PA: Rasmussen: Another Kerry state under fire (user search)
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  PA: Rasmussen: Another Kerry state under fire (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA: Rasmussen: Another Kerry state under fire  (Read 3267 times)
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
« on: August 21, 2008, 04:47:45 PM »

Eh, this poll is in line with the other polls.  I wouldn't be too quick to call it "the deciding state of 2008" or a tossup yet since, what, it's been consistently Obama +5-6% but recently McCain has caught up at least about a percentage point overall nationally.  The difference between ~3% in one poll isn't really that different from 4-5% or wherever the trendline would guess at where he is.

I mean, PA will obviously be competitive.  But at least Michigan has several polls with a McCain lead.  Stay tuned.
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Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2008, 05:03:59 PM »

It's important to remember that 3% is within statistical static for a slightly higher number, like I said, 4-5%.  I mean, the "actual" number could just as easily be 1-2% although I view that as unlikely.

PA *does* seem to be one of the stronger states for Obama that both sides are competing.  I would place it as the third-most safe Obama state out of the states that both are running ads in.
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