New poll from Oregon
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Author Topic: New poll from Oregon  (Read 4220 times)
Reds4
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« on: September 08, 2004, 12:27:25 PM »
Bush 46% Kerry 45%

http://www.oregonlive.com/news/oregonian/index.ssf?/base/news/1094644855224680.xml
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Bandit3 the Worker
bandit73
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« Reply #1 on: September 08, 2004, 12:35:52 PM »
Yet another poll to feed to Oscar the Grouch.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #2 on: September 08, 2004, 12:42:00 PM »
« Edited: September 08, 2004, 12:48:42 PM by The Vorlon »

Fixng Link:

http://www.oregonlive.com/news/oregonian/index.ssf?/base/news/1094644855224680.xml

Smiley

Small sample 507 LVs (+/- 4.4%)

Riley Research is actually a pretty decent firm.  I looked at their Oregon poll back in April in quite a bit of detail and it was well done actually.

In 2002 they were within 1% in calling the Oregon Governors Race, they did however underpoll the Republican by about 5% in the US Senate race.

Likely just a post convention blip I expect, so lets wait for another poll to confirm
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #3 on: September 08, 2004, 04:04:50 PM »

This looks about right to me.
In a tied election nationally, I think Kerry wins Oregon by about 3% (since Nader is not on the ballot).  So this poll would reflect a national Bush lead of around 4%, which seems about right give or take.
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agcatter
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« Reply #4 on: September 08, 2004, 05:01:49 PM »
I think you are right on it.
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