We should have a wager on NJ-07. If Stender loses by less than 5%, you need to switch to D-OR. If Stender loses by more than 5%, I'll post of a video of myself eating a plate of crow*.
*"Crow" may actually be a blackened chicken that was in the oven for two hours.
I'd take the bet, but I don't necessarily expect Lance to run away with it.
I think his chances of winning are better than 50/50 (provided he really does pick up his fundraising); his chances of winning by more than 5 are worse than 25/75.
[skip me]