PA: Quinnipiac University: Obama Leads PA by 7%

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Quinnipiac University on 2008-08-27

Summary: D: 49%, R: 42%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".



 

                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................

PENNSYLVANIA         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk



Obama                49%    13%    76%    48%    43%    53%    43%    91%

McCain               42     81     15     38     47     37     47      3

SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      2      1      1      1      -

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -

DK/NA                 9      5      9     12      8      9      9      6



                     IMP ISSUE Q4

                     War    Econ   Algny  Phily  NEast  SEast  NWest  SWest  Cntrl



Obama                54%    55%    44%    72%    39%    55%    62%    40%    39%

McCain               33     37     44     20     50     36     34     50     50

SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      -      2      1      1      1      1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -

DK/NA                12      7     11      9      9      8      3      9      9



                                          WHITE..................................

                     AGE IN YRS.......    NoColl College              BrnAgn

                     18-34  35-54  55+    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath



Obama                57%    49%    43%    42%    46%    40%    46%    26%    36%

McCain               40     41     44     46     49     51     43     66     51

SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      2      1      1      1      2      1      2      1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -

DK/NA                 3      8     12     11      4      7     10      7     13



                     PresVt2004..  DemPrim2008.. BushJobAppQ10 PARTY PREFERENCE Q5

                     Bush   Kerry  Clintn Obama  App    Dis    Dem    Rep    DK/NA



Obama                17%    81%    60%    95%     9%    65%    87%     3%    24%

McCain               74     12     25      2     87     24      8     96     41

SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      -      1      1      -      -      3

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -

DK/NA                 8      6     14      2      4     10      5      1     31



                     Aug 26  Jul 31  Jun 18

TREND:               2008    2008    2008



Obama                49      49      52

McCain               42      42      40

SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       2

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -       -       -

DK/NA                 9       8       7



 

1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?  

                     LIKELY VOTERS.........

                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN

                            CAND CHOICE Q1

PA                   Tot    Obama  McCain



Made up              78%    82%    75%

Might change         20     17     23

DK/NA                 2      1      2

[Horus]

Looks a point or two high but Obama is definitely ahead here... and if I recall correctly Quinnipiac's PA polls are the best out there for the state...

[Josh/Devilman88]

Please remind me why people think this state is a swing state again?

[Beet]

Please remind me why people think this state is a swing state again?

It could flip. Once you look into the demographics of the state, they aren't that favorable to Obama. However, in a close election, it will go Obama. If it flips to McCain the election will be over in other places already.

[Umengus]

party id ?

[Lief 🗽]

Seems about right.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Seems good; although Obama only getting 76% of Democrats needs to go up.

[Keystone Phil]

Hehehe...

[Ronnie]

McCain has about as much chance as Santorum did.

[Keystone Phil]

McCain has about as much chance as Santorum did.

LOL

Wow!

[Ronnie]

McCain has about as much chance as Santorum did.

LOL

Wow!

Ok, that may be exaggerated, but McCain hardly has any chance in the state.

[Keystone Phil]

McCain has about as much chance as Santorum did.

LOL

Wow!

Ok, that may be exaggerated, but McCain hardly has any chance in the state.

LOL again. Sorry but you don't know the demographics of this state and it's history if you think he has hardly a shot here.

[Ronnie]

McCain has about as much chance as Santorum did.

LOL

Wow!

Ok, that may be exaggerated, but McCain hardly has any chance in the state.

LOL again. Sorry but you don't know the demographics of this state and it's history if you think he has hardly a shot here.

It seems that way, but I have to see a poll that shows McCain leading before I can concede to you.