Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 22, 2014, 04:22:48 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  Washington '14: The Dullest Midterm That You Ever Did See
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 153 154 155 156 157 [158] 159 160 161 162 163 ... 189 Print
Author Topic: Washington '14: The Dullest Midterm That You Ever Did See  (Read 343441 times)
Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29691
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3925 on: October 02, 2012, 11:50:46 am »
Ignore

SUSA statewide

Inslee 48%
McKenna 42%

http://www.king5.com/news/up-front/polls/KING-5-poll-Inslee-maintains-lead-over-McKenna-172226451.html
Logged

n/c
Seattle
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 414
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3926 on: October 02, 2012, 12:09:56 pm »
Ignore

Actually, Obama won the 6th and the 10th by 16% or 17%.  Wink

Thanks! Lol, that's why I included the question mark.
Logged

So it goes. heya.
bgwah
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13776
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

View Profile
« Reply #3927 on: October 02, 2012, 12:18:39 pm »
Ignore

The northern part of Kitsap County (including Bainbridge Island, where Inslee lives) was also moved from WA-01 to WA-06. It's not a terribly populated area, but it could possibly be giving Inslee a small boost in the new WA-06.
Logged

Cobbler
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 865
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3928 on: October 03, 2012, 03:58:52 am »
Ignore

Anyone watch the debates? McKenna won pretty clearly, I'd say. What are the odds that this will have an impact on polling?
Logged


Quote
Economic score: +2.19
Social score: -5.74
Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14170


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61

View Profile
« Reply #3929 on: October 03, 2012, 09:40:48 am »
Ignore

McKenna attacked constantly and sounded desperate and snarky. Was not a good performance for him.

Either way, no one watches gubernatorial debates.
Logged
CultureKing
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3218
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3930 on: October 03, 2012, 09:58:43 am »
Ignore

Yeah, no one watches those debates..
Logged

Econ: -6.50, Social: -5.23
Fuzzybigfoot
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4117
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3931 on: October 03, 2012, 11:20:13 am »
Ignore

I don't know what this is, or half of what is going on, but this must be the result of some really inspiring drugs.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BF3xnumI0Z8

lol what a freak
Logged
Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29691
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3932 on: October 03, 2012, 12:16:53 pm »
Ignore

http://www.king5.com/home/KING-5-poll-Obamas-lead-in-Washington-bigger-than-2008-172410401.html

SurveyUSA

Obama 56%
Romney 36%
Logged

n/c
Cobbler
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 865
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3933 on: October 03, 2012, 01:03:35 pm »
Ignore

McKenna attacked constantly and sounded desperate and snarky. Was not a good performance for him.
I agree, he attacked a lot and came off as too aggressive, but I felt he had much more substance/came off as more knowledgeable about the issues and addressed the questions more than Inslee, who I felt said the same talking points almost every question.

Quote
Either way, no one watches gubernatorial debates.

Yeah I figured, but I wasn't sure. Thanks for clearing it up for me.
Logged


Quote
Economic score: +2.19
Social score: -5.74
bgwah
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13776
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

View Profile
« Reply #3934 on: October 03, 2012, 01:47:42 pm »
Ignore

I agree, he attacked a lot and came off as too aggressive, but I felt he had much more substance/came off as more knowledgeable about the issues and addressed the questions more than Inslee, who I felt said the same talking points almost every question.

Seems to be working.
Logged

Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14170


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61

View Profile
« Reply #3935 on: October 03, 2012, 03:20:38 pm »
Ignore

Michael Baumgartner endorsed I-502 today: http://www.thenewstribune.com/2012/10/03/2319292/gop-senate-hopeful-latest-to-endorse.html

The Columbian, which IMO is usually pretty right-wing, also endorsed it on Sunday. I know The Olympian and The Seattle Times have as well. The News Tribune did not. Not sure about other papers off the top of my head.
Logged
bgwah
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13776
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

View Profile
« Reply #3936 on: October 03, 2012, 04:08:45 pm »
Ignore

Michael Baumgartner endorsed I-502 today: http://www.thenewstribune.com/2012/10/03/2319292/gop-senate-hopeful-latest-to-endorse.html

The Columbian, which IMO is usually pretty right-wing, also endorsed it on Sunday. I know The Olympian and The Seattle Times have as well. The News Tribune did not. Not sure about other papers off the top of my head.

Haha. Someone's desperate.
Logged

bgwah
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13776
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

View Profile
« Reply #3937 on: October 04, 2012, 12:26:56 pm »
Ignore

wtf Slog
Logged

Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14170


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61

View Profile
« Reply #3938 on: October 04, 2012, 01:13:58 pm »
Ignore

Pretty sure all these posts are made up
Logged
bgwah
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13776
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

View Profile
« Reply #3939 on: October 04, 2012, 01:42:04 pm »
Ignore

Pretty sure all these posts are made up

The last few would seem to confirm that hypothesis.

Fooled the PI! http://blog.seattlepi.com/seattlepolitics/2012/10/04/no-hack-just-fact-mckenna-takes-over-the-stranger/
Logged

Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29691
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3940 on: October 04, 2012, 04:42:17 pm »
Ignore

I can't find the full topline, but Referendum 74 is at 55% on the latest SUSA (-1%), and pot legalization is unchanged at 57%.
Logged

n/c
bgwah
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13776
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

View Profile
« Reply #3941 on: October 04, 2012, 05:31:34 pm »
Ignore

I figured legalization would have plummeted by now. Maybe it will actually pass!
Logged

Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14170


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61

View Profile
« Reply #3942 on: October 04, 2012, 05:34:15 pm »
Ignore

There's still no organized opposition campaign besides the medical marijuana community opposing it from the left (and they're not very organized either). Plus it's been getting good editorials in the newspaper. I'm inclined to think it'll pass as well, unless the feds come in and start raising legal questions to the local media.
Logged
Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29691
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3943 on: October 04, 2012, 07:48:33 pm »
Ignore

There's still no organized opposition campaign besides the medical marijuana community opposing it from the left (and they're not very organized either). Plus it's been getting good editorials in the newspaper. I'm inclined to think it'll pass as well, unless the feds come in and start raising legal questions to the local media.

I also think the No on I-502 people who are semi-organized are exactly the sort of people the Yes on I-502 people want for opposition.  The biggest victory for an actually viable counter-argument was the TNT endorsement...and that's pretty much nothing.  It's hard to see it going from 57% to a loss.  I think it may end up with a double-digit win.
Logged

n/c
Ogre Mage
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2068
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -4.35

P P

View Profile
« Reply #3944 on: October 04, 2012, 09:17:23 pm »
Ignore

I'm somewhat shocked by this -- the Spokane Spokesman-Review editorialized in favor of both I-502 and R-74.

http://www.spokesman.com/stories/2012/oct/02/editorial-regulation-taxation-of-marijuana-worth/

http://www.spokesman.com/stories/2012/sep/16/editorial-editorial-affirm-r-74-because-state-has/

I'm increasingly optimistic both will pass.



Logged
bgwah
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13776
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

View Profile
« Reply #3945 on: October 05, 2012, 02:11:48 am »
Ignore

Any particular reason charter schools will finally pass? Or is it just that the pro-side has way more money?
Logged

Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29691
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3946 on: October 05, 2012, 02:37:47 am »
Ignore

Any particular reason charter schools will finally pass? Or is it just that the pro-side has way more money?

That's a big part.  Also, the No side, at least whenever I've seen them, has terrible messaging.  They operate either in pithy soundbites or heinously long presentations that I can never remember anything about.  They haven't managed to expand their campaign beyond their base.
Logged

n/c
Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29691
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3947 on: October 05, 2012, 08:24:36 pm »
Ignore

Full SUSA results:

Gay marriage (Approve +15)
Approve 55% (-1)
Reject 40% (+2)
Undecided 6% (nc)
"Dumb" extrapolation: 58-42 Approve (+16)

Marijuana legalization (Yes +24)
Yes 57% (nc)
No 33% (-1)
Undecided 10% (+1)
"Dumb" extrapolation: 63-37 Yes (+27)

Eyman's symbolic thing (Yes +30)
Yes 56% (-2)
No 26% (+5)
Undecided 17% (-3)
"Dumb" extrapolation: 68-32 Yes (+37)

Charter schools (Yes +19)
Yes 49% (-3)
No 30% (+4)
Undecided 21% (-1)
"Dumb" extrapolation: 62-38 Yes (+24)

U.S. Senate (Cantwell +13)
Cantwell 53% (-1)
Baumgartner 40% (+2)
Undecided 6% (-1)
"Dumb" extrapolation: 57-43 Cantwell (+14)

Attorney General (D+8)
Ferguson 43% (+1)
Dunn 35% (+2)
Undecided 21% (-3)
"Dumb" extrapolation: 55-45 Ferguson (+10)

No link yet.  I think it's a little weird that Obama is kicking Cantwell's ass.
« Last Edit: October 06, 2012, 01:42:57 am by Grad Students are the Worst »Logged

n/c
Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14170


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61

View Profile
« Reply #3948 on: October 06, 2012, 01:19:56 am »
Ignore

The charter school people learned a lesson from Costco: gather enough money to put something on the ballot enough times and eventually it'll get approved.

Yay direct democracy!
Logged
greenforest32
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2619


Political Matrix
E: -7.94, S: -8.43

View Profile
« Reply #3949 on: October 06, 2012, 01:55:09 pm »
Ignore

Full SUSA results:

Marijuana legalization (Yes +24)
Yes 57% (nc)
No 33% (-1)
Undecided 10% (+1)
"Dumb" extrapolation: 63-37 Yes (+27)

Logged
Pages: 1 ... 153 154 155 156 157 [158] 159 160 161 162 163 ... 189 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines