Washington '12: Getting Stoned at our Gay Weddings

[bgwah]

Hargrove would be terrible. At least he's already 59 so if he did win, he wouldn't be around for 36 years.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

I just drew the district as best I could in DRA (I'm over by 16,000 people, some of the blocks in DRA look to be split between districts) and got 57.1 Obama, 40.8 McCain, and 52.8% Murray. So, no change, really.

57% Obama isn't completely safe, but after 2010 there are only four Republicans in districts that are 57% Obama or greater (Dold, Gerlach, Reichert, and Barletta). And Republicans don't have anyone of, say, Reichert's stature to run.

[CultureKing]

I don't think anyone knew about Dicks; even the DCCC was caught completely off guard from what I've heard.

The district should theoretically be competitive but as Johnny mentioned there isn't really any Republican base to speak of. My biggest concern is that either Sheldon or Hargrove somehow end up winning.

Sheldon, dear lord that would be horrible. Though he wouldn't be able to get away with his usual antics for very long; the US house of representatives is a much bigger magnifying glass than the WA senate.

Speaking of which I am dumbfounded by the stupidity of the three dem senators the other day, they basically shot themselves in the foot. There is no way their budget will get passed and instead the budget battle will just become even more intensely partisan and brutal.

[redcommander]

How liberal is the district? I know that under the old lines the PVI was D+5, but does the GOP how a shot of making a race under the new lines?

The estimate I heard was that it was about 59% Obama. And Republicans only have one state legislator in the district, so they have no bench.

They could always recruit a self-funder, but yeah the peninsula hasn't been very fertile grounds for Republicans in recent years. I wasn't sure if redistricting had brought in some more conservative friendly parts from the Seattle suburbs or not.

[Ogre Mage]

I'm reading rumors that State Sen. Derek Kilmer (D-Gig Harbor) is going to declare for WA-6 soon.  I think this a positive development; certainly I would vastly prefer him to Sheldon or Hargrove.

[Seattle]

I'm reading rumors that State Sen. Derek Kilmer (D-Gig Harbor) is going to declare for WA-6 soon.  I think this a positive development; certainly I would vastly prefer him to Sheldon or Hargrove.

I feel like Kilmer would be a very good fit for the district, and much more preferable to Sheldon [eww] or Hargrove [slightly less eww].

[bgwah]

Who would the Republicans run? I can't really think of anyone, other than maybe Jan Angel.

[Seattle]

Who would the Republicans run? I can't really think of anyone, other than maybe Jan Angel.

Perrenial loser something Cloud?

[redcommander]

Who would the Republicans run? I can't really think of anyone, other than maybe Jan Angel.

Dino Rossi?

[smoltchanov]

Who would the Republicans run? I can't really think of anyone, other than maybe Jan Angel.

Dino Rossi?

3-times loser? No, thank you))))

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Who would the Republicans run? I can't really think of anyone, other than maybe Jan Angel.

Dino Rossi?

Wrong congressional district

[bgwah]

Who would the Republicans run? I can't really think of anyone, other than maybe Jan Angel.

Dino Rossi?

Wrong congressional district

I think he was joking. At least I hope he was --- hard to tell with that guy.

[redcommander]

Who would the Republicans run? I can't really think of anyone, other than maybe Jan Angel.

Dino Rossi?

Wrong congressional district

I think he was joking. At least I hope he was --- hard to tell with that guy.

Yes I was. Although he would probably do better as a carpetbagger than Cloud would.

[Meeker]

The Republican could be some wealthy Tacoma resident. Or perhaps Mike Lonergan wants to switch over from the Pierce County Assessor-Treasurer race (if he lives in the district).

[Meeker]

Shocking! http://blog.thenewstribune.com/politics/2012/03/05/gig-harbor-sen-derek/

[Meeker]

http://www.theolympian.com/2012/03/03/2014027/dicks-seat-may-draw-crowd-of-contenders.html

Democrats

Pierce County Prosecutor Mark Lindquist: Posted on Facebook he's out.

Tacoma Mayor Marilyn Strickland: “something I will take into consideration.”

State Senator Tim Sheldon: “I’ll leave the door open,”

State Senator Jim Hargrove: No quote in the article, but indicates he's thinking about it.

State Auditor Brian Sonntag: “certainly worth looking at.” (Sonntag lives in the 10th though)

Republicans

State Representative Jan Angel: "hasn’t yet had time to think about running."

Pierce County Councilmen Dick Muri and Stan Flemming: Sticking with the 10th CD race.

Previously announced candidates Jesse Young, Doug Cloud and Bob Sauerwein: Still running.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

...rep. tim sheldon?

[Meeker]

If he runs and loses we'd finally be done with him. If he wins though... *shudder*

[CultureKing]

Well if he wins that CD I don't see anything from stopping him to become Senator or Governor Tim Sheldon.

[Meeker]

State Senator Christine Rolfes (D) has taken her name out of consideration.

[bgwah]

Is Kastama's vote some moderate hero ploy to get elected Secretary of State? It just seems so blatantly ostentatious.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Is Kastama's vote some moderate hero ploy to get elected Secretary of State?

I've been wondering the same.  It seems like an awful idea to me, since there's a qualified Republican (Wyman) who will get Republican votes.  Maybe he wants to distinguish himself clearly from the other two Democrats?  Not the strategy I would pick...

[Meeker]

It is quite odd. I don't really know what any of the three Democrats were thinking but him especially.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Some terrible SEIU poll:

Inslee 38%
McKenna 38%

http://www.thestranger.com/images/blogimages/2012/03/07/1331151734-gov_memo_030612.pdf

[realisticidealist]

Fun times.

http://news.yahoo.com/judge-stabbed-deputy-shot-washington-state-courthouse-010957061.html