Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle

[bgwah]

No, I'm not a Republican.

[RI]

No, I'm not a Republican.

So?

[Alcon]

I think I might observe, but being a Democratic PCO, it seems inappropriate if I voted

[Alaska2392]

Oh boy, I'm so excited that the words "redefine marriage" are in the in Referendum 74 proposed ballot language.  Thank you Rob McKenna.  I can see a judge ruling either way on this one.  Reminds me in a strange way of the Rossi "Prefers GOP Party".

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

Oh boy, I'm so excited that the words "redefine marriage" are in the in Referendum 74 proposed ballot language.

God damn it. Oh well. More work for the HRC lawyers and ad people.

I imagine this will be somewhat easier, purely structurally speaking, in Maryland.

[bgwah]

Norm Dicks is retiring? Why haven't we heard about this from our Pierce County people?

at least one of them will have to make sure we know that he already knew, and that he just didn't want to tell us cuz he's cool and keeps awesome secrets

[bgwah]

Also, can we redraw the 6th and 10th districts now? Please?

[Alcon]

I had no idea about Norm Dicks and hadn't actually heard anyone even suggest the possibility.  But then again I can count the times I've had a serious interaction with Dicks or his staffers on one hand.

[bgwah]

I had no idea about Norm Dicks and hadn't actually heard anyone even suggest the possibility.  But then again I can count the times I've had a serious interaction with Dicks or his staffers on one hand.

Okay, okay. But who will run!?

Laurie Jenkins for Congress?

[Alcon]

I'm hearing a lot now, but I'm mostly hearing Derek Kilmer.

Other names I've heard floated are Jim Hargrove and Mark Lindquist.

[redcommander]

How liberal is the district? I know that under the old lines the PVI was D+5, but does the GOP how a shot of making a race under the new lines?

[redcommander]

Oh boy, I'm so excited that the words "redefine marriage" are in the in Referendum 74 proposed ballot language.

God damn it. Oh well. More work for the HRC lawyers and ad people.

I imagine this will be somewhat easier, purely structurally speaking, in Maryland.

This is why Attorney Generals need to stop creating the ballot language on propositions, and let State Supreme Courts do so. The way the initiative is phrased could swing a fair number of people in one direction.

[Alcon]

I will not be reporting from the GOP caucus tomorrow because I'm not going with a headache.  Keep us updated, RI!

[greenforest32]

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2017651307_budget03m.html

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DINOs on fiscal issues?

[Marokai Backbeat]

Finally some people have the courage to stand up and vote for the elimination of assistance programs for the disabled. That gravy train is over.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

How liberal is the district? I know that under the old lines the PVI was D+5, but does the GOP how a shot of making a race under the new lines?

The estimate I heard was that it was about 59% Obama. And Republicans only have one state legislator in the district, so they have no bench.

[Meeker]

I don't think anyone knew about Dicks; even the DCCC was caught completely off guard from what I've heard.

The district should theoretically be competitive but as Johnny mentioned there isn't really any Republican base to speak of. My biggest concern is that either Sheldon or Hargrove somehow end up winning.

[bgwah]

Hargrove would be terrible. At least he's already 59 so if he did win, he wouldn't be around for 36 years.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

I just drew the district as best I could in DRA (I'm over by 16,000 people, some of the blocks in DRA look to be split between districts) and got 57.1 Obama, 40.8 McCain, and 52.8% Murray. So, no change, really.

57% Obama isn't completely safe, but after 2010 there are only four Republicans in districts that are 57% Obama or greater (Dold, Gerlach, Reichert, and Barletta). And Republicans don't have anyone of, say, Reichert's stature to run.

[CultureKing]

I don't think anyone knew about Dicks; even the DCCC was caught completely off guard from what I've heard.

The district should theoretically be competitive but as Johnny mentioned there isn't really any Republican base to speak of. My biggest concern is that either Sheldon or Hargrove somehow end up winning.

Sheldon, dear lord that would be horrible. Though he wouldn't be able to get away with his usual antics for very long; the US house of representatives is a much bigger magnifying glass than the WA senate.

Speaking of which I am dumbfounded by the stupidity of the three dem senators the other day, they basically shot themselves in the foot. There is no way their budget will get passed and instead the budget battle will just become even more intensely partisan and brutal.

[redcommander]

How liberal is the district? I know that under the old lines the PVI was D+5, but does the GOP how a shot of making a race under the new lines?

The estimate I heard was that it was about 59% Obama. And Republicans only have one state legislator in the district, so they have no bench.

They could always recruit a self-funder, but yeah the peninsula hasn't been very fertile grounds for Republicans in recent years. I wasn't sure if redistricting had brought in some more conservative friendly parts from the Seattle suburbs or not.

[Ogre Mage]

I'm reading rumors that State Sen. Derek Kilmer (D-Gig Harbor) is going to declare for WA-6 soon.  I think this a positive development; certainly I would vastly prefer him to Sheldon or Hargrove.

[Seattle]

I'm reading rumors that State Sen. Derek Kilmer (D-Gig Harbor) is going to declare for WA-6 soon.  I think this a positive development; certainly I would vastly prefer him to Sheldon or Hargrove.

I feel like Kilmer would be a very good fit for the district, and much more preferable to Sheldon [eww] or Hargrove [slightly less eww].

[bgwah]

Who would the Republicans run? I can't really think of anyone, other than maybe Jan Angel.

[Seattle]

Who would the Republicans run? I can't really think of anyone, other than maybe Jan Angel.

Perrenial loser something Cloud?