Can you say deja vu?
264-175-99
Here is the current map from uselectionatlas:
Some basic observations:
First, the map is quite plausible.
Second, all eight of the "tossup" states were won by Bush in 2004.
Third, two states won by Bush in 2004 are in the Obama column this year (Iowa and New Mexico).
Fourth, no states won by Kerry in 2004 are either in the McCain or Tossup category.
Fifth, if Obama wins Ohio (right now I think he will), its all over, even if McCain wins all the remaining seven "Toss=up" states (highly unlikely).