Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]

[J. J.]

Could this thread get any more petty? OMG, you can't be teh smart!!11 Yes, I can too.......

especially when a 46-year-old feels the need to actively take part in a dick-waving contest

No, merely stating facts.

[J. J.]

http://www.mensaboutique.com/mensa_gear.htm

For a mere $9 more your license plate can be framed:

The bumper stickers were about $2.50, IIRC.  This, however, is an example of applied intelligence.

[J. J.]

We're still trying to get volunteers for Election Day in our offices here in Washington - why the hell would we stop trying to find more?

Meeker, did you send out an urgent e-mail this morning to get them?

We did last night.

The only one I've seen, specifically asking for volunteers was for PA.

[Lunar]

http://www.mensaboutique.com/mensa_gear.htm

For a mere $9 more your license plate can be framed:

The bumper stickers were about $2.50, IIRC.  This, however, is an example of applied intelligence.

I was trying to make a subtle jab saying that anyone can buy these stickers

[So the Heroes Fall]

Which of the Js in J. J. stands for Joke I wonder? He should just be J. P., Joke Poster.

[J. J.]

http://www.mensaboutique.com/mensa_gear.htm

For a mere $9 more your license plate can be framed:

The bumper stickers were about $2.50, IIRC.  This, however, is an example of applied intelligence.

I was trying to make a subtle jab saying that anyone can buy these stickers

I think they require a membership number and the license plate frames fade.  They also don't serve as an example of implied intelligence.

Which of the Js in J. J. stands for Joke I wonder? He should just be J. P., Joke Poster.

So far, my close prediction of PA seems to be coming true.

[TheGlobalizer]

Weather or not you believe me is irrelevant.

*facepalm*

[J. J.]

Weather or not you believe me is irrelevant.

*facepalm*

Sorry, I was trying to get the election day forecast at the time I typed it. 

[Sarnstrom]

Monday November 3, 2008

Registered Voters
Obama 53% (+1)
McCain 40% (-1)

Likely Voters (Expanded)
Obama 53% (+1)
McCain 42% (-1)

Likely Voters (Traditional)
Obama 53% (+2)
McCain 42% (-1)

[Alaska Thunderfvck]

Monday November 3, 2008

Registered Voters
Obama 53% (+1)
McCain 40% (-1)

Likely Voters (Expanded)
Obama 53% (+1)
McCain 42% (-1)

Likely Voters (Traditional)
Obama 53% (+2)
McCain 42% (-1)

?

[Sarnstrom]

Monday November 3, 2008

Registered Voters
Obama 53% (+1)
McCain 40% (-1)

Likely Voters (Expanded)
Obama 53% (+1)
McCain 42% (-1)

Likely Voters (Traditional)
Obama 53% (+2)
McCain 42% (-1)

?

Check out their homepage, they updated already. That's their final poll too.

[Alaska Thunderfvck]

Monday November 3, 2008

Registered Voters
Obama 53% (+1)
McCain 40% (-1)

Likely Voters (Expanded)
Obama 53% (+1)
McCain 42% (-1)

Likely Voters (Traditional)
Obama 53% (+2)
McCain 42% (-1)

?

Check out their homepage, they updated already. That's their final poll too.

Oh. Well awesome.

[Verily]

Guess we won't get a test of whether "Traditional" or "Expanded" is a superior model, then.

Still picking up more voters in "Traditional", too (barely).

[Verily]

Also worth noting: Gallup is forecasting turnout at 64% of VAP, the highest since 1908 (!).

http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/turnout.php

[Lief]

Also worth noting: Gallup is forecasting turnout at 64% of VAP, the highest since 1956 (!).

Well, one can hope. What would that be, 145 million or so?

[Verily]

Also worth noting: Gallup is forecasting turnout at 64% of VAP, the highest since 1956 (!).

Well, one can hope. What would that be, 145 million or so?

I'm not sure (fixed the post, by the way, would be highest since 1908, not 1956). I'm also not sure if it's VAP or a colloquial usage of the term "voting-age population" to refer to VEP (voting-eligible population, i.e. only legal residents and non-felons plus citizens abroad), which is generally more precise in the modern era. But VEP and VAP converge once you get back to the 1980s or so, so it would still be the highest turnout in terms of VAP/VEP since 1908.

[Kalimantan]

Guess we won't get a test of whether "Traditional" or "Expanded" is a superior model, then.

Hmmm, seems a bit fishy that..

[Kalimantan]

Hey JJ, didn't mean to be quite so abusive last night, had had a few too many drinks. Still think you post a lot of hackish rubbish, but there was no need to be so rude. sorry 'bout that.

[Gustaf]

I'm not getting into the fight but there is no way to tell a person's intelligence based on things like predictions or internet posts.

[J. J.]

Hey JJ, didn't mean to be quite so abusive last night, had had a few too many drinks. Still think you post a lot of hackish rubbish, but there was no need to be so rude. sorry 'bout that.

I'll treat you as being a "wet Democrat." 

[Kalimantan]

Hey JJ, didn't mean to be quite so abusive last night, had had a few too many drinks. Still think you post a lot of hackish rubbish, but there was no need to be so rude. sorry 'bout that.

I'll treat you as being a "wet Democrat." 

HA! you bastard !

[J. J.]

Hey JJ, didn't mean to be quite so abusive last night, had had a few too many drinks. Still think you post a lot of hackish rubbish, but there was no need to be so rude. sorry 'bout that.

I'll treat you as being a "wet Democrat." 

HA! you bastard !

Well, I probably would have voted for Al Smith.

[Firefly]

From Gallup:

"While only 4% of voters remain undecided in Gallup's unallocated likely voter model, the final poll estimates that a slightly larger 10% of likely voters still have the potential to either change their mind or make up their mind. Even if McCain converts the vast majority of swing voters, victory for him would be highly unlikely since 51% of likely voters say they are certain to vote for Obama compared with 39% who say they are sure they will vote for McCain."

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

From Gallup:

"While only 4% of voters remain undecided in Gallup's unallocated likely voter model, the final poll estimates that a slightly larger 10% of likely voters still have the potential to either change their mind or make up their mind. Even if McCain converts the vast majority of swing voters, victory for him would be highly unlikely since 51% of likely voters say they are certain to vote for Obama compared with 39% who say they are sure they will vote for McCain."

Ouch.

[© Tweed the Younger]

11/03/08

Registered

Obama 53 (+1)
McCain 40 (-1)

LV expanded

Obama 53 (+1)
McCain 42 (-1)

LV traditional

Obama 53 (+2)
McCain 42 (-1)