What will be the closest senate race this year?

[Conan]

New Hampshire

Josh please stop spamming with threads about how excited you are that some summer polls suggest your state could be close.  May I refer you to the 2006 race between Kean and Menendez?

VA in 2006?? Can look at them polls.

Big difference.  Allen had a number of huge gaffes, which Dole hasn't had.  Also, there was no Presidential race, and in August, Allen led by 4; it only got close in October.

Ok well maybe it not that close to VA, but the end result will be. The fact is Obama camp will bring out voters for him that will vote for Democratics down the ticket. That spells an Hagan win.

Differences between NJ and NC. Menendez was under federal criminal investigation.  NC has a history of electing democrats and NJ last elected a republican in 1997.  The DSCC is slotted to pour $7,000,000+ into NC.

[Conan]

New Hampshire

Josh please stop spamming with threads about how excited you are that some summer polls suggest your state could be close.  May I refer you to the 2006 race between Kean and Menendez?

VA in 2006?? Can look at them polls.

Big difference.  Allen had a number of huge gaffes, which Dole hasn't had.  Also, there was no Presidential race, and in August, Allen led by 4; it only got close in October.

Ok well maybe it not that close to VA, but the end result will be. The fact is Obama camp will bring out voters for him that will vote for Democratics down the ticket. That spells an Hagan win.

Differences between NJ and NC. Menendez was under federal criminal investigation.  NC has a history of electing democrats and NJ last elected a republican in 1997.  The DSCC is slotted to pour $7,000,000+ into NC.

All that you say points to Dole winning as she isn't under federal investigation, Kean got money, and Democrats in North Carolina are slowly going the way of Republicans in NJ

No....Menendez was only losing within margin of error because he was under F.C.I. You spoke of summer polls and he had a reason to be that close. NC wont have a prob electing a dem. Do I think it will happen at this point? Probably not. Is it comparable to NJ? No.