberalism too.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3824 on: September 11, 2012, 01:08:28 PM »

SUSA results, with good news for Dems, and great news for pot and gay marriage:

Governor
Inslee 49%
McKenna 44%

U.S. Senate
Cantwell 54%
Baumgartner 38%

Referendum 74 (Right to marriage for gay and lesbian couples)
Approved 56%
Rejected 38%

Charter schools
Yes 52%
No 26%

Two-thirds tax increase
Yes 58%
No 21%

Marijuana legalization
Yes 57%
No 34%

Attorney General
Ferguson 42%
Dunn 33%

WA tends to be a great state ...
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