Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle

[Meeker]

You skipped the State Senate race, good sir

[Alcon]

oh, duh.  52.5% Angel, I guess.

[Meeker]

I agree with your winners but differ a little on the margins. I think Eyman will be closer, I-522 not as close and Conlin-Sawant a smidge closer.

Will also be very curious to see the SeaTac minimum wage vote.

[Seattle]

I'm in agreement with you guys on all the winners. Though I think the Eyman thing may be a bit closer.

[Fed. Pac. Chairman Devin]

Fingers crossed that Mayor Mcginn can pull this out! Met him once, and he seemed like an honest and down to earth guy. Plus something about Murray gives me the heebie jeebies. That and his gun control bill while he was a SS.

[bgwah]

The results are in!!

Well, the mock election results.

http://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/mock/Results.aspx

[CultureKing]

And thus the long, slow wait for results begins...

[bgwah]

Some Eastern counties are coming in. I-522 is getting 46% in Ferry but losing hard in SE WA farming counties.

I-517 is the opposite, winning Ferry but losing in the SE. It's definitely on track to lose big though.

Edit: Big drop in. Both initiatives on track to lose by big margins.

The 26th looks like it could be a nail biter.

[bgwah]

Murray up 56-44

$15 min wage up 54-46 in Seatac

[publicunofficial]

Murray is crushing McGinn, I-517 is going down in flames. I-522 is close with Reject leading, and SD-26 is literally 50/50 with Angle ahead by a little over 100 votes.

[CultureKing]

Wow... 522 is even down in Thurston. Given the margins against in Eastern WA and the weak pro-vote in King is this completely done for?

[bgwah]

I-522 is done.

[Meeker]

The SeaTac minimum wage proposition may be in serious trouble. The batch that was reported at 4:30 today was 57% "No".

[Meeker]

SeaTac Prop 1 lost tonight's batch 63-37 (!)

On the other hand, Kshama Sawant won tonight's batch 56-44 (!!) She may pull this off after all.

[Meeker]

So King County reports having 213,938 Seattle ballots. They have counted 149,471 of those, leaving 64,467 left.

However, only 86.04% of voters so far have cast ballots for Council Position No. 2. That means there are roughly 55,467 votes left in the race.

Sawant is currently down 4,205 votes. She would need 29,836 of the remaining votes to take the lead. That's 53.79% of the remaining vote, which seems possible given the trend thus far.

Wowza.

[bgwah]

Gross.

[Alcon]

Sawant's math looks a little generous when it comes to ballots remaining, but she got 55.8% tonight in the second batch, so who knows?

Prop. 1 is in serious trouble, and I hear the campaign is preparing for a ballot chase already.  Kind of surprising, considering how liberal late King County ballots usually are.

[LastVoter]

Someone please tell me that Sawant will be the last of the majority of "progressive" votes on the council.

[Asian Nazi]

#conlinisgonelin

[bgwah]

The election night abstract (with LD breakdown) is out.

Nothing terribly shocking. McGinn did in fact win and do best in the southeast part of the city (11th and 37th districts). Link: http://your.kingcounty.gov/elections/2013nov-general/results/election-night-abstract.pdf

[Alcon]

Prop. 1 didn't do too badly in the second drop tonight, but Richard Conlin did...he may be toast.  Sawant needs about 52% of the remaining vote.  Amazing.

Also, it looks like Seattle's Prop. 1 (public financing) has a shot: http://slog.thestranger.com/slog/archives/2013/11/08/sawant-surges-in-latest-ballot-drop-seatac-prop-1-bleeding-slows

Have we ever seen late ballots this different?

[CultureKing]

Holy crap! Will Seattle be the only major US city with a socialist on the council? Also pretty amazing considering it's a city-wide election...

[publicunofficial]

I hope Prop 1 passes. Publicaly-financed elections is an interesting idea that needs to be discussed more.

Also, Go Sawant!

[jimrtex]

Prop. 1 didn't do too badly in the second drop tonight, but Richard Conlin did...he may be toast.  Sawant needs about 52% of the remaining vote.  Amazing.

Also, it looks like Seattle's Prop. 1 (public financing) has a shot: http://slog.thestranger.com/slog/archives/2013/11/08/sawant-surges-in-latest-ballot-drop-seatac-prop-1-bleeding-slows

Have we ever seen late ballots this different?

Why are both Murray and Conlin dropping?   On election night Murray had 56% and has dropped down to 53%.  What is the correlating factor.

[Seattle]

In general the late King County votes are very liberal leaning. Which explains the closening of Sawant-Conlin and the Public Financing proposition. As to why Murray-McGinn has narrowed? No clue. Comcast "scandal"?