MN: Quinnipiac University: Obama by 17 in MN

[Wiz in Wis]

New Poll: Minnesota President by Quinnipiac University on 2008-06-24

Summary: D: 54%, R: 37%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Rococo4]

Pawlenty!

No.

[Democratic Hawk]

[Eraserhead]

BRTD must be doing back flips.

He still can't seem to pull Franken over the finish line though. Oh Well.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

A little hard to believe.

[Hash]

PAWLENTY WILL MAKE STATE SWING TO MCCAIN !!! I SWEARS!

[Eraserhead]

PAWLENTY WILL MAKE STATE SWING TO MCCAIN !!! I SWEARS!

ha. That was always a strange idea. He was never that popular in his own state to begin with.

[Padfoot]

PAWLENTY WILL MAKE STATE SWING TO MCCAIN !!! I SWEARS!

ha. That was always a strange idea. He was never that popular in his own state to begin with.

Key quote from the article:

"Most voters say it would not make any difference in their vote if Gov. Tim Pawlenty is McCain's running mate."

Unfortunately the Pawlenty fanboys will most likely ignore this little tidbit.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Disappointed about the Senate but this made me real happy.

The GOP hacks have moved past the idea Pawlenty can do sh!t for McCain here though. Now they just say they want him as a running mate for other reasons.

On a side note, can the people who for reasons that defy logic believe Pawlenty would be any help whatsoever in Wisconsin please look at a map and note what state lies to the south of Wisconsin?

[Ban my account ffs!]

This is great news for Obama!

SurveyUSA clearly has a conservative bias here as they are the only ones that have shown the race as being close while everybody else comes up with double digit margins.

Remember young voter participation is very high here, and Obama has a 2-to-1 margin for young people.

[Flying Dog]

This is great news for Obama!

SurveyUSA clearly has a conservative bias here as they are the only ones that have shown the race as being close while everybody else comes up with double digit margins.

Remember young voter participation is very high here, and Obama has a 2-to-1 margin for young people.

What do you think the actual margin will be?

[DownWithTheLeft]

Wow, this poll is not as much bad news for McCain is good news for Coleman.  Obviously Obama's lead is not that big, so Franken should not be trailing by 10 points

[Ban my account ffs!]

Wow, this poll is not as much bad news for McCain is good news for Coleman.  Obviously Obama's lead is not that big, so Franken should not be trailing by 10 points

Um, no.

If Franken loses, it will be by less than 5 points... and that's being generous to Coleman.  Right now i'd predict it'll be 51-48 for Coleman.

For president, I think it'll end up around 53-44 or so for Obama.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Wow, this poll is not as much bad news for McCain is good news for Coleman.  Obviously Obama's lead is not that big, so Franken should not be trailing by 10 points

Um, no.

If Franken loses, it will be by less than 5 points... and that's being generous to Coleman.  Right now i'd predict it'll be 51-48 for Coleman.

For president, I think it'll end up around 53-44 or so for Obama.

Well that would make this poll more worthless than before

[Ban my account ffs!]

That is just my gut instinct.  Minnesota is usually pretty close, but then again for all the trash that polls like this get for being "way off", they were on the dot during the 2006 senate election.

The difference is... we still have several months to go, and I think it'll tighten up a bit.  Who knows.. Obama is popular here, he could win by a 10-15 point margin... and Franken might have to be sacrificed because Minnesotans don't like to vote straight ticket.. it makes us uncomfortable... so this would likely help the lower tickets like the state house which could gain a super majority and render Pawlenty a useless talking head.

I remember everybody just ripping the Start Tribune apart when they had Klobuchar up by 15-20 point margins.. and then she won by that much.. so nothing can be tossed out at this point.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Minnesota will not be a swing state this cycle.

My prediction of the final result:
Obama 54%
McCain 44%
Other ~2% (depends on whether McKinney and/or Nader are on the ballot)