Will Palin's coattails help Ted Stevens?
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  Will Palin's coattails help Ted Stevens?
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Author Topic: Will Palin's coattails help Ted Stevens?  (Read 1653 times)
Stranger in a strange land
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« on: September 02, 2008, 03:44:50 PM »
« edited: September 03, 2008, 01:52:14 AM by Stranger in a strange land »

I think it might - by driving up GOP turnout. I realize Palin primaried Murkowski and ran against the old GOP establishment in this state, but she seems to be quite popular among Republicans and independents up north. My theory - well my fear actually - is that she'll bring out just enough Republican intermittents, just enough of whom will pull the lever for Uncle Ted that he'll be able to scrape by. Of course I could be wrong.
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JSojourner
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« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2008, 08:15:40 AM »

She is the messiah.  With her on the ticket, Republicans will gain nine seats in the Senate and about 35-40 seats in the House.  And they'll sweep all the Governor's races.

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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2008, 08:31:28 AM »

Stevens is done.  it's not worth talking about, unless he gets acquitted pre-election, which is unlikely.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #3 on: September 03, 2008, 12:46:56 PM »

I think it is a little early to be talking about Palin's coattails.
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Nym90
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« Reply #4 on: September 04, 2008, 10:33:32 AM »

Stevens is done.  it's not worth talking about, unless he gets acquitted pre-election, which is unlikely.

Even if he does he's unlikely to be any better than a 50/50 shot for reelection. The bell can't be unrung.

Palin helps a little in Alaska, mostly by driving up turnout. Maybe 2-3 percent boost to the entire GOP ticket statewide, but it's unlikely Stevens will be within 2-3 points of victory by Election Day.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #5 on: September 04, 2008, 10:59:08 AM »

She is the messiah.  With her on the ticket, Republicans will gain nine seats in the Senate and about 35-40 seats in the House.  And they'll sweep all the Governor's races.



... Hopefully... you're joking?
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #6 on: September 04, 2008, 04:43:45 PM »

She is the messiah.  With her on the ticket, Republicans will gain nine seats in the Senate and about 35-40 seats in the House.  And they'll sweep all the Governor's races.



... Hopefully... you're joking?

based on JSojourner's other comments, and the fact that his prediction map has Beigich winning, I'd say he probably is.
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Padfoot
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« Reply #7 on: September 06, 2008, 12:46:27 AM »

I'm not sure having Palin on the ticket will help that much seeing as there's no love lost between her and Stevens.  Judging by Palin's ascent to the governor's office and Young's nail biter which has yet to be decided I think most Alaskans are ready to toss out the garbage.  Palin nullifies any dreams Obama had about winning here but I still think Stevens' goose is cooked.
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jfern
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« Reply #8 on: September 06, 2008, 12:47:39 AM »

Definitely
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #9 on: September 08, 2008, 06:05:43 PM »

Stevens and Young are finished. Period. Stevens will lose a landslide to Begich who gets over 60% and Young loses by aroung 10%. It is doubtful Sean Parnell will be able to over take Young. He should be plaesed that he came within 1% of defeating one of the longest serving members in the House and start to prepare for 2010 unless he would rather remain Governor which he would become if McCain/Palin wins. Alaska Repbulicans should learn there lesson and have no problem kicking out Lisa Murkowski in the primary in 2010. 
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #10 on: September 08, 2008, 06:07:21 PM »

Alaska Repbulicans should learn there lesson and have no problem kicking out Lisa Murkowski in the primary in 2010. 

We can hope but I doubt it. She's not as bad as Stevens and Young.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #11 on: September 10, 2008, 08:27:36 PM »

Alaska Repbulicans should learn there lesson and have no problem kicking out Lisa Murkowski in the primary in 2010. 

We can hope but I doubt it. She's not as bad as Stevens and Young.

Yes and this is Alaska. And only in Alaska would an indicted Senator have a 52% favorable rating. Only in Alaska would an Indicted Senator be within 2%. Those are the numbers included in the lastest Rasmussen poll. God help Alaska, at least they have Parnell if Palin is moving on to bigger and better things.
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