UT-3: Cannon (R) faces another agressive Primary challenge today, leads by 4% (user search)
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  UT-3: Cannon (R) faces another agressive Primary challenge today, leads by 4% (search mode)
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Author Topic: UT-3: Cannon (R) faces another agressive Primary challenge today, leads by 4%  (Read 4655 times)
Meeker
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« on: June 24, 2008, 09:04:16 PM »

With less than 1% reporting, Chaffetz is out to a 56-44 lead
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Meeker
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« Reply #1 on: June 24, 2008, 09:58:55 PM »

3% in now and Chaffetz's lead holds... the big questions are of course Salt Lake and Utah counties. Chaffetz leads in the 2 precincts that have come in from Salt Lake thus far, but obviously very early numbers.
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Meeker
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« Reply #2 on: June 24, 2008, 10:16:23 PM »
« Edited: June 24, 2008, 10:18:16 PM by PPT Meeker »

I think they tried to get rid of him. The 2002 (2004?) race was relatively competitive.

First numbers from Utah County in now and Chaffetz is ahead there. Real numbers in from Salt Lake now and Chaffetz continues to hold onto his lead there as well.

Methinks Cannon is screwed.

EDIT: Matheson barely survived in 2002
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Meeker
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« Reply #3 on: June 24, 2008, 10:20:02 PM »

21% in and Chaffetz leads 58-42

Nice knowing you, Former Congressman Cannon
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Meeker
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« Reply #4 on: June 24, 2008, 10:34:02 PM »

These counties are pretty homogeneous in their make up and results... it's not like we're dealing with Southern Democratic contests here.

I'll wait for a few more numbers out of Utah County before I'm 100% sure, but Cannon's going to have to do pretty amazingly well there to pull it off (and the results thus far indicate that won't happen).
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Meeker
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« Reply #5 on: June 24, 2008, 10:39:06 PM »

Chaffetz up to 61% now.

Cannon is getting killed by Salt Lake...
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Meeker
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« Reply #6 on: June 24, 2008, 10:40:56 PM »

More numbers in from Utah County and Cannon looks just as bad...
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Meeker
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« Reply #7 on: June 24, 2008, 10:48:43 PM »

My understanding is that this was basically the "cheap labor from Mexicans" wing vs. the "we hate Mexicans" wing. The "we hate Mexicans" wing has clearly won out once again.
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Meeker
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« Reply #8 on: June 24, 2008, 10:58:49 PM »

In the three primary contests this year that an incumbent was defeated in, they weren't narrow defeats - they were blow outs. Coincidence, or is there an explanation?
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Meeker
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« Reply #9 on: June 24, 2008, 11:10:53 PM »

But why just these three districts? If it was some sort of widespread anger, wouldn't there be far more than this? This is just about average for a primary cycle thus far.
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Meeker
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« Reply #10 on: June 24, 2008, 11:54:06 PM »

Any day now Utah County/AP...
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Meeker
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« Reply #11 on: June 25, 2008, 12:02:18 AM »

AP finally calls it. I'm not really surprised, but I don't think I expected this
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Meeker
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« Reply #12 on: June 25, 2008, 01:21:10 AM »

Are the primaries in Utah closed?
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Meeker
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« Reply #13 on: June 25, 2008, 01:35:07 AM »

Here's something interesting: The Politico reports that Chaffetz never hired any campaign staffers, and is highly unlikely to higher any in the general due to his near-assurance of winning.
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