Excellent article on problems with survey research
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  Excellent article on problems with survey research
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Author Topic: Excellent article on problems with survey research  (Read 471 times)
CARLHAYDEN
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« on: July 09, 2008, 09:07:06 PM »

Here's the link:

http://www.azcentral.com/news/election/election08/articles/2008/07/07/20080707polls0707.html
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Alcon
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« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2008, 09:13:17 PM »
« Edited: July 09, 2008, 09:15:30 PM by Alcon »

A few problems with the article ideas mentioned in the article:

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The increasing use of cellphones is a problem that pollsters are eventually going to have to deal with.  I don't have a landline, and I vote.  But they did fine in 2004 without them, and it may be a gradual shift toward this being a significant problem.

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They did choose the most egregious examples, and early voting makes their California example somewhat mis-placed.  The polls in the Dem primary weren't really all that bad...for a primary.

All in all though, some very good points.  I agree with the article's conclusion that the Bradley Effect is far from a certain thing.

Thanks for posting it Smiley
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