MO: Public Policy Polling: McCain ahead of Obama by 3%

[Josh/Devilman88]

New Poll: Missouri President by Public Policy Polling on 2008-07-07

Summary: D: 44%, R: 47%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Wiz in Wis]

when it rains, it pours. At least MO appears consistent

[Tender Branson]

I think this is about right. When everything is said and done, and Obama wins by 1% nationally, MO should still be 3-4% for McCain. If we average the latest Rasmussen poll and their poll from last month, we have McCain ahead by 3% as well.

[Alcon]

Interesting factoid: McCain is outspending Obama in Missouri 2-to-1.  Read that as you want.

[Lief 🗽]

Interesting, where'd you see that?

[Brittain33]

Interesting, where'd you see that?

It was heavily reported on Talking Points Memo about a week ago. McCain's been running a ton of ads largely unanswered by Obama.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Interesting factoid: McCain is outspending Obama in Missouri 2-to-1.  Read that as you want.

Missouri is a bellweather.... McCain just can't be seen to get behind in it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think MO days of being a bellweather are over, Iowa, New Mexico, and Ohio are more bellweathers, and McCain is going to win Missouri.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

...not whether it actually will be.

The belief out there that it is.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MO has trended in 2000 and 1996 very close to the natioal average of Bush and Clinton, in 2004, it trended away from the national average.

[Tender Branson]

Statement from PPP:

"We did a Missouri poll because people were complaining that there weren't enough Missouri polls. Now I see about five minutes after we finished releasing ours that Rasmussen put one out this afternoon too.

I'll go ahead and announce that we're doing South Carolina and Colorado this week, with one most likely released Monday and the other released Tuesday. If all of our peers could give some rough idea of their schedule we might be able to avoid this sort of thing!"

[Kaine for Senate '18]

I still think Obama can win here.  McCain will not have nearly as much support amongst evangelicals as Bush did.

[Padfoot]

Statement from PPP:

"We did a Missouri poll because people were complaining that there weren't enough Missouri polls. Now I see about five minutes after we finished releasing ours that Rasmussen put one out this afternoon too.

I'll go ahead and announce that we're doing South Carolina and Colorado this week, with one most likely released Monday and the other released Tuesday. If all of our peers could give some rough idea of their schedule we might be able to avoid this sort of thing!"

While I'm sure the pollsters would like to avoid this sort of thing I actually like it quite a bit.  Getting multiple polls in short succession gives us junkies a bigger picture IMO.

[Tender Branson]

Statement from PPP:

"We did a Missouri poll because people were complaining that there weren't enough Missouri polls. Now I see about five minutes after we finished releasing ours that Rasmussen put one out this afternoon too.

I'll go ahead and announce that we're doing South Carolina and Colorado this week, with one most likely released Monday and the other released Tuesday. If all of our peers could give some rough idea of their schedule we might be able to avoid this sort of thing!"

While I'm sure the pollsters would like to avoid this sort of thing I actually like it quite a bit.  Getting multiple polls in short succession gives us junkies a bigger picture IMO.

I´m pretty sure Rasmussen will poll CO too in the next week ...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

One cavaet here is that there are anti-affirmative action initiatives in various states on the ballot and Missouri is one of them.

[Tender Branson]

I got a sneak preview of the polls in CO and SC by Tom Jensen of PPP:

"We haven't finished conducting the polls yet but it looks like Obama will have a healthy lead in Colorado and McCain an even healthier one in South Carolina from what we've done so far."

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

If McCain doesn't have a lead in South Carolina, I'd be very surprised.  Obama probably will be able to keep McCain to a high single digit lead here, especially if he contests both Georgia and North Carolina as their media markets have significant spill over into South Carolina.