2008: Warner v. Huckabee

[Senator Ben]

Republican
Fmr. Governor Mike Huckabee (Arkansas)
Fmr. Governor Tom Ridge (Pennsylvania)

Democrats:
Fmr. Governor Mark Warner (Virginia)
Senator Blanche Lincoln (Arkansas)

[Χahar]

370-168.

[Senator Ben]

372-166.

[Josh/Devilman88]

[War on Want]

370-168.

This but flip NC to Warner.

[The Mikado]

I think you guys are underestimating Gov. Huckabee.

[CPT MikeyMike]

I think you guys are underestimating Gov. Huckabee.

You are absolutely correct. Granted I would vote for Warner in this scenario but Huckabee is going easily mobilize the Evangelical voters which will make this race closer than expected. Huckabee would probably sweep the south (minus VA of course) and most of the Rocky Mountain states (minus CO).

Warner wins but he gets Ohio, Colorado and Arizona by a hair. Huckabee wins Florida and West Virginia by a narrow margin.



Warner: 321
Huckabee: 217

[Josh/Devilman88]

Mike, NC would flip before AZ would.

[WalterMitty]

[DownWithTheLeft]

Mike, NC would flip before AZ would.

And you know this because?  North Carolina plays particuarly strong to Huck because of the evangelicals and it being a southern state.  The much less religious and much more libertarian Arizona would most certainly flip long before your NC wet dream.

[big bad fab]

Something like this (not taking into account any VP candidate).

That would have been very different from Obama-McCain.

Huck could have been competitive even in WV, Indiana and Michigan.

[Smid]

Warner and Huckabee both appeal to the same sort of populist voters. New England Liberals would hold their nose and vote for Warner, evangelicals were flock to polling places to vote for Huckabee, delivering him the south. In swing states, it would be close in a 50-50 election, but in an election favouring the Democrats, Warner will do very well.

[War on Want]

Warner and Huckabee both appeal to the same sort of populist voters. New England Liberals would hold their nose and vote for Warner, evangelicals were flock to polling places to vote for Huckabee, delivering him the south. In swing states, it would be close in a 50-50 election, but in an election favouring the Democrats, Warner will do very well.

Huh? No way, Warner has much more pull than Huckabee does. Warner would be easily seen as an intellectual, business-type Democrat, as much as a southern one and that is the beauty of his candidacy. He would probably create an huge coaltion has president but of course I think Liberal would be pretty apathetic to a President Warner.