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Author Topic: Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]  (Read 177771 times)
Nym90
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« Reply #1850 on: November 01, 2008, 05:02:51 pm »
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There was humour?

No, "h-u-m-or-r" since this an American election.  You just didn't get it, but what else is new?

Humorr?

I doubt J.J. won the Mensa spelling bee.
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Nym90
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E: -5.55, S: -2.96

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« Reply #1851 on: November 01, 2008, 05:03:50 pm »
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Wow, did not expect the TRADITIONAL model to be showing this sort of result.

wow.




Have we actually gotten a good explanation on how the Traditional Model differs from the other models?

The traditional model takes into consideration both past voting history and currently stated voting intentions. The expanded model considers only currently stated intentions.
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jfern
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« Reply #1852 on: November 01, 2008, 05:16:21 pm »
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What a comeback by McCain, to be down double digits.
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Iosif
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« Reply #1853 on: November 01, 2008, 05:24:54 pm »
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There was humour?

No, "h-u-m-or-r" since this an American election.  You just didn't get it, but what else is new?

Humorr?

I doubt J.J. won the Mensa spelling bee.

That made me laugh a lot more than it should.
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J.J., I wanted to congratulate you on your assignment "A Typical Day In My Life". I think you did a superb job with it. So good that I think I'll share it with everyone else.


J. J.
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« Reply #1854 on: November 01, 2008, 08:03:06 pm »
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There was humour?

No, "h-u-m-or-r" since this an American election.  You just didn't get it, but what else is new?

Humorr?

I doubt J.J. won the Mensa spelling bee.

No, but I do make typos.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Nym90
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« Reply #1855 on: November 01, 2008, 09:10:01 pm »
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What a comeback by McCain, to be down double digits.

He's got us right where he wants us.
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #1856 on: November 01, 2008, 09:35:34 pm »
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What a comeback by McCain, to be down double digits.

If John McCain posted on the Atlas...atleast he wouldn't have frickin' hieroglyphics as his screenname. He's coming back...GET OVER IT!
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Sarnstrom
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« Reply #1857 on: November 01, 2008, 09:37:27 pm »
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What a comeback by McCain, to be down double digits.

If John McCain posted on the Atlas...atleast he wouldn't have frickin' hieroglyphics as his screenname. He's coming back...GET OVER IT!
Well he better get on that "coming back" strategy of his because the polls open in like 70 hours.
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Economic Left/Right: -6.38
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.44

My Congressman: Ron Kind (D)
My State Senator: Sheila Harsdorf (R)
My State Represenative: Kitty Rhoades (R)
Rowan
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« Reply #1858 on: November 01, 2008, 09:54:47 pm »
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This is what happens when you don't weight your polls.
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seamjay
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« Reply #1859 on: November 01, 2008, 10:02:27 pm »
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Obama and McCain: Mamba and Cocaine Get Anagrammed in Run Up to Election!
http://www.quazen.com/Games/Puzzles/Obama-and-Mccain-Mamba-and-Cocaine-Get-Anagrammed-in-Run-Up-to-Election.324789
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J. J.
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« Reply #1860 on: November 01, 2008, 10:49:58 pm »
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What a comeback by McCain, to be down double digits.

If John McCain posted on the Atlas...atleast he wouldn't have frickin' hieroglyphics as his screenname. He's coming back...GET OVER IT!
Well he better get on that "coming back" strategy of his because the polls open in like 70 hours.

He actually is, which is why we've been discussing PA.  Smiley
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
AT&T likes to throw money around.
Eraserhead
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« Reply #1861 on: November 02, 2008, 01:37:09 am »
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What a comeback by McCain, to be down double digits.

If John McCain posted on the Atlas...atleast he wouldn't have frickin' hieroglyphics as his screenname. He's coming back...GET OVER IT!
Well he better get on that "coming back" strategy of his because the polls open in like 70 hours.

He actually is, which is why we've been discussing PA.  Smiley

Yep, candidates down double digits in the Gallup poll often win the election. Yup, yup.
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What are you talking about Duke?  Things are great so far.   I do have to cling to God no matter what.  I have nothing against this at all,  but in my class there are 9 blacks and 4 whites.  African Americans are quite prevalent in that part of Tulsa.  I don't mind it at all,  but it is an interesting fact in white Oklahoma.
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« Reply #1862 on: November 02, 2008, 08:21:15 am »
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What a comeback by McCain, to be down double digits.

If John McCain posted on the Atlas...atleast he wouldn't have frickin' hieroglyphics as his screenname. He's coming back...GET OVER IT!
Well he better get on that "coming back" strategy of his because the polls open in like 70 hours.

He actually is, which is why we've been discussing PA.  Smiley

Yep, candidates down double digits in the Gallup poll often win the election. Yup, yup.

Why is a candidate doing so well sending out urgent requests for more volunteers. especially one with a good ground game?
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Kalimantan
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« Reply #1863 on: November 02, 2008, 10:56:46 am »
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Why is a candidate doing so well sending out urgent requests for more volunteers. especially one with a good ground game?

God you're such a liar
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Mr.Jones
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« Reply #1864 on: November 02, 2008, 11:07:48 am »
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Why is a candidate doing so well sending out urgent requests for more volunteers. especially one with a good ground game?

Cause he is a smart man, and like any smart man in a dual, doesnt want to give his opponent an iota of chance.
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Herman Cain's Gold Chain
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« Reply #1865 on: November 02, 2008, 12:30:45 pm »
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JJ apparently believes that candidates who are ahead generally stop campaigning in the final week.
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(Part of the 2012 Election Throwback Series)
Tender Branson
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« Reply #1866 on: November 02, 2008, 01:03:32 pm »
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Sunday - November 2, 2008

RV
Obama: 52% (nc)
McCain: 41% (nc)

LV (Expanded)
Obama: 52% (nc)
McCain: 43% (+1)

LV (Traditional)
Obama: 51% (-1)
McCain: 43% (+1)
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1867 on: November 02, 2008, 01:04:25 pm »
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I don't think Obama will win by this much, but it's possible.
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Born and raised in California
BlueSwan
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« Reply #1868 on: November 02, 2008, 01:08:38 pm »
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Ahhhh....I love reading the daily Gallup polll. So comforting.

However, it does appear a bit strange that Obamas numbers are way better with Gallup than with any of the other trackers. Only the non-trackers have numbers that are that good for Obama (or even better).
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Edu
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« Reply #1869 on: November 02, 2008, 01:09:27 pm »
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Obama just needs all the Gore states + NH + Colorado to win. He seems to be up by a good amount in NH and Colorado  and he's doing all right in all the Gore states.

McCain strategy seems to be concentrating on Pennsylvania, so why would Obama let him gain points by stop campaigning in the state?. It seems logical to me that if McCain is specifically targeting the state to win then Obama should spend money and time there to try and neutralize any effect McCain might be having.

Obama has money and he doesn't really need Florida, Ohio, Missouri, Nevada, Indiana, North Carolina, Virginia or Arizona to win the election. So both candidates campaigning there heavily doesn't strike as too odd in my opinion.
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Passing Through a Screen Door
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« Reply #1870 on: November 02, 2008, 01:57:43 pm »
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What a comeback by McCain, to be down double digits.

If John McCain posted on the Atlas...atleast he wouldn't have frickin' hieroglyphics as his screenname. He's coming back...GET OVER IT!
Well he better get on that "coming back" strategy of his because the polls open in like 70 hours.

He actually is, which is why we've been discussing PA.  Smiley

Yep, candidates down double digits in the Gallup poll often win the election. Yup, yup.

Why is a candidate doing so well sending out urgent requests for more volunteers. especially one with a good ground game?

Why wouldn't he? It doesn't hurt him in any way. Just because Obama's ahead doesn't mean he should just sit down and forget everything or instead focus on Idaho or something.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1871 on: November 02, 2008, 02:01:59 pm »
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Why is a candidate doing so well sending out urgent requests for more volunteers. especially one with a good ground game?

God you're such a liar

No, I'm telling what was reported on MSNBC this morning.

I also believe that campaigns with good ground games will have their volunteers in place more than 72 hours before the election. 
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Lunar
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« Reply #1872 on: November 02, 2008, 02:04:21 pm »
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Because he's trying to motivate his troops across the country by pretending he's on the verge of losing.
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this is real
J. J.
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« Reply #1873 on: November 02, 2008, 02:13:54 pm »
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Because he's trying to motivate his troops across the country by pretending he's on the verge of losing.

It could be, but the call for volunteers 48 hours before the polls open is pretty stunning.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Lunar
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« Reply #1874 on: November 02, 2008, 02:14:54 pm »
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Because he's trying to motivate his troops across the country by pretending he's on the verge of losing.

It could be, but the call for volunteers 48 hours before the polls open is pretty stunning.

Not really.

But you like to interpret every event as something that's bad for Obama.  I'd like your final prediction on PA's margin sometime, yo.
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this is real
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