CO: Rasmussen: Udall only ahead by 3

[Aizen]

New Poll: Colorado Senator by Rasmussen on 2008-07-21

Summary: D: 49%, R: 46%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Aizen]

Schaffer doing well at the debate probably helped him. Observe.


http://youtube.com/watch?v=aT2SIadYPmQ

[Keystone Phil]

Well, this one is ranked the most likely to be saved on the vulnerable seats list, in my opinion. That's not saying much though. I hope we can pull off an upset here to make up for the now likely loss in Alaska.

No matter how you look at it, it looks like Dems +4 at the end of the night on November 4th.

[Nutmeg]

No matter how you look at it, it looks like Dems +4 at the end of the night on November 4th.

At a minimum.

[Lunar]

Does any pollster have more Republican-friendly weights than Scotty?

[Sam Spade]

Does any pollster have more Republican-friendly weights than Scotty?

Rasmussen doesn't weigh his state polls.

As far as I can tell, his national polls weight to his monthly partisan figures.  Alcon, correct me if I'm wrong on this?

[Keystone Phil]

No matter how you look at it, it looks like Dems +4 at the end of the night on November 4th.

At a minimum.

It's pretty close to the max. They might be able to get Oregon but not much else.

[Lief 🗽]

No matter how you look at it, it looks like Dems +4 at the end of the night on November 4th.

At a minimum.

It's pretty close to the max. They might be able to get Oregon but not much else.

NM + NH + VA + CO + AK = 5. The latest poll has Merkley ahead in Oregon, making +6 possible. Then there's MS, which is close.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Schaffer doing well at the debate probably helped him. Observe.


http://youtube.com/watch?v=aT2SIadYPmQ

WOW, that is all I can say.  LOL @ Udall supporters for not knowing what he thinks at all

[Alcon]

Schaffer doing well at the debate probably helped him. Observe.


http://youtube.com/watch?v=aT2SIadYPmQ

WOW, that is all I can say.  LOL @ Udall supporters for not knowing what he thinks at all

It was a good swipe.  It's a shame that it was also a total and obvious misrepresentation of HJR-118.

[Wiz in Wis]

Schaffer doing well at the debate probably helped him. Observe.


http://youtube.com/watch?v=aT2SIadYPmQ

WOW, that is all I can say.  LOL @ Udall supporters for not knowing what he thinks at all

Debate performance in July... minimal impact
Scandals with Abramoff... probably will persist

It was a good swipe.  It's a shame that it was also a total and obvious misrepresentation of HJR-118.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

No matter how you look at it, it looks like Dems +4 at the end of the night on November 4th.

At a minimum.

It's pretty close to the max. They might be able to get Oregon but not much else.

NM + NH + VA + CO + AK = 5. The latest poll has Merkley ahead in Oregon, making +6 possible. Then there's MS, which is close.

Tie = Merkley ahead? Alright, Mr. Kansas for Obama!

[HardRCafé]

I don't understand how Obama is doing better there than Udall.

[Keystone Phil]

No matter how you look at it, it looks like Dems +4 at the end of the night on November 4th.

At a minimum.

It's pretty close to the max. They might be able to get Oregon but not much else.

NM + NH + VA + CO + AK = 5. The latest poll has Merkley ahead in Oregon, making +6 possible. Then there's MS, which is close.

I said close to the max. I think five is the max. You won't get OR and we're not even going to start with MS.

[MarkWarner08]

No matter how you look at it, it looks like Dems +4 at the end of the night on November 4th.

At a minimum.

It's pretty close to the max. They might be able to get Oregon but not much else.

NM + NH + VA + CO + AK = 5. The latest poll has Merkley ahead in Oregon, making +6 possible. Then there's MS, which is close.

I said close to the max. I think five is the max. You won't get OR and we're not even going to start with MS.

Right for now, Phil. I agree with Jennifer Duffy, the Cook Political Report's Senate editor,  who says the range is D +5- +7. If a wave develops, NC, ME, and MN could fall. If the climate remains as it is today, OR, AK, and MS are the only pick-up opportunities for Democrats besides the aforementioned four.

[Lief 🗽]

No matter how you look at it, it looks like Dems +4 at the end of the night on November 4th.

At a minimum.

It's pretty close to the max. They might be able to get Oregon but not much else.

NM + NH + VA + CO + AK = 5. The latest poll has Merkley ahead in Oregon, making +6 possible. Then there's MS, which is close.

Tie = Merkley ahead? Alright, Mr. Kansas for Obama!

Merkley 43, Smith 41.

43 > 41.

Hope that wasn't too intense for you, Mr. Connecticut for McCain.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Lief, its called a statistical tie

[Lief 🗽]

They're within the margin of error, yes, but he's still technically ahead. I didn't say it was a giant lead or anything, but to say that there's no chance Merkley wins at this point means that you're ignoring the facts.

[DownWithTheLeft]

They're within the margin of error, yes, but he's still technically ahead. I didn't say it was a giant lead or anything, but to say that there's no chance Merkley wins at this point means that you're ignoring the facts.

To say Merkley does not have a chance is not ignoring the facts, polls are not facts, especially one poll.  And technically he's not ahead, technically its a tie.

[MarkWarner08]

They're within the margin of error, yes, but he's still technically ahead. I didn't say it was a giant lead or anything, but to say that there's no chance Merkley wins at this point means that you're ignoring the facts.

To say Merkley does not have a chance is not ignoring the facts, polls are not facts, especially one poll.  And technically he's not ahead, technically its a tie.

What? That's an incredibly convoluted sentence. Are you insinuating that Merkley doesn't have a chance?

[ChrisFromNJ]

Why not put an (R) right next to Rasmussen and get it over with?

[© tweed]

Why not put an (R) right next to Rasmussen and get it over with?

because they're one of the best

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

No matter how you look at it, it looks like Dems +4 at the end of the night on November 4th.

At a minimum.

It's pretty close to the max. They might be able to get Oregon but not much else.

NM + NH + VA + CO + AK = 5. The latest poll has Merkley ahead in Oregon, making +6 possible. Then there's MS, which is close.

Tie = Merkley ahead? Alright, Mr. Kansas for Obama!

Merkley 43, Smith 41.

43 > 41.

Hope that wasn't too intense for you, Mr. Connecticut for McCain.

Where's that poll? It's not on the polling pages here if it is true. Still a statistical tie and not worth claiming he's ahead now.

[MarkWarner08]

No matter how you look at it, it looks like Dems +4 at the end of the night on November 4th.

At a minimum.

It's pretty close to the max. They might be able to get Oregon but not much else.

NM + NH + VA + CO + AK = 5. The latest poll has Merkley ahead in Oregon, making +6 possible. Then there's MS, which is close.

Tie = Merkley ahead? Alright, Mr. Kansas for Obama!

Merkley 43, Smith 41.

43 > 41.

Hope that wasn't too intense for you, Mr. Connecticut for McCain.

Where's that poll? It's not on the polling pages here if it is true. Still a statistical tie and not worth claiming he's ahead now.

Duke, it's never a good sign for an incumbent to poll under 50%. Smith hasn't broken 45% in either camp's polls in a few months.

This is truly the bellwether race of the cycle. If Smith holds on, GOP losses will be held to 4-5 seats. If Merkley wins, NC, ME, and MN could switch parties. That is barring a major collapse  (or another major gaffe -- I'm talking to you, Franken) by any of the Democrats in those semi-long shot races.

[Dan the Roman]

No matter how you look at it, it looks like Dems +4 at the end of the night on November 4th.

At a minimum.

It's pretty close to the max. They might be able to get Oregon but not much else.

NM + NH + VA + CO + AK = 5. The latest poll has Merkley ahead in Oregon, making +6 possible. Then there's MS, which is close.

Tie = Merkley ahead? Alright, Mr. Kansas for Obama!

Merkley 43, Smith 41.

43 > 41.

Hope that wasn't too intense for you, Mr. Connecticut for McCain.

Where's that poll? It's not on the polling pages here if it is true. Still a statistical tie and not worth claiming he's ahead now.

Duke, it's never a good sign for an incumbent to poll under 50%. Smith hasn't broken 45% in either camp's polls in a few months.

This is truly the bellwether race of the cycle. If Smith holds on, GOP losses will be held to 4-5 seats. If Merkley wins, NC, ME, and MN could switch parties. That is barring a major collapse  (or another major gaffe -- I'm talking to you, Franken) by any of the Democrats in those semi-long shot races.

Well it would be a bellwether if not for the fact that we should know the fates of Collins, Dole and Coleman before we know Smith's.