Wjat Gore states do you think could be trouble for Edwards/Kerry (user search)
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  Wjat Gore states do you think could be trouble for Edwards/Kerry (search mode)
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Author Topic: Wjat Gore states do you think could be trouble for Edwards/Kerry  (Read 4522 times)
zachman
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« on: February 18, 2004, 09:32:49 PM »

Its not that high a muslim population, its something around 8/1000 people. Thats less than 1%!

I'm not sure what Gore state will turn red. NM will if the Western strategy fails. Minnesota was surprisingly close last time, that means there is a huge republican base there. Thats my pick.
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zachman
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« Reply #1 on: February 18, 2004, 09:58:19 PM »

The muslim vote is not highly significant anywhere except NY and NJ which won't effect a close race.
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zachman
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« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2004, 04:08:45 PM »

Iowa is not going to be trouble because Kerry and Edwards are both highly popular there. Is that really true that Democrats are up by 15% in  Wisconsin? Beef seemed to disagree, but he's thinking of voting for Bush in November.
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zachman
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« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2004, 04:28:23 PM »

Yeah but the base there has grown for the democrats.
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zachman
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« Reply #4 on: February 19, 2004, 10:04:10 PM »

I live in Minnesota and have seen no sort of turn toward Bush, rather against him. But the polls here show pretty standard to the nation as a whole, so I say it'll be a bellweather, if the Dem wins he'll win Minnesota, easily. Although if the Dems are that high up in Wisconsin it even improves the chances here.

and people are making too much of a big deal out of the 2002 elections. The only reason the Republicans did so well was because they had high turnout due to being pissed off at the Wellstone memorial which the media definately made a mountain out of a molehill of. Plus not a single Republican statewide office holder got over 50%. And now people act like we've become Utah. geez.

I actually think the 2002 elections will work against bush because they made the Democrats here really mad and thus they'll be working overtime this year.

Good! From Beef's message the other day it seemed like Bush had gained in Wisconsin. I picked Wisconsin because it was the only state of the Upper Midwest without an early dem. campaign. I don't really know what state Bush could gain with other than New Mexico. Oregon has the same liberal patterns as states like Wisconsin, Vermont and Maine so I'll keep that for the dems. Pennsylvania is my current guess. Maine could be on the reverse page that NH is on, and Bush's vacationing there a few days a year could keep the democrats away, but that is pretty unlikely.
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