OH: Quinnipiac University: Obama Leads OH by 1%

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

New Poll: Ohio President by Quinnipiac University on 2008-08-27

Summary: D: 44%, R: 43%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".



 

                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................

OHIO                 Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk



Obama                44%     5%    80%    42%    37%    51%    38%    89%

McCain               43     89     12     38     50     37     49      3

SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      4      3      1      2      3

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -

DK/NA                11      5      8     17     11     11     11      5



                     IMP ISSUE Q4

                     War    Econ   Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt



Obama                48%    49%    46%    47%    49%    38%    45%    32%

McCain               36     40     46     40     29     47     43     54

SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      2      1      1      1      2      3      2

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -

DK/NA                16     10      7     11     20     12      9     13



                                          WHITE..................................

                     AGE IN YRS.......    NoColl College              BrnAgn

                     18-34  35-54  55+    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath



Obama                51%    43%    42%    36%    44%    33%    43%    22%    41%

McCain               41     43     44     50     47     55     44     65     44

SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      2      2      1      2      1      -      3

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -

DK/NA                 7     12     12     13      7     10     12     12     12



                     PresVt2004..  DemPrim2008.. BushJobAppQ10 PARTY PREFERENCE Q5

                     Bush   Kerry  Clintn Obama  App    Dis    Dem    Rep    DK/NA



Obama                11%    79%    63%    87%     7%    64%    88%     2%    22%

McCain               79     11     23      8     82     23      6     94     37

SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      2      1      2      2      -      1      6

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -

DK/NA                 9      8     12      4      8     12      6      4     35



                     Aug 26  Jul 31  Jun 18

TREND:               2008    2008    2008



Obama                44      46      48

McCain               43      44      42

SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       1       2

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -       -       -

DK/NA                11       8       7



 

1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?  

                     LIKELY VOTERS.........

                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN

                            CAND CHOICE Q1

OH                   Tot    Obama  McCain



Made up              80%    81%    79%

Might change         18     18     18

DK/NA                 2      1      3

[CARLHAYDEN]

Numbers seem about right.

[Horus]

Looks accurate to me, this state is very close, and will stay that way.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Looks about right.

[RJ]

Maybe it just comes from living in the southwestern part of Ohio, but it seems as though McCain should have an advantage here in the great Buckeye State. This state has been nip and tuck ever since Barrack was named the <ahem>unofficial official nominee with the exception of the ridiculous Public Policy Poling and Rasmussen polls about a month ago. With the national movement towards McCain recently, I'd expect Ohio to open a bit in big John's favor.