Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain]

[Eraserhead]

So in other words, Obama is yet another George McGovern, who is going to rely on the "youth" vote to put him in the White House.   

God help us all.

MikeyCNY is posting again.

God help us all.

[Eraserhead]

An african american vs. hispanic riff has been long-founded, just as you see the racism riff in areas of Alabama, Kentucky, ect. Obama is not as good a candidate for Hispanics as McCain is.

Are you saying you think McCain will win the Hispanic vote?

[Eraserhead]

Wow, you Democrats were right! The Obama nomination clinching bump was HUGEEE!!!

47-45 lead to 48-45 lead in the Rasmussen tracking poll.  AMAZING!!!

Uh-oh... looks like you spoke to soon Mr. King.

[Eraserhead]

There is no way in Hades that Georgia goes Obama before Arkansas.

Sure there is (although neither have any chance of vorting for him anyway).

[Eraserhead]

Wednesday June 11, 2008

General: Head-to-Head

Obama: 46% / 49%, including leaners (-2, -1)
McCain: 41% / 44%, including leaners (+1, +1)

Favorability

Obama: 56% favorable; 42% unfavorable (-3, +2)
McCain: 55% favorable; 42% unfavorable (+1, -1)

Issues

45% (+1) trust McCain most when it comes to economic issues and managing the economy while 42% (+2) prefer Obama.

On national security issues such as the War in Iraq and the War on Terrorism, 49% (-2) have more trust in McCain while 41% (+4) prefer Obama.

A former Clinton advisor put it this way:

"You can a candidate who can't win (Obama), nominated by a party (Democratic) that can't lose. At the same time you have a candidate who is going to win (McCain), nominated by a party (Republican) destined to lose."

That's a great quote... if you take Dick Morris seriously.

By the way, your candidate is still losing.

[Eraserhead]

Thursday, June 26, 2008

General: Head-to-Head

Obama: 46% / 49%, including leaners (nc, nc)
McCain: 41% / 45%, including leaners (+1, nc)

Favorability

Obama: 55% favorable; 43% unfavorable (nc, nc)
McCain: 55% favorable; 43% unfavorable (nc, nc)

What an uneventful day!

[Eraserhead]

Populists/Social facists favor McCain and libertarians and moderates favor Obama.

[Eraserhead]

Well the NJ poll isn't going to be too interesting but I'm looking foward to that MO poll.

[Eraserhead]

I know a few minority females (Asians) that are for McCain. One of whom would move out of the country if a Black man was ever elected.

Good riddance.

[Eraserhead]

Hey, I'd rather be ahead than not.

[Eraserhead]

You people never fail to get all worked up over summer polling... take a deep breath and relax.

[Eraserhead]

I wish Rasmussen would poll Indiana.

I wish anyone would.

[Eraserhead]

Might be a bounce going on here.  No idea how great it'll be.

Starting to look like it.

[Eraserhead]

Might be a bounce going on here.  No idea how great it'll be.

[J.J.]too soon to tell.  I'll let you know later in the week [/J.J.]

lolololololol

[Eraserhead]

Well, this certainly isn't good.

[Eraserhead]

Damn... I'm liking Obama's favorables.

It also seems that Palin's appeal lies more with men than women.

[Eraserhead]

It also seems that Palin's appeal lies more with men than women.

What did Sam Spade tell you?  Maybe you should listen to him more often. 

Must have missed that one.

[Eraserhead]

It also seems that Palin's appeal lies more with men than women.

What did Sam Spade tell you?  Maybe you should listen to him more often. 

he told me that Obama "never had a chance" to beat Clinton back in February

Oh snap!

[Eraserhead]

I'm actually pleased with how little it's moving so far...

I'm worried about the impact last night will have though. Clearly, it was a good night for Republicans. Tonight, frankly, seems like it will be pretty boring by comparison. They should have saved up a few heavy hitters for tonight other than McCain.

[Eraserhead]

Yes, I don't know what the Palin effects will be. However, I think there was a lot of media attention. That means higher ratings. It wouldn't surprise me if she had higher ratings than Obama's speech. How that will play out...don't know.

Well, that would greatly surprise me... especially since the ratings for Tuesday were rather poor.

Granted, the main event that night consisted of two of the most boring speakers on earth, so we'll see.

[Eraserhead]

No, they don't break it down. However, you can see the daily numbers (based on the previous 3 day samples). We'll see if Democrats keep holding strong as they are right now, even if McCain is leading modestly among Independents. But like I said, both Gallup and Rasmussen, and other polls, just have independents all over the place. At the end, they may just break even.

Thus, attracting Democrats is crucial for McCain to win. The key for Obama is holding about 85% of Democrats. If he does, then this election is over. The tone of the convention has been really negative.

If they break even on election day, Obama has probably won the election.

[Eraserhead]

Hmm... I was expecting worse results than this today.

Impressive favorable numbers for McCain. I can't see those lasting too long though.

[Eraserhead]

Ras says that the state polling is coming back tonight too.

Frankly, I wish that he'd wait another week for McCain's bump to die.

[Eraserhead]

Is anyone else surprised that there wasn't a little more movement today or is it just me?

[Eraserhead]

McCain's favorables are coming back down to earth.