WA: SUSA: In WA State, McCain-Palin Slices Into Obama-Biden

[cinyc]

Obama 49% (-2 from mid-August)
McCain 45% (+1)
Other 4% (+1)
Undecided 3% (+1)

Obama's up by 14 points in Metro-Seattle (-1 from August) and 11 in the rest of Western Washington (+3).   McCain is up by 31 points in Eastern Washington (+18).

Poll link here.

[Ronnie]

lol

[Eraserhead]

Hasn't SUSA always had Washington closer than others?

[© tweed]

Hasn't SUSA always had Washington closer than others?

they had it at 7 in August

[Alcon]

Hasn't SUSA always had Washington closer than others?

Not really, save for a five-point disagreement with Rasmussen last time around, they've been pretty steady.

McCain is not up 31 points in Eastern Washington, and if he's near that, he's not up that much in non-metro Western Washington.  I doubt the race is this close, but ouch for Obama either way.  He's collapsed among voters without a college education.

[HardRCafé]

I know better than to hold my breath, but if McCain actually won Washington, I would be dancing in the streets for four years.

[CultureKing]

lol

[Torie]

Hmmm, maybe Oregon is going to come home to me after all.   I always thought that state was the uber sleeper, with NH being the sleeper.

[Horus]

so florida is tied, washington is only obama+4?

let's wait a week people, then we will see where the race really stands.

[Eraserhead]

Hmmm, maybe Oregon is going to come home to me after all.   I always thought that state was the uber sleeper, with NH being the sleeper.

What does this poll have to do with Oregon?

[Alcon]

Hmmm, maybe Oregon is going to come home to me after all.   I always thought that state was the uber sleeper, with NH being the sleeper.

What does this poll have to do with Oregon?

WA and OR generally track together, with OR a few points to the right.  Especially if Obama's lost is among the less-educated, Oregon would be like tied now.

I don't buy this, naturally.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Database entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=5320080907019

[Zarn]

A swing is not going to happen, unless McCain wins big.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

This'll stay for Obama

[auburntiger]

I know better than to hold my breath, but if McCain actually won Washington, I would be dancing in the streets for four years.

well if this turns out to be another 1988-style election season, you just might get your chance

[Democratic Hawk]

Republican 29% (32%): McCain 90% (94%); Obama 7% (5%)

Democrat 37% (36%): McCain 10% (6%); Obama 87% (93%)

Independent 28% (33%): McCain 42% (41%); Obama 45% (55%)

Conservative 26% (33%): McCain 89% (88%); Obama 8% (10%)

Moderate 41% (40%): McCain 38% (37%); Obama 53% (62%)

Liberal 22% (27%): McCain 9% (8%); Obama 89% (91%)

(denotes 2004 exit poll data)

Top issue - the economy (46%): Obama 52%; McCain 42%

[The Vorlon]

Obama 49% (-2 from mid-August)
McCain 45% (+1)
Other 4% (+1)
Undecided 3% (+1)

Obama's up by 14 points in Metro-Seattle (-1 from August) and 11 in the rest of Western Washington (+3).   McCain is up by 31 points in Eastern Washington (+18).

Poll link here.

Must be the Palin effect..

Washington and Alaska would be neighbors except for, well, Canada

[Sbane]

Obama 49% (-2 from mid-August)
McCain 45% (+1)
Other 4% (+1)
Undecided 3% (+1)

Obama's up by 14 points in Metro-Seattle (-1 from August) and 11 in the rest of Western Washington (+3).   McCain is up by 31 points in Eastern Washington (+18).

Poll link here.

Must be the Palin effect..

Washington and Alaska would be neighbors except for, well, Canada

Yup Washington is the gateway to the America for Alaska. Alaska airlines is not based in Alaska but rather in Seattle. A lot of trade goes on between the two states as well. The rural people in WA probably feel a lot of affinity with the people in Alaska. The Palin pick definitely helps here and in OR and MT.

[Alcon]

Palin-Rural Washingtonian affinity is a distinct possibility.

Rural Washingtonian-Alaskan affinity, if it exists, has very little to do with our being "border states."

[Ronnie]

Who knows, maybe Alcon's vote could make a difference after all.

[Sbane]

Yeah Alcon vote Obama.

[Ronnie]

No Alcon, vote McCain!