ID-1: Governor Butch Otter (R) seeking to defeat Bill Sali behind the scenes?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 07:03:07 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  ID-1: Governor Butch Otter (R) seeking to defeat Bill Sali behind the scenes?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: ID-1: Governor Butch Otter (R) seeking to defeat Bill Sali behind the scenes?  (Read 1239 times)
Adlai Stevenson
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,403
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 24, 2008, 03:47:34 AM »

Governor Butch Otter (R) is hinting he may work behind the scenes to defeat bombastic freshman Congressman Bill Sali (R) in November. Otter is upset that Sali backed a candidate against Otter's preferred choice for State Republican Chair. Otter's candidate lost, setting off a new round of open warfare between the two men who have never been close. When the Idaho Statesman asked Otter -- who formerly held the CD-1 seat -- if he was planning to get even with Sali, Otter responded by email: "Wait and see." Sali is facing an aggressive challenge from wealthy businessman Walt Minnick (D).

http://www.politics1.com/
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 24, 2008, 11:31:23 AM »

I wouldn't mind seeing this guy gone.
Logged
Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
htmldon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,983
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.03, S: -2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 24, 2008, 11:04:45 PM »

As much as I dislike Sali, I don't approve of this.  It might weaken future Sali primary opponents.
Logged
MarkWarner08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,812


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 24, 2008, 11:29:49 PM »

I sometimes wonder if Representatives like Jean Schmidt and Bill Sali exist to  solely perturb their party's Congressional leadership. All three represent districts that routinely served up 60% or more wins for the previous Republican incumbents. Schmidt seems to ensconced herself; most Democrats acknowledge that 2006 was the best opportunity to upset the controversial conservative incumbent. If musing  one week before the election about the potential of storing nuclear waste in your district doesn't lead to one's defeat, it's difficult to conceive of a scenario that would. Since her 1% win in 2006, Schmidt has listened to her consultants, replacing bombastic barbs with assiduous constituent services work.

Unlike Schmidt, Sali refuses to be strait-jacketed by well-intentioned consultants. Instead, Sali prefers to insult a 1/3 of his caucus, stiff key campaign vendors, and take a lackadaisical approach to fundraising. Normally this wouldn't matter because Idaho's First Congressional District is located in Idaho, one of the most stubbornly Republican bastions in America. No matter how many times Helen Chenoweth made inflammatory statements, Democrats would win come within ten points of securing victory (at one point, they missed by just 4%).

The key factors in this race are Obama's top-ballot performance and the grassroots abilities of the Democrat's campaign. If Obama wins near 40%, Democrat Walt Minnick could pick up 2-3% among straight-ticket, low-information voters. If Walt Minnick can outspend Sali by a solid margin, perhaps around 2-1, he'll enjoy an unprecedented (in recent Idaho history) financial advantage. If Minnick can invest in both a  few ads rehashing Sali's litany of absurd comments and a solid ground game, he may pull out enough votes to enjoy a one-term stay in Congress.
Logged
HardRCafé
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,364
Italy
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 25, 2008, 02:13:23 AM »

We definitely need to replace Sali with another machine hack who will do exactly as he is told.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,972


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 25, 2008, 07:51:16 AM »

Jean Schmidt's only significance is as a sign of GOP decadence in Congress and a harbinger of change. When you have people like her winning primaries and elevated to a position of power in the country, it is a sign that something is going badly wrong and hubris has set in. Something similar happened with the Georgia Democrats and the nominee for GA-12 in 2002.

It will happen to the Democrats, too, in time.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.218 seconds with 12 queries.