Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 03:13:49 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 78
Author Topic: Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]  (Read 297002 times)
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: June 09, 2008, 08:39:26 PM »

I wish they would stop polling Obama/Clintron vs. McCain. I really don't care.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,417
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: June 10, 2008, 01:09:14 AM »

Sorry, I wrote my comments late at night.... I really tried to explain it, but whatever.

My point is that among Democrats racism is not really an issue. And I really misworded my comments on Catholics. I truly did not mean to offend anyone, but I am really offended at being labeled ignorant. Until this year, I thought America had gotten over racism, but from the exit polls it seems like there is still a lot of it on the East Coast.

When I reread my comment, I was quite shocked, so please ignore it! I really don't believe that!

Some of the exit polls looked ugly, and they disturbed me as well...

Maybe I'm naive, but I have to believe that this is less than 5% of the American people that vote overtly on skin tone. George Wallace did all right in '68, even in many Northern states, but I would like to believe the possible fantasy that America is in 2008 a post-race era. For the future of our nation, I hope so anyways....
Logged
Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,139
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: June 10, 2008, 01:58:37 AM »

Sorry, I wrote my comments late at night.... I really tried to explain it, but whatever.

My point is that among Democrats racism is not really an issue. And I really misworded my comments on Catholics. I truly did not mean to offend anyone, but I am really offended at being labeled ignorant. Until this year, I thought America had gotten over racism, but from the exit polls it seems like there is still a lot of it on the East Coast.

When I reread my comment, I was quite shocked, so please ignore it! I really don't believe that!

Some of the exit polls looked ugly, and they disturbed me as well...

Maybe I'm naive, but I have to believe that this is less than 5% of the American people that vote overtly on skin tone. George Wallace did all right in '68, even in many Northern states, but I would like to believe the possible fantasy that America is in 2008 a post-race era. For the future of our nation, I hope so anyways....


post-race, no. But race matters today far less than it has at any point in our history. That said, it still matters a great deal.
Logged
Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,770


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: June 10, 2008, 03:36:33 AM »

Sorry, I wrote my comments late at night.... I really tried to explain it, but whatever.

My point is that among Democrats racism is not really an issue. And I really misworded my comments on Catholics. I truly did not mean to offend anyone, but I am really offended at being labeled ignorant. Until this year, I thought America had gotten over racism, but from the exit polls it seems like there is still a lot of it on the East Coast.

When I reread my comment, I was quite shocked, so please ignore it! I really don't believe that!

Some of the exit polls looked ugly, and they disturbed me as well...

Maybe I'm naive, but I have to believe that this is less than 5% of the American people that vote overtly on skin tone. George Wallace did all right in '68, even in many Northern states, but I would like to believe the possible fantasy that America is in 2008 a post-race era. For the future of our nation, I hope so anyways....


post-race, no. But race matters today far less than it has at any point in our history. That said, it still matters a great deal.

The number of people in America who are violently racist in a "I could never for a black guy because he's, yuck, black" way is probably pretty low. The number who feel threatened by people like Wright or Jackson and are afraid of black gangs, etc is much higher. Obama's strength originally was that he wasn't triggering the second group. Post-Wright, etc, he is.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: June 10, 2008, 12:22:35 PM »

Tuesday June 10, 2008

Obama - 48% (nc)
McCain - 41% (-1)

Voting preferences have been fairly stable over the last three individual days of tracking polling, all conducted since Hillary Clinton officially suspended her candidacy and publicly endorsed Obama for president on Saturday.

The seven percentage point advantage is Obama's largest to date since Gallup began tracking the general election in March. In turn, McCain has led Obama by as many as six percentage points in early May.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: June 11, 2008, 05:35:51 PM »

Obama Gains Among Women After Clinton Exit (June 11, 2008)

Now running as strongly vs. McCain among women as Clinton did

http://www.gallup.com/poll/107806/Obama-Gains-Among-Women-After-Clinton-Exit.aspx

Vote Preference in the General Election Presidential Election, by Gender and Marital Status

Gallup Daily Tracking, June 5 - 9, 2008 [changes on previous week]

Married men: McCain 53% (-2); Obama 39% (+1)

Married women: McCain 45% (-7); Obama 45% (+5)

Unmarried men: McCain 35% (-4); Obama 57% (+3)

Unmarried women: McCain 31% (-1); Obama 57% (-)

Dave
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: June 11, 2008, 05:43:21 PM »

Wednesday June 11, 2008

Obama - 48% (nc)
McCain - 42% (+1)

This marks the third consecutive day that Obama has held a significant lead, as he enjoys a modest boost in support following Hillary Clinton's decision to concede the nomination. Obama's six and seven percentage point advantages over McCain in recent days have been his best to date. Obama has held significant leads over McCain at other points since mid-March (when Gallup first began tracking general election preferences), but for the most part the two candidates have been locked in statistical dead heats.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: June 12, 2008, 07:08:09 PM »

Thursday June 12, 2008

Heavy storms and tornadoes shut down Gallup interviewing centers in Omaha and Lincoln, Neb., Wednesday night, as a result Gallup will not be publishing new Gallup Poll Daily tracking results Thursday, June 12. The next report will be Friday, June 13.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: June 12, 2008, 07:10:30 PM »

Thursday June 12, 2008

Heavy storms and tornadoes shut down Gallup interviewing centers in Omaha and Lincoln, Neb., Wednesday night, as a result Gallup will not be publishing new Gallup Poll Daily tracking results Thursday, June 12. The next report will be Friday, June 13.

Lame excuse.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: June 12, 2008, 07:20:56 PM »

Large Democratic Base Provides Big Advantage for Obama (June 12, 2008)

Over half of Americans identify as or lean toward being Democratic

http://www.gallup.com/poll/107842/Large-Democratic-Base-Provides-Big-Advantage-Obama.aspx

Party identification , June 5-10, 2008

Republicans 28%; Independents/Other/Don't Know 34%; Democrats 37%

Among Independents: 11% Lean Republican; 8% are 'pure' Independents; 15% Lean Democratic

Presidential General Election, by Party I/D

Republicans (28%): McCain 85%; Obama 10%
Independents (34%): McCain 39%; Obama 46%
Democrats (37%): McCain 14%; Obama 78%

Lean Republican (11%): McCain 81%; Obama 11%
'Pure' Independents (8%): McCain 35%; Obama 26%
Lean Democratic (15%): McCain 10%; Obama 83% [actually more pro-Obama than 'core' Democrats]

Republicans plus leaners (39%): McCain 84%; Obama 10%
'Pure' Independents, no leaners (8%): McCain 35%; Obama 26%
Democrats plus leaners (52%): McCain 13%; Obama 80%

Dave
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: June 13, 2008, 12:48:03 PM »

Friday June 13, 2008

Obama - 46% (-2)
McCain - 43% (+1)

Although Obama's three percentage point advantage is statistically significant, it is down from the 6- to 7-point leads he had in Gallup Poll Daily tracking reports on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of this week.

According to the latest results, based on Gallup Poll Daily tracking interviews from June 9-10 and 12, a sizeable 10% of national registered voters are either undecided between the two major party candidates for president (4%), or say they will not vote for either (6%). This is the highest uncommitted percentage Gallup has seen since it launched daily tracking of an Obama vs. McCain race in early March. (The average across this time period is 8%.) Additionally, a consistent 1% volunteer they will vote for a different candidate.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: June 13, 2008, 01:08:30 PM »

Religious Americans Prefer McCain Over Obama (June 13, 2008)

Preference is especially stronger among white Americans

http://www.gallup.com/poll/107989/Religious-Americans-Prefer-McCain-Over-Obama.aspx

"Is religion an important part of your daily life?"

Yes (64%): Obama 42%; McCain 47%

No (35%): Obama 58%; McCain 33%

Among non-Hispanic whites:

Important (62%): Obama 32%; McCain 57%

Not important (37%): Obama 54%; McCain 38%

McCain leads Obama among whites, 49% to 40%

Gallup Daily Tracking, June 5-10, 2008

Dave
Logged
King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,357
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: June 13, 2008, 02:18:16 PM »

Friday June 13, 2008

Obama - 46% (-2)
McCain - 43% (+1)

Could the bump be over?
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: June 14, 2008, 12:53:46 PM »

Saturday June 14, 2008

Obama 45% (-1)
McCain 42% (-1)
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #39 on: June 14, 2008, 04:58:22 PM »

Hmm, so is the Obama bounce winding down?  Let's see.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #40 on: June 14, 2008, 09:45:27 PM »

I've though that starting tomorrow, we'll start seeing less "bumped" numbers.  The next 3-4 days show the difference.
Logged
Umengus
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,474
Belgium


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #41 on: June 15, 2008, 06:48:42 AM »

Compared to his score 2 weeks ago, the Mc cain score is weak (in gallup and rasmussen). I don't know why.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #42 on: June 15, 2008, 05:05:26 PM »

Compared to his score 2 weeks ago, the Mc cain score is weak (in gallup and rasmussen). I don't know why.

You sound disappointed Umengus?
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #43 on: June 15, 2008, 05:07:00 PM »

And looking at Gallup, before any much longer it's going to be my turn Sad

Sunday 15 June, 2008

Obama - 44% (-1)
McCain - 42% (nc)

Dave
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #44 on: June 15, 2008, 09:35:28 PM »

The move towards undecided is coming from two different areas..  Maybe I'll discuss it later. 

But it's to be expected - voter opinions about this election are far from hardened yet.  And it's quite possible that very little happens in the next two months to change this, since:

1. The conventions are very late.
2. There is almost always (in the modern era) a respite period in between the primary and the general elections where things settle down before throttling up again.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #45 on: June 16, 2008, 12:10:52 PM »

Monday 16 June, 2008

Obama - 46% (+2)
McCain - 42% (nc)

The latest release, based on June 13-15 interviewing with over 2,600 registered voters nationwide, shows Obama regaining a statistically significant lead over McCain. Over the weekend, the race was slightly closer, but Obama still held an advantage. Obama has led by as many as seven percentage points since Hillary Clinton decided to abandon her presidential bid earlier this month.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,611


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #46 on: June 16, 2008, 12:11:42 PM »


Landslide Obama
Logged
exopolitician
MATCHU[D]
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #47 on: June 16, 2008, 04:47:28 PM »


No...but hes still leading Wink
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #48 on: June 16, 2008, 06:03:27 PM »

Today was the removal of a strong McCain sample and Obama only bounced back to the 4% lead, not the 6% one he had last week - that's the classic sign of tracking poll movement.  We'll see whether it continues, holds steady or moves back...
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #49 on: June 17, 2008, 12:37:56 PM »

Tuesday 17 June, 2008

Obama - 46% (nc)
McCain - 42% (nc)

Logged
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 78  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.052 seconds with 14 queries.