Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]

[Eraserhead]

Well, I like those hispanic numbers.

[Eraserhead]

Thursday June 5, 2008

Obama - 45%
McCain - 45%

Obama/Clinton - 50%
McCain - 45%

Oh lord... must we start this?

[Eraserhead]

Sunday June 8, 2008

Obama - 46% (-)
McCain - 44% (-1)

Gallup's analysis:

"Within the current five-day rolling average, Obama has exceeded McCain by a fair margin in each of the last three individual nights of Gallup polling, all conducted since Hillary Clinton announced she would be ending her bid for the Democratic nomination. It appears that her exit decision had the immediate effect of releasing some of her supporters to back Obama in the general election. If this continues in interviews conducted Sunday, Obama should have a clear lead over McCain in Monday's release."

Fantastic. So much for Democratic disunity (let's hope anyway)...

[Eraserhead]

I wish they would stop polling Obama/Clintron vs. McCain. I really don't care.

[Eraserhead]

Thursday June 12, 2008

Heavy storms and tornadoes shut down Gallup interviewing centers in Omaha and Lincoln, Neb., Wednesday night, as a result Gallup will not be publishing new Gallup Poll Daily tracking results Thursday, June 12. The next report will be Friday, June 13.

Lame excuse.

[Eraserhead]

Saturday 21 June, 2008

Obama - 46% (nc)
McCain - 44% (nc)

Obama is running away with this one!

Do you need to constantly post this comment?

[Eraserhead]

McCain is more competetive on the Iraq issue than he has any right to be.

[Eraserhead]

in the form of hawk...

Wednesday 25 June, 2008

Obama - 45% (-1)
McCain - 45% (+2)

Based on the language in the release, I suspect that it's just a strong McCain sample.  Time will tell...

North Dakota is definitley in play. I think these numbers strengthen his lead in one time swing states like North Carolina, Indiana and Georgia, as well.

Phil, nobody believes this race is actually tied, just as nobody believes Obama is leading by double digits. There's no need to pretend that the Gallup Tracking Poll is the only poll that exists or that it's the only one worth anything. It just makes you and your followers (like AHDuke99) look desperate.

[Eraserhead]

in the form of hawk...

Wednesday 25 June, 2008

Obama - 45% (-1)
McCain - 45% (+2)

Based on the language in the release, I suspect that it's just a strong McCain sample.  Time will tell...

North Dakota is definitley in play. I think these numbers strengthen his lead in one time swing states like North Carolina, Indiana and Georgia, as well.

Phil, nobody believes this race is actually tied, just as nobody believes Obama is leading by double digits. There's no need to pretend that the Gallup Tracking Poll is the only poll that exists or that it's the only one worth anything. It just makes you and your followers (like AHDuke99) look desperate.

Nobody believes that this race is tied? Oh, ok. We'll just agree that Obama is up nine points, right (since we can't have it as a double digit lead)? The only polls that are worth anything are the ones that show Obama up in Dem states and closing in on the lead in GOP states. That's your way of thinking and its popular here. It'll always be popular here. I suggest that you not waste your time ganging up on all five McCain supporters here just because we have some good news.

I love how every Obama supporter can boast about their "lead" everywhere else but we McCain supporters can't do the same.

I have never said Obama was up nine points but thanks for putting words in my mouth.

Care to prove the part I highlighted? I posted just recently about how the poll in MO showing Obama down 7 points probably wasn't that far off, I've never bought into the hype of states like ND being competetive and I've written off the LA Times and Newsweek polls as complete trash (several times).

Let me ask you this Phil... given all of the state and national polling we have seen over the past few weeks, do you really think the race is dead even right now?

Being excited about a poll is one thing but your version of "excitement" seems to involve constantly mocking Obama supporters, lumping them all into one category and acting like a child. It's sad to see since you are a worthwhile posters in many ways.

At least get some better material if you're going to carry on in this way!

[Eraserhead]

Obama Holds Slim Advantage Over McCain Among Catholics [26 June, 2008]

Hispanic Catholics tip group in Obama's favor

http://www.gallup.com/poll/108382/Obama-Holds-Slim-Advantage-Over-McCain-Among-Catholics.aspx

Presidential Vote Preference, by Religious Affiliation

Protestant: McCain 48%; Obama 41%

-White: McCain 56%; Obama 32%
-Non-White: McCain 15%; Obama 77%

Catholic: McCain 43%; Obama 47%

-Non-Hispanic: McCain 46%; Obama 43%
- Hispanic: McCain 25%; Obama 66%

Mormon: McCain 70%; Obama 23%

Jewish: McCain 29%; Obama 62%

No religion: McCain 25%; Obama 65%

June 5-23, Gallup Daily tracking

Dave

I guess BRTD can certainly go back to getting lap dances from hispanic women now. It also looks like Obama's Jewish "problem" has been extremely overblown by the media (going by this and several other polls).

[Eraserhead]

Obama takes the lead again ...

Obama - 46% (+2)
McCain - 42% (-2)

Will the Republican hacks still act like this is the only national poll that matters?

[Eraserhead]

Economic distress is dissolving American racism.

[Eraserhead]

I can't believe McCain has been asleep and the race is essentially tied.

It's really not.

Of course it is, can't you read? Obama should be ahead by 15-20 pts.

Oh please.

[Eraserhead]

The friday polling sample dropped off on this average. Too bad elections aren't held on weekends or Obama would win by 10 points.

It is too bad. It would allow a lot more people to vote.

[Eraserhead]

LOL at Gallup putting out two polls with completely different results and lol at summer polling in general. People on both sides should just relax for now. Go see Batman again or something.

[Eraserhead]

To be fair, J.J.'s predictions rarely ever materialize.

[Eraserhead]

Too bad he's actually moving up in Rasmussen's polling.

It's still summer folks. Rest easy.

[Eraserhead]

There isn't going be any short-term bounce from picking Biden. Most people don't have a clue as to who he is.

[Eraserhead]

I'm looking foward to seeing the impact of his speech. About 40 million people watched it live.

[Eraserhead]

Here comes the "OMG Palin is kind of a joke" bounce.

[Eraserhead]

Palin seems to be the new Alan Keyes.

[Eraserhead]

I really want to see this one today.

[Eraserhead]

Wednesday - September 3, 2008

Obama - 49% (-1)
McCain - 43% (+1)

Well that's no fun. I guess the bounce is starting to wear off a little.

[Eraserhead]

Wednesday - September 3, 2008

Obama - 49% (-1)
McCain - 43% (+1)

Well that's no fun. I guess the bounce is starting to wear off a little.

look, all the polls over Labor Day weekend should be ignored.  We won't know anything until late next week.

McCain will probably still be experiencing his convention bounce then...

[Eraserhead]

Only 50% of women are Pro Choice and 43% are Pro Life? I wish.

Yeah, that's pretty absurd.