Home 2012 Election Results Election Info Weblog Wiki Search Email Site Info Store

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 22, 2013, 05:55:48 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2008 Elections
| | |-+  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
| | | |-+  Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 4 5 6 7 8 [9] 10 11 12 13 14 ... 78 Print
Author Topic: Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]  (Read 169444 times)
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31872
United States


View Profile
« Reply #200 on: July 14, 2008, 08:13:04 pm »
Ignore
My guess is less than 4 points, probably 2-3, for Obama.
Logged
J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27969
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #201 on: July 15, 2008, 12:06:06 pm »
Ignore
Tuesday - July 15, 2008:

Obama - 47% (+1)
McCain - 43% (nc)
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31872
United States


View Profile
« Reply #202 on: July 15, 2008, 01:26:49 pm »
Ignore
It looks like my guess was pretty good.
Logged
J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27969
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #203 on: July 16, 2008, 12:08:18 pm »
Ignore
Wednesday - July 16, 2008:

Obama - 47% (nc)
McCain - 44% (+1)
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14739
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #204 on: July 16, 2008, 08:34:09 pm »
Ignore
Obama Maintaining Support Among Liberals [16 July, 2008]

Support may be increasing slightly

http://www.gallup.com/poll/108859/Obama-Maintaining-Support-Among-Liberals.aspx

Presidential Trial Heat Vote, By Party and Ideology, July 7-13 Gallup Daily Tracking

Liberal Democrats: Obama 92%; McCain 5%

Moderate Democrats: Obama 79%; McCain 10%

Conservative Democrats: Obama 68%; McCain 20%

Moderate/Liberal Republicans: Obama 20%; McCain 73%

Conservative Republicans: Obama 6%; McCain 90%

Dave
Logged
Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

Registered in Georgia for Fantasy Politics
Nutmeg
thepolitic
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1322
Colombia


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.61

View Profile
« Reply #205 on: July 17, 2008, 12:06:10 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Democratic Hawk on July 16, 2008, 08:34:09 pm
Liberal Democrats: Obama 92%; McCain 5%

Conservative Republicans: Obama 6%; McCain 90%

It seems there's always a percentage of people who just have no idea what's going on or who enjoy screwing with pollsters who bother them at home.
Logged
Quote from: Mynheer Peeperkorn on September 30, 2011, 10:45:05 pm
Quote from: Sooners Football 2011 on September 30, 2011, 10:41:59 pm
Christmas Carols, because it's that time of year again!
I really thought you were not a troll until now.
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27078


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -6.54

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #206 on: July 17, 2008, 12:14:19 am »
Ignore
Well, 1 or 2% of that is probably Clinton or Huckabee/Romney/Paul supporters who are still disgruntled.
Logged


Proud Member of the International Posters' Union
MarkWarner08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5861


View Profile
« Reply #207 on: July 17, 2008, 12:16:59 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Nutmeg on July 17, 2008, 12:06:10 am
Quote from: Democratic Hawk on July 16, 2008, 08:34:09 pm
Liberal Democrats: Obama 92%; McCain 5%

Conservative Republicans: Obama 6%; McCain 90%

It seems there's always a percentage of people who just have no idea what's going on or who enjoy screwing with pollsters who bother them at home.
Yeah. Like the 3% of Rhode Island voters who approved of George Bush and  then voted for Sheldon Whitehouse.
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31872
United States


View Profile
« Reply #208 on: July 17, 2008, 01:06:56 pm »
Ignore

Thursday - July 17, 2008:

Obama - 46% (-1)
McCain - 44% (nc)


Just reported on MSNBC
Logged
J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31872
United States


View Profile
« Reply #209 on: July 17, 2008, 01:18:27 pm »
Ignore
While last week it appeared to be 4-6 point race, it now appears to be 0-3 point race.
Logged
J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
InsaneTrollLogic
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10945
United States


View Profile
« Reply #210 on: July 17, 2008, 02:51:35 pm »
Ignore
Yeah. I wonder why. Perhaps its cyclical. I just don't see why McCain is doing well now when Obama is ahead in places like Colorado and Virginia and that McCain is struggling in the Northern Plains. My guess is that the campaign has just died down. Still, non-trackers show a 4-7 point race.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14739
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #211 on: July 18, 2008, 12:38:55 pm »
Ignore
Friday, July 18, 2008

Obama - 45% (-1)
McCain - 44% (nc)

Obama still holds a slight edge, but with just 45% of registered voters saying they would vote for him in November, versus 44% for McCain. McCain's current support, based on Gallup Poll Daily tracking conducted July 15-17, falls at the upper end of the 42% to 44% range seen for him since late June.

The dip in support for Obama to 45% from 46% in Thursday's report and from 47% earlier this week (when he held a four percentage point lead over McCain) is not statistically significant. It will be important to see whether today's figures are maintained for several days before it can be determined that the race has narrowed to a virtual tie.
Logged
Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

Registered in Georgia for Fantasy Politics
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31872
United States


View Profile
« Reply #212 on: July 18, 2008, 04:01:31 pm »
Ignore
Both Gallup and Rasmussen agree.
Logged
J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27969
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #213 on: July 19, 2008, 12:30:36 pm »
Ignore
Saturday - July 19, 2008:

Obama - 45% (nc)
McCain - 43% (-1)

These results are based on interviews conducted July 16-18. In Friday's report, Barack Obama's support fell out of the narrow 46%-48% range it had been in for the prior 18 reports, and remains outside that range today. However, Obama had a stronger night in Friday interviewing and could inch back into that range with another strong performance tonight.
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6700


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

View Profile
« Reply #214 on: July 19, 2008, 12:40:05 pm »
Ignore
Obama usually does better on summer weekend polling.
Logged
Prez Duke
AHDuke99
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16129


Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -6.35

View Profile
« Reply #215 on: July 19, 2008, 01:57:29 pm »
Ignore
Obama is really running away with this race!
Logged
I call that getting swindled and pimped
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31872
United States


View Profile
« Reply #216 on: July 19, 2008, 02:10:21 pm »
Ignore
The "strong night" might the weekend shift seen in previous weeks.
Logged
J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Umengus
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1936
Belgium


View Profile
« Reply #217 on: July 19, 2008, 05:29:15 pm »
Ignore
and for likely voters ?  it stays the best for me. I don't care about RV who will not vote. Go in hell !
Logged
Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31289
United States


View Profile
« Reply #218 on: July 19, 2008, 05:33:56 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Umengus on July 19, 2008, 05:29:15 pm
and for likely voters ?  it stays the best for me. I don't care about RV who will not vote. Go in hell !

LV's tend to get more useful as election season goes on, and RV less so.  Early on, ignoring RV's in favor of LV's is potentially a bad idea.

RV's that aren't LV's are not unlikely voters.
Logged
n/c
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27969
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #219 on: July 20, 2008, 12:02:34 pm »
Ignore
Sunday - July 20, 2008:

Obama - 45% (nc)
McCain - 42% (-1)
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6700


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

View Profile
« Reply #220 on: July 20, 2008, 12:10:08 pm »
Ignore
It isn't just a coincidence that Obama's lead increases over the weekend every time in the Gallup poll.
Logged
Beet
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14779


Political Matrix
E: -2.52, S: -4.43

View Profile
« Reply #221 on: July 20, 2008, 01:41:17 pm »
Ignore
Again, the large number of undecideds (13 in this poll) is remarkable, if not unique for Gallup.

I'm guessing a lot of traditionally Democratic working class whites and suburban moderates who are sick of Repubs and would normally be going for the Dem nominee are staying undecided. In places like West Virginia, Ohio and New Hampshire, these voters broke against Obama in the closing days.
Logged
Quote from: krazen1211 on January 17, 2013, 06:26:56 pm
15 rounds for the elites but 7 for the people. Interesting.

Markit Credit Data
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31872
United States


View Profile
« Reply #222 on: July 20, 2008, 01:48:44 pm »
Ignore
We need to wait to Wednesday.
Logged
J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Rowan
RowanBrandon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6700


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

View Profile
« Reply #223 on: July 20, 2008, 03:00:56 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Beet on July 20, 2008, 01:41:17 pm
Again, the large number of undecideds (13 in this poll) is remarkable, if not unique for Gallup.

I'm guessing a lot of traditionally Democratic working class whites and suburban moderates who are sick of Repubs and would normally be going for the Dem nominee are staying undecided. In places like West Virginia, Ohio and New Hampshire, these voters broke against Obama in the closing days.

And they are undecided because Obama is a flawed candidate.
Logged
Umengus
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1936
Belgium


View Profile
« Reply #224 on: July 20, 2008, 05:16:39 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Alcon on July 19, 2008, 05:33:56 pm
Quote from: Umengus on July 19, 2008, 05:29:15 pm
and for likely voters ?  it stays the best for me. I don't care about RV who will not vote. Go in hell !

LV's tend to get more useful as election season goes on, and RV less so.  Early on, ignoring RV's in favor of LV's is potentially a bad idea.

RV's that aren't LV's are not unlikely voters.

what then ?
Logged
Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
Pages: 1 ... 4 5 6 7 8 [9] 10 11 12 13 14 ... 78 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines
Forums Directory