Diaego Hotline Tracking Poll thread

[© tweed]

in a sample taken from 9/2-4, Obama leads 46-40

http://www.diageohotlinepoll.com/Tracker/Diageo%20Hotline%20Tracker%20release%20-%2009%2005%20final.pdf

tracking poll will run from now to election day

[King]

Thank god the respectable polling service Diaego Hotline is now doing a tracking poll.  These damn cheap Gallup and Rasmussen polls are horrible.

[Verily]

Thank god the respectable polling service Diaego Hotline is now doing a tracking poll.  These damn cheap Gallup and Rasmussen polls are horrible.

Diageo isn't worse than Gallup. That's no compliment to either from a historical standpoint, but it's true.

[Sam Spade]

Thank god the respectable polling service Diaego Hotline is now doing a tracking poll.  These damn cheap Gallup and Rasmussen polls are horrible.

Diageo isn't worse than Gallup. That's no compliment to either from a historical standpoint, but it's true.

I can't agree with that.  Let's face it - Gallup is the gold standard of polling.  I don't remember whether Diageo did a poll in 2004 (if they did, please correct me).

It's just another data point.  Although considering it's a 300 RV a day sample, it might be a tad jumpy.

[© tweed]

guys, it's information.  the more the merrier.

[Verily]

Thank god the respectable polling service Diaego Hotline is now doing a tracking poll.  These damn cheap Gallup and Rasmussen polls are horrible.

Diageo isn't worse than Gallup. That's no compliment to either from a historical standpoint, but it's true.

I can't agree with that.  Let's face it - Gallup is the gold standard of polling.  I don't remember whether Diageo did a poll in 2004 (if they did, please correct me).

It's just another data point.  Although considering it's a 300 RV a day sample, it might be a tad jumpy.

They appear to have begun polling in 2006. But I am actually surprised to see you defend Gallup. It has the reputation, but only because it's been around for along time. Gallup has not statistically been any better than other pollsters at predicting results and is generally slightly worse than average.

[Sam Spade]

Thank god the respectable polling service Diaego Hotline is now doing a tracking poll.  These damn cheap Gallup and Rasmussen polls are horrible.

Diageo isn't worse than Gallup. That's no compliment to either from a historical standpoint, but it's true.

I can't agree with that.  Let's face it - Gallup is the gold standard of polling.  I don't remember whether Diageo did a poll in 2004 (if they did, please correct me).

It's just another data point.  Although considering it's a 300 RV a day sample, it might be a tad jumpy.

They appear to have begun polling in 2006. But I am actually surprised to see you defend Gallup. It has the reputation, but only because it's been around for along time. Gallup has not statistically been any better than other pollsters at predicting results and is generally slightly worse than average.

Guess I'm going to have to sic The Vorlon on you here.    I respectfully disagree, but I lack the stats at my fingertips to say so at this moment. 

[Umengus]

Thank god the respectable polling service Diaego Hotline is now doing a tracking poll.  These damn cheap Gallup and Rasmussen polls are horrible.

Diageo isn't worse than Gallup. That's no compliment to either from a historical standpoint, but it's true.

I can't agree with that.  Let's face it - Gallup is the gold standard of polling.  I don't remember whether Diageo did a poll in 2004 (if they did, please correct me).

It's just another data point.  Although considering it's a 300 RV a day sample, it might be a tad jumpy.

No, gallup is not the gold standard. 2004 was bad. It's Rasmussen (for now).

[Alcon]

Regardless of how good Gallup has been historically (and I could have sworn Verily is right), I hate their likely voter model methodology with the heat of a thousand suns.  It gets better as time goes on, but still.

[Sam Spade]

Regardless of how good Gallup has been historically (and I could have sworn Verily is right), I hate their likely voter model methodology with the heat of a thousand suns.  It gets better as time goes on, but still.

Haven't they pretty much dropped their LV methodology this year (or have I missed something)

[Alcon]

Regardless of how good Gallup has been historically (and I could have sworn Verily is right), I hate their likely voter model methodology with the heat of a thousand suns.  It gets better as time goes on, but still.

Haven't they pretty much dropped their LV methodology this year (or have I missed something)

They use a threshhold system instead of a weighting system.

[Verily]

Anyone know what time the Diageo polls will be coming out each day? It's getting pretty late for a release.

[Verily]

Anyone know what time the Diageo polls will be coming out each day? It's getting pretty late for a release.

Ah, never mind, they're only releasing results Monday through Friday. I wonder if that means they're also doing no polling on the weekends.

[KeyKeeper]

New one is out, they are tied..

http://www.diageohotlinepoll.com/

[Sam Spade]

So wait?  They're polling on weekends, but not releasing a tracking poll on the weekends?  ok... 

[Eraserhead]

Does anyone else get the feeling that this is a joke poll? Just saying...

[Verily]

So wait?  They're polling on weekends, but not releasing a tracking poll on the weekends?  ok... 

Apparently the staff who know how to use Adobe refuse to work on the weekends

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Does anyone else get the feeling that this is a joke poll? Just saying...

Diaego was the last pollster to show Bush with a positive approval rating.

[Sam Spade]

Tuesday, September 9, 2008
McCain 45% (+1)
Obama 44% (nc)

http://www.diageohotlinepoll.com/documents/diageohotlinepoll/DiageoHotlineTracker090908release.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Wednesday - September 10, 2008

Obama 45% (+1)
McCain 45% (nc)

[Rowan]

Wednesday - September 10, 2008

Obama 45% (+1)
McCain 45% (nc)

Where do you see that? It's not on their website.

[Tender Branson]

Wednesday - September 10, 2008

Obama 45% (+1)
McCain 45% (nc)

Where do you see that? It's not on their website.

http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/09/diageohotline_t_1.html

[??????????]

This isn't a serious poll, why is it stickied?

[Nym90]

This isn't a serious poll, why is it stickied?

It's a tracking poll that's included in the RealClearPolitics average. All three of those are stickied.

Yeah I don't trust it anymore than you do, but I figure Sam and others may want to update its results daily and thus appreciate not having to search for it, for amusement value if nothing else.

[Democratic Hawk]

Thursday - 11 September, 2008

McCain 46% (+1)
Obama 44% (-1)