OH: Public Policy Polling: Obama still holds solid lead in OH

[Wiz in Wis]

New Poll: Ohio President by Public Policy Polling on 2008-07-20

Summary: D: 48%, R: 40%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[agcatter]

D - 46
R - 33
I -  21

[Lief 🗽]

Good, good.

[Tender Branson]

D - 46
R - 33
I -  21

A 13 point advantage for the Democrats is not likely, more like 6% at most. I´m wondering what Rasmussen's party breakdown is. They'll have a new OH poll out soon and I´ll e-mail them for Party Composition when it's released.

This poll adjusted for 2006 turnout (D-40%, R-37%, I-23%):

Obama - 44.9%
McCain - 43.6%
Undecided - 11.5%

[elcorazon]

crap poll.  ohio is a republican state.  those obamaniacs are so arrogant they are probably going to assume victory in ohio to concentrate on taking texas. hahahaha, such naive idiots.

[Wiz in Wis]

D - 46
R - 33
I -  21

A 13 point advantage for the Democrats is not likely, more like 6% at most. I´m wondering what Rasmussen's party breakdown is. They'll have a new OH poll out soon and I´ll e-mail them for Party Composition when it's released.

This poll adjusted for 2006 turnout (D-40%, R-37%, I-23%):

Obama - 44.9%
McCain - 43.6%
Undecided - 11.5%

In the last poll the ID breakdown was 55D 30R.  I don't think the 2006 pvi is appropriate here... it is undoubtedly larger than 3 points.

Also, it is interesting to note that a 12 point swing in favor of the republicans only yields them 3 points. Not exactly a ringing endorsement.

[Aizen]

Ohio is a must win for McCain. If he loses it, game over.

[Ronnie]

Still, PPP has a Democratic tilt, so I have to see more polls before I declare this one as legitimate.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Time to put a (D) by PPP.

[Alcon]

Time to put a (D) by PPP.

Agreed, in spirit.

I'm sad to say that none of the "non-partisan partisan" pollsters are showing much non-partisan muscle these days.  PPP is coming up with what seem like Democratic-biased results, and Strategic Vision (so good in 2004!) is regressing a bit into GOP-biased territory.  I'm just happy that the DailyKos R2000 polls seem fairly untainted.

[Smash255]

good.  The party breakdown might be a tad high for the Dems, but I don't think its that far off.  the dems picked up ground in the state, and you are probably seeing more people who have generally classified themselves as Indies start id'ing more as Dems