Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle
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  Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle
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Author Topic: Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle  (Read 847376 times)
LastVoter
seatown
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« Reply #3825 on: September 11, 2012, 01:51:13 PM »

SUSA results, with good news for Dems, and great news for pot and gay marriage:

Governor
Inslee 49%
McKenna 44%

U.S. Senate
Cantwell 54%
Baumgartner 38%

Referendum 74 (Right to marriage for gay and lesbian couples)
Approved 56%
Rejected 38%

Charter schools
Yes 52%
No 26%

Two-thirds tax increase
Yes 58%
No 21%

Marijuana legalization
Yes 57%
No 34%

Attorney General
Ferguson 42%
Dunn 33%

WA tends to be a great state ...
Did you not notice the charter schools?
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LastVoter
seatown
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« Reply #3826 on: September 11, 2012, 01:52:22 PM »

A full-scale invasion or just a few National Guardsmen pacing the streets of Seattle and breaking windows and killing dogs?
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CultureKing
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« Reply #3827 on: September 11, 2012, 03:50:34 PM »

SUSA results, with good news for Dems, and great news for pot and gay marriage:

Governor
Inslee 49%
McKenna 44%

U.S. Senate
Cantwell 54%
Baumgartner 38%

Referendum 74 (Right to marriage for gay and lesbian couples)
Approved 56%
Rejected 38%

Charter schools
Yes 52%
No 26%

Two-thirds tax increase
Yes 58%
No 21%

Marijuana legalization
Yes 57%
No 34%

Attorney General
Ferguson 42%
Dunn 33%

WA tends to be a great state ...
Did you not notice the charter schools?
Or Tim Eyeman's 2/3 tax increase initiative?
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LastVoter
seatown
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« Reply #3828 on: September 11, 2012, 03:58:38 PM »

SUSA results, with good news for Dems, and great news for pot and gay marriage:

Governor
Inslee 49%
McKenna 44%

U.S. Senate
Cantwell 54%
Baumgartner 38%

Referendum 74 (Right to marriage for gay and lesbian couples)
Approved 56%
Rejected 38%

Charter schools
Yes 52%
No 26%

Two-thirds tax increase
Yes 58%
No 21%

Marijuana legalization
Yes 57%
No 34%

Attorney General
Ferguson 42%
Dunn 33%

WA tends to be a great state ...
Did you not notice the charter schools?
Or Tim Eyeman's 2/3 tax increase initiative?
Oh I thought that was the income tax which would have required two-thirds support.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #3829 on: September 11, 2012, 06:52:11 PM »

Washington doesn't have an income tax. Eyeman's initiative is a repeat of his past efforts to require the Washington legislature to have a 2/3 majority to increase any taxes. Basically it constricts their ability to do anything.
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LastVoter
seatown
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« Reply #3830 on: September 11, 2012, 07:03:19 PM »

Washington doesn't have an income tax. Eyeman's initiative is a repeat of his past efforts to require the Washington legislature to have a 2/3 majority to increase any taxes. Basically it constricts their ability to do anything.
So that poll didn't include the income tax initiative?
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3831 on: September 11, 2012, 07:05:45 PM »

Washington doesn't have an income tax. Eyeman's initiative is a repeat of his past efforts to require the Washington legislature to have a 2/3 majority to increase any taxes. Basically it constricts their ability to do anything.
So that poll didn't include the income tax initiative?

There isn't one.
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Meeker
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« Reply #3832 on: September 11, 2012, 07:25:25 PM »

The Eyman initiative was declared unconstitutional a few months ago. Passage is kind of irrelevant.
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #3833 on: September 11, 2012, 09:47:18 PM »

Reagan Dunn is done and Baumgartner's massive defeat is a given.  If McKenna also loses and R-74 is approved, the WA GOP would receive an a$$ whipping of historic proportions.  I'm not too concerned about the Eyman initiative for the reason stated by Meeker.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #3834 on: September 11, 2012, 11:27:56 PM »

The Eyman initiative was declared unconstitutional a few months ago. Passage is kind of irrelevant.

Thank God/FSM
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bgwah
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« Reply #3835 on: September 12, 2012, 12:17:28 PM »

Can someone enter the polls for Governor and Senator into the database?
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Meeker
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« Reply #3836 on: September 12, 2012, 03:04:18 PM »

There's a new poll PPP did for the Washington Conservation Voters that has Inslee ahead 48-42.
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Alcon
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« Reply #3837 on: September 12, 2012, 03:47:02 PM »

There's a new poll PPP did for the Washington Conservation Voters that has Inslee ahead 48-42.

I don't suppose you have access to any more for that poll that won't get you/us shot?
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Meeker
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« Reply #3838 on: September 12, 2012, 03:54:29 PM »

There's a new poll PPP did for the Washington Conservation Voters that has Inslee ahead 48-42.

I don't suppose you have access to any more for that poll that won't get you/us shot?

I wish I was that cool: http://wcvoters.org/files/jay-inslee-sept.-2012-poll-results

Note that McKenna's name recognition is still 6 points higher than Inslee's.
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Alcon
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« Reply #3839 on: September 12, 2012, 04:22:08 PM »

Obama 53%
Romney 42%

Inslee 48%
McKenna 42%

Sample was Obama +19 in 2008

No other questions
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Meeker
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« Reply #3840 on: September 12, 2012, 04:25:16 PM »

Inslee is doing better amongst Republicans than McKenna is amongst Democrats.
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Jackson
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« Reply #3841 on: September 13, 2012, 01:07:42 AM »

Why should that be surprising?
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Meeker
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« Reply #3842 on: September 13, 2012, 01:23:58 AM »


It was the opposite in their June poll.

Rob McKenna won by the margin he did in 2008 - and to a lesser extent 2004 - because of crossover appeal from Democrats. That was supposed to give him a path to victory in this race. That crossover appeal has vanished.
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greenforest32
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« Reply #3843 on: September 13, 2012, 01:32:55 AM »

Is it the crossover appeal vanishing or the undecideds breaking towards Inslee? A lot of the earlier polls had undecideds at 15-20% and now they're reaching low double/high single digits.
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bgwah
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« Reply #3844 on: September 13, 2012, 01:43:14 AM »

SUSA results, with good news for Dems, and great news for pot and gay marriage:

Governor
Inslee 49%
McKenna 44%

U.S. Senate
Cantwell 54%
Baumgartner 38%

Referendum 74 (Right to marriage for gay and lesbian couples)
Approved 56%
Rejected 38%

Charter schools
Yes 52%
No 26%

Two-thirds tax increase
Yes 58%
No 21%

Marijuana legalization
Yes 57%
No 34%

Attorney General
Ferguson 42%
Dunn 33%

Can someone add these numbers to the database?
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CultureKing
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« Reply #3845 on: September 14, 2012, 12:31:54 AM »

Whelp today I officially moved to the Bay Area... It is with sadness that I renounce my Washington citizenship (although I am waiting until after the election to officially register in Cali). I will be wishing you well in the greatest state of the US. God bless Cascadia!!

-CultureKing
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bgwah
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« Reply #3846 on: September 14, 2012, 12:36:34 AM »

Whelp today I officially moved to the Bay Area... It is with sadness that I renounce my Washington citizenship (although I am waiting until after the election to officially register in Cali). I will be wishing you well in the greatest state of the US. God bless Cascadia!!

-CultureKing

Did you decide grad school was the solution to your quarter-life crisis?

Or did you actually get a job down there? Wink
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CultureKing
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« Reply #3847 on: September 14, 2012, 01:25:34 AM »

Whelp today I officially moved to the Bay Area... It is with sadness that I renounce my Washington citizenship (although I am waiting until after the election to officially register in Cali). I will be wishing you well in the greatest state of the US. God bless Cascadia!!

-CultureKing

Did you decide grad school was the solution to your quarter-life crisis?

Or did you actually get a job down there? Wink

Somehow I managed to blunder my way into my dream job. Quite honestly its one of those situations where I am terrified that some horrible (wonderful) mistake has been made. Although it should be noted that I am working for a non-profit, which means that I won't be getting rich anytime soon.
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bgwah
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« Reply #3848 on: September 14, 2012, 01:34:38 AM »

Whelp today I officially moved to the Bay Area... It is with sadness that I renounce my Washington citizenship (although I am waiting until after the election to officially register in Cali). I will be wishing you well in the greatest state of the US. God bless Cascadia!!

-CultureKing

Did you decide grad school was the solution to your quarter-life crisis?

Or did you actually get a job down there? Wink

Somehow I managed to blunder my way into my dream job. Quite honestly its one of those situations where I am terrified that some horrible (wonderful) mistake has been made. Although it should be noted that I am working for a non-profit, which means that I won't be getting rich anytime soon.

Are those all the details we get? Tongue
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CultureKing
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« Reply #3849 on: September 14, 2012, 12:41:24 PM »

Fine, I'll give you a bit more. Wink
I'll be working in the Fair Trade arena. I completed an Americorps position in July and then realized just how hard it is to find a permanent job as a recent college graduate. Luckily the job in the Bay Area required a bizarrely specific set of qualifications, which I met but only just barely. Luckily with non-profits if you are often given the benefit of the doubt if you can demonstrate a drive/commitment to the movement (and since I lived/breathed social justice while in Central America I definitely did well in that category). Anyways I am just happy to have an awesome opportunity ahead of me!

....also Berkeley is a darn cool place.

also also I worked a job in Seattle for one day and then immediately quit upon receiving the offer from the Bay Area = awkward.
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