Economist - Tie
ARG - Tie
Zogby - Bush +2
Rasmussen - Bush +4
Time - Bush +11
Hmmm, one of these doesn't belong.
Economist = Internet based => highly suspect
ARG = Wretched almost painfully bad sample design and consistently pro Kerry this year
Zogby - Systematic anti-Bush bias and comically bad record for accuracy.
Rasmussen - weighted by party ID - damps out swings...
Personally, I don't believe the Bush +11 either.... FWIIW....
But other than the Bot Poll which I sorta-maybe trust, the rest of the lot you quote are also pretty hopeless...
Let's wait for the "real" polls..
We'll have a Gallup, and an Opinion Dymanics this weekend, an ABC on Monday, and I think a TIPP by Mid week.
For comedy relief
I think we also get a new CBS poll tonight.
Up till now we have two junk polls, a bot-track and an unknown
We have no RELIABLE information on the race from these 4 polls.
Everybody on both sides, sit down, take a deep breath, and pop a valium.
Repeat after me...
Wait for Gallup, TIPP, Ipsos, OD, Harris and the folks who know what they are actually doing...
Bush might be up 11, or not...
We just don't know yet