I keep track of this for my amusement...
The national map right now according to the Atlas polling:
McCain: 232 EVs, 42.4%
Obama: 306 EVs, 46.8%
Extrapolating to an election result, assuming an arbitrarily fairly weak 3rd party vote of 2% or so:
McCain: 232 EVs, 46.7%
Obama: 306 EVs, 51.3%
McCain's 5 strongest:
Utah
Oklahoma
Alabama
Arkansas
Tennessee
Obama's 5 strongest:
Hawaii
Illinois
Vermont
Rhode Island
New York
State closest to national average: New Mexico
Closest state: North Dakota
Median state: North Dakota
50-50 map:
McCain: 270 EVs
Obama: 268 EVs
So that'd look pretty close...
